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MLS · Regular Season - 18 August 02, 2026 01:30
Philadelphia Union
#8 · 30 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Atlanta United FC
#14 · 22 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Philadelphia Union
M. Iloski 73'
N. Pierre (ast. K. Wagner) 90'+6
E. Alladoh (ast. K. Wagner) 90'+7
30' M. Almiron
66' (ast. A. Miranchuk) T. Muyumba
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Philadelphia Union a 72% win probability (draw 14%, Atlanta United FC 13%). The final result was Philadelphia Union 3–2 Atlanta United FC. In 1 previous meetings, Philadelphia Union have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atlanta United FC.

Match statistics
22
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
2
2.64
Actual xG
0.53
0
Saves
3
71%
Possession
29%
12
Corners
2
10
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
26'
E. Mihaj
M. Iloski
28'
30'
M. Almiron⚽
N. Harriel
53'
↕ I. Vassilev / Q. Sullivan
56'
↕ J. Lukic / J. Bueno
56'
59'
L. Hoyos
66'
ast. A. Miranchuk · T. Muyumba⚽
B. Damiani
68'
↕ N. Harriel / A. Anello
71'
↕ B. Damiani / E. Alladoh
71'
⚽M. Iloski
73'
78'
L. Brennan / F. Picault ↕
78'
S. Gregersen / A. Miranchuk ↕
84'
A. Kovac / M. Almiron ↕
88'
R. Hernandez / T. Muyumba ↕
90'+2
E. Baez
⚽N. Pierre · ast. K. Wagner
90'+6
⚽E. Alladoh · ast. K. Wagner
90'+7
↕ C. Sullivan / A. Bedoya
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
72.4%
Philadelphia ←
14.37%
X
13.23%
Atlanta
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Philadelphia Union) 72.4% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Philadelphia
2.83
2.64
-0.19
Atlanta
0.82
0.53
-0.29
Philadelphia Union dominated by xG (2.64 vs 0.53). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 24 53
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 24 44
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 24 40
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 23 39
5 Charlotte Charlotte 24 39
6 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 24 31
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 23 31
8 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 24 30
9 New York City FC New York City FC 24 29
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 24 29
11 DC United DC United 23 28
12 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 24 27
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 24 23
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 24 22
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 24 21
Lineups
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-4-2
18 A. Blake A. Blake G 6.00
27 K. Wagner K. Wagner 2 👟 D 7.60
26 N. Harriel N. Harriel 71' D 6.30
44 Neil Pierre Neil Pierre 1 ⚽ D 7.90
39 F. Westfield F. Westfield D 6.90
19 I. Vassilev I. Vassilev 56' M 6.20
21 D. Jean-Jacques D. Jean-Jacques M 7.30
4 J. Lukić J. Lukić 57' M 6.50
6 Cavan Sullivan Cavan Sullivan M 6.70
9 B. Damiani B. Damiani 71' F 6.50
10 M. Iloski M. Iloski 1 ⚽ F 7.90
Bench
28 A. Anello A. Anello 29' F 6.70
11 A. Bedoya A. Bedoya 1' M
76 A. Rick A. Rick G
16 B. Bender B. Bender M
23 E. Alladoh E. Alladoh 1 ⚽ 29' F 7.60
2 Geiner Martínez Geiner Martínez D
8 J. Bueno J. Bueno 43' M 7.20
5 J. Sery Larsen J. Sery Larsen D
33 Q. Sullivan Q. Sullivan 44' M 6.60
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 3-4-3
1 L. Hoyos L. Hoyos G 6.20
6 J. Alonso J. Alonso D 6.50
4 E. Mihaj E. Mihaj 26' D 5.30
55 T. Jacob T. Jacob D 6.50
3 E. Báez E. Báez M 6.20
8 T. Muyumba T. Muyumba 1 ⚽ 88' M 8.50
28 William Reilly William Reilly M 5.90
47 Matthew Edwards Matthew Edwards M 6.30
10 M. Almirón M. Almirón 1 ⚽ 84' F 8.20
22 F. Picault F. Picault 78' F 6.90
59 A. Miranchuk A. Miranchuk 1 👟 78' F 6.60
Bench
16 Adrian Gill Adrian Gill M
39 Arif Kovac Arif Kovac 16' F 6.50
23
A. Torres M
30 C. Togashi C. Togashi F
42 Jayden Hibbert Jayden Hibbert G
20 L. Brennan L. Brennan 22' M 6.70
2 R. Hernández R. Hernández 12' D 6.20
5 S. Gregersen S. Gregersen 22' D 6.30
41 Toto Majub Toto Majub D
Best on the pitch
T. Muyumba
T. Muyumba
M · Atlanta
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
M. Almirón
M. Almirón
F · Atlanta
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
Neil Pierre
Neil Pierre
D · Philadelphia
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots · 46 pass
M. Iloski
M. Iloski
F · Philadelphia
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots · 14 pass
E. Alladoh
E. Alladoh
F · Philadelphia
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
K. Wagner
K. Wagner
D · Philadelphia
7.60
2 👟
· 77 pass
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Blake G 100 6.00 — — — 16 13% — — —
K. Wagner D 100 7.60 — 2 — 77 60% 1 — —
N. Harriel D 71 6.30 — — 1 43 42% — 1 —
Neil Pierre D 100 7.90 1 — 5 46 36% 3 — —
F. Westfield D 100 6.90 — — 3 61 49% — — —
I. Vassilev M 56 6.20 — — — 19 18% — — —
D. Jean-Jacques M 100 7.30 — — 2 49 45% 2 — —
J. Lukić M 57 6.50 — — — 45 38% 2 — —
Cavan Sullivan M 99 6.70 — — 3 47 40% — — —
B. Damiani F 71 6.50 — — 1 14 10% — 1 —
M. Iloski F 100 7.90 1 — 4 14 10% — 1 —
A. Anello F 29 6.70 — — — 14 13% 1 — —
A. Bedoya M 1 — — — — — — — — —
E. Alladoh F 29 7.60 1 — 1 5 5% — — —
J. Bueno M 43 7.20 — — 1 40 36% 1 — —
Q. Sullivan M 44 6.60 — — 1 34 25% — — —
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Hoyos G 100 6.20 — — — 39 13% — 1 —
J. Alonso D 100 6.50 — — — 31 17% — — —
E. Mihaj D 26 5.30 — — — 16 16% 1 — 1
T. Jacob D 100 6.50 — — — 24 13% 2 — —
E. Báez M 100 6.20 — — — 24 17% 2 1 —
T. Muyumba M 88 8.50 1 — 1 14 13% 4 — —
William Reilly M 100 5.90 — — — 13 8% — — —
Matthew Edwards M 100 6.30 — — — 10 8% 2 — —
M. Almirón F 84 8.20 1 — 1 16 13% 2 — —
F. Picault F 78 6.90 — — 1 16 12% 2 — —
A. Miranchuk F 78 6.60 — 1 — 16 10% — — —
Arif Kovac F 16 6.50 — — — 3 2% — — —
L. Brennan M 22 6.70 — — — 2 — 2 — —
R. Hernández D 12 6.20 — — — — — — — —
S. Gregersen D 22 6.30 — — 1 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC?
The final score was Philadelphia Union 3–2 Atlanta United FC.
What did the model predict before Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC?
The model assigned 72% probability to a Philadelphia Union win, 14% to a draw, and 13% to an Atlanta United FC win.