MLS
· Regular Season - 14
May 17, 2026 01:30
M. Iloski
(ast. A. Anello)
70'
10'
H. Picard
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Philadelphia Union a 46% win probability (draw 29%, Columbus Crew 24%). The final result was Philadelphia Union 1–1 Columbus Crew. In 1 previous meetings, Philadelphia Union have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Columbus Crew.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
1
0.92
Actual xG
0.42
0
Saves
4
38%
Possession
62%
4
Corners
4
23
Tackles
25
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
B. Bender
9'
10'
H. Picard⚽
M. Iloski
26'
30'
R. Camacho
O. Makhanya
45'+1
J. Lukic
/ A. Anello
46'
B. Damiani
/ E. Alladoh
65'
67'
A. Herrera
/
M. Farsi
67'
D. Chambost
/
A. Gomes
⚽M. Iloski
· ast. A. Anello
70'
80'
T. Habroune
/
D. Gazdag
80'
A. Sejdic
/
S. Bangoura
Pre-match prediction
46.18%
Philadelphia
29.39%
X ←
24.43%
Columbus
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.39%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.27
0.92
-0.35
0.71
0.42
-0.29
Philadelphia Union dominated by xG (0.92 vs 0.42).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
18
A. Blake
G
A. Blake
G
16
B. Bender
D
B. Bender
D
29
O. Makhanya
D
O. Makhanya
D
2
Geiner Martínez
D
Geiner Martínez
D
26
N. Harriel
D
N. Harriel
D
19
I. Vassilev
M
I. Vassilev
M
21
D. Jean-Jacques
M
D. Jean-Jacques
M
4
J. Lukić
45'
M
J. Lukić
45'
M
6
Cavan Sullivan
M
Cavan Sullivan
M
9
B. Damiani
65'
F
B. Damiani
65'
F
10
M. Iloski
1 ⚽
F
M. Iloski
1 ⚽
F
Bench
28
A. Anello
1 👟
45'
F
A. Anello
1 👟
45'
F
11
A. Bedoya
M
A. Bedoya
M
76
A. Rick
G
A. Rick
G
23
E. Alladoh
25'
F
E. Alladoh
25'
F
66
Finn Sundstrom
D
Finn Sundstrom
D
14
J. Rafanello
M
J. Rafanello
M
15
Olivier Mbaizo
D
Olivier Mbaizo
D
20
Philippe Ndinga
D
Philippe Ndinga
D
37
Stas Kornzeniowski
F
Stas Kornzeniowski
F
28
P. Schulte
G
P. Schulte
G
31
S. Moreira
D
S. Moreira
D
25
S. Zawadzki
D
S. Zawadzki
D
4
R. Camacho
D
R. Camacho
D
23
M. Farsi
67'
D
M. Farsi
67'
D
30
H. Picard
1 ⚽
M
H. Picard
1 ⚽
M
17
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
80'
M
20
André Gomes
67'
M
André Gomes
67'
M
27
M. Arfsten
M
M. Arfsten
M
8
D. Gazdag
80'
F
D. Gazdag
80'
F
10
D. Rossi
F
D. Rossi
F
Bench
14
A. Sejdić
10'
M
A. Sejdić
10'
M
12
Cesar Ruvalcaba
D
Cesar Ruvalcaba
D
7
D. Chambost
23'
M
D. Chambost
23'
M
2
M. Herrera
23'
D
M. Herrera
23'
D
90
N. Axundzadə
F
N. Axundzadə
F
1
N. Hagen
G
N. Hagen
G
45
Owen Presthus
D
Owen Presthus
D
16
T. Habroune
10'
M
T. Habroune
10'
M
21
Y. Cheberko
D
Y. Cheberko
D
Best on the pitch
D. Jean-Jacques
M · Philadelphia
7.30
· 24 pass
M. Iloski
F · Philadelphia
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
H. Picard
M · Columbus
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
André Gomes
M · Columbus
7.20
· 45 pass
O. Makhanya
D · Philadelphia
7.00
· 60 pass
M. Arfsten
M · Columbus
7.00
· 39 pass
Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Blake | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| B. Bender | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Makhanya | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 60 | 43% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Geiner Martínez | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Harriel | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Vassilev | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Jean-Jacques | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Lukić | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Cavan Sullivan | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 25 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Damiani | F | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Iloski | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Anello | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| E. Alladoh | F | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Columbus Crew — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Schulte | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 30% | — | — | — |
| S. Moreira | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Zawadzki | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 61% | 4 | — | — |
| R. Camacho | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 85 | 73% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Farsi | D | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | — | — | — |
| H. Picard | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Sekou Tidiany Bangoura | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| André Gomes | M | 67 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 6 | — | — |
| M. Arfsten | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Gazdag | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Rossi | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | — | — | — |
| A. Sejdić | M | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Chambost | M | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Herrera | D | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| T. Habroune | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?
The final score was Philadelphia Union 1–1 Columbus Crew.
What did the model predict before Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Philadelphia Union win, 29% to a draw, and 24% to an Columbus Crew win.