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MLS · Regular Season - 30 October 17, 2026 20:30 Talen Energy Stadium, Philadelphia
Philadelphia Union
#6 · 46 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Charlotte
#5 · 47 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Philadelphia Union, result Draw
Milan Iloski 24' (pen.)
Bruno Damiani (ast. Danley Jean Jacques) 73'
48' (ast. Idan Toklomati Jorno) Rodolfo Aloko
62' (ast. David Schnegg) Idan Toklomati Jorno
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Philadelphia Union a 83% win probability (draw 7%, Charlotte 8%). The final result was Philadelphia Union 2–2 Charlotte. In 1 previous meetings, Philadelphia Union have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Charlotte.

Match statistics
21
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
3
2.64
Actual xG
1.63
1
Saves
3
40%
Possession
60%
7
Corners
1
18
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
19'
Allan Saint-Maximin
⚽Milan Iloski (pen.)
24'
44'
Morrison Agyemang
45'+1
David Schnegg
48'
ast. Idan Toklomati Jorno · Rodolfo Aloko⚽
↕ Indiana Vassilev / Quinn Sullivan
55'
62'
ast. David Schnegg · Idan Toklomati Jorno⚽
⚽Bruno Damiani · ast. Danley Jean Jacques
73'
↕ Bruno Damiani / Malik Jakupovic
82'
83'
Liel Abada / Allan Saint-Maximin ↕
83'
Luca De La Torre / Djibril Diani ↕
83'
Harry Toffolo / David Schnegg ↕
90'+12
Tyger Smalls / Rodolfo Aloko ↕
Pre-match prediction
83.86%
Philadelphia
7.89%
X ←
8.24%
Charlotte
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 7.89% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Philadelphia
4.50
2.64
-1.86
Charlotte
1.17
1.63
+0.46
Philadelphia Union dominated by xG (2.64 vs 1.63). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 31 70
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 31 55
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 31 55
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 31 51
5 Charlotte Charlotte 31 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 31 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 31 42
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 31 42
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 31 39
10 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 31 38
11 Toronto FC Toronto FC 31 36
12 New York City FC New York City FC 31 35
13 DC United DC United 31 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 31 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 31 25
Lineups
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-4-2
18 A. Blake A. Blake G 6.21
27 K. Wagner K. Wagner D 6.63
26 N. Harriel N. Harriel D 6.39
44 Neil Pierre Neil Pierre D 7.25
39 F. Westfield F. Westfield D 6.29
19 I. Vassilev I. Vassilev 55' M 5.82
4 J. Lukić J. Lukić M 6.48
21 D. Jean-Jacques D. Jean-Jacques 1 👟 M 7.27
6 Cavan Sullivan Cavan Sullivan M 6.16
10 M. Iloski M. Iloski 1 ⚽ F 6.82
9 B. Damiani B. Damiani 1 ⚽ 82' F 8.20
Bench
28 A. Anello A. Anello F 0.00
11 A. Bedoya A. Bedoya M 0.00
76 A. Rick A. Rick G 0.00
16 B. Bender B. Bender M 0.00
23 E. Alladoh E. Alladoh F 0.00
14 J. Rafanello J. Rafanello M 0.00
5 J. Sery Larsen J. Sery Larsen D 0.00
51 M. Jakupovic M. Jakupovic 8' F 6.51
33 Q. Sullivan Q. Sullivan 35' M 6.66
Charlotte Charlotte 4-3-3
1 K. Kahlina K. Kahlina G 6.17
23 D. Schnegg D. Schnegg 1 👟 83' D 6.65
22 H. Kessler H. Kessler D 6.63
44 M. Agyemang M. Agyemang D 5.88
14 N. Byrne N. Byrne D 6.27
16 Pep Biel Pep Biel M 6.79
8 A. Westwood A. Westwood M 6.40
28 D. Diani D. Diani 83' M 6.33
10 A. Saint-Maximin A. Saint-Maximin 83' F 6.39
9 I. Toklomati Giorno I. Toklomati Giorno 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.58
37 R. Aloko R. Aloko 1 ⚽ F 7.29
Bench
4 A. Privett A. Privett D 0.00
13 B. Bronico B. Bronico M 0.00
15 H. Toffolo H. Toffolo 7' D 6.10
11 L. Abada L. Abada 7' F 6.47
17 L. de la Torre L. de la Torre 7' M 6.00
21 T. Miller T. Miller G 0.00
3 T. Ream T. Ream D 0.00
25 Tyger Smalls Tyger Smalls 1' F 0.00
35 Will Cleary Will Cleary D 0.00
Best on the pitch
I. Toklomati Giorno
I. Toklomati Giorno
F · Charlotte
8.58
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 16 pass
B. Damiani
B. Damiani
F · Philadelphia
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 19 pass
R. Aloko
R. Aloko
F · Charlotte
7.29
1 ⚽
3 shots · 26 pass
D. Jean-Jacques
D. Jean-Jacques
M · Philadelphia
7.27
1 👟
1 shots · 24 pass
Neil Pierre
Neil Pierre
D · Philadelphia
7.25
1 shots · 22 pass
M. Iloski
M. Iloski
F · Philadelphia
6.82
1 ⚽
4 shots · 29 pass
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Blake G 90 6.21 — — 0 23 15% 0 — —
K. Wagner D 90 6.63 — — 1 38 26% 2 — —
N. Harriel D 90 6.39 — — 1 19 15% 1 — —
Neil Pierre D 90 7.25 — — 1 22 19% 4 — —
F. Westfield D 90 6.29 — — 1 22 12% 2 — —
I. Vassilev M 55 5.82 — — 2 16 15% 0 — —
J. Lukić M 90 6.48 — — 0 37 26% 3 — —
D. Jean-Jacques M 90 7.27 — 1 1 24 22% 2 — —
Cavan Sullivan M 90 6.16 — — 5 36 25% 2 — —
M. Iloski F 90 6.82 1 — 4 29 24% 0 — —
B. Damiani F 82 8.20 1 — 2 19 12% 2 — —
M. Jakupovic F 8 6.51 — — 1 4 3% 0 — —
Q. Sullivan M 35 6.66 — — 2 11 10% 0 — —
Charlotte Charlotte — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Kahlina G 90 6.17 — — 0 31 20% 0 — —
D. Schnegg D 83 6.65 — 1 0 39 30% 0 1 —
H. Kessler D 90 6.63 — — 1 57 53% 0 — —
M. Agyemang D 90 5.88 — — 0 63 54% 1 1 —
N. Byrne D 90 6.27 — — 0 65 53% 2 — —
Pep Biel M 90 6.79 — — 1 33 27% 1 — —
A. Westwood M 90 6.40 — — 2 69 54% 0 — —
D. Diani M 83 6.33 — — 0 25 21% 3 — —
A. Saint-Maximin F 83 6.39 — — 4 17 12% 0 1 —
I. Toklomati Giorno F 90 8.58 1 1 2 16 14% 0 — —
R. Aloko F 102 7.29 1 — 3 26 21% 3 — —
H. Toffolo D 7 6.10 — — 0 10 8% 0 — —
L. Abada F 7 6.47 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
L. de la Torre M 7 6.00 — — 0 13 9% 0 — —
Tyger Smalls F 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?
The final score was Philadelphia Union 2–2 Charlotte.
What did the model predict before Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?
The model assigned 83% probability to a Philadelphia Union win, 7% to a draw, and 8% to an Charlotte win.