MLS
· Regular Season - 5
March 21, 2026 21:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chicago Fire a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Philadelphia Union 32%). The final result was Philadelphia Union 1–2 Chicago Fire.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
4
0.85
Actual xG
2.52
47%
Possession
53%
6
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
32.48%
Philadelphia
32.73%
X
34.79%
Chicago ←
we assigned to the actual result (Chicago Fire)
34.79%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.88
0.85
-0.03
1.07
2.52
+1.45
Chicago Fire dominated by xG (2.52 vs 0.85).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire?
The final score was Philadelphia Union 1–2 Chicago Fire.
What did the model predict before Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Philadelphia Union win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Chicago Fire win.