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MLS · Regular Season - 14 May 17, 2026 01:30
#8 · 30 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#13 · 23 pts
M. Iloski (ast. A. Anello) 70'
10' H. Picard
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Philadelphia Union a 46% win probability (draw 29%, Columbus Crew 24%). The final result was Philadelphia Union 1–1 Columbus Crew. In 1 previous meetings, Philadelphia Union have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Columbus Crew.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
1
0.92
Actual xG
0.42
0
Saves
4
38%
Possession
62%
4
Corners
4
23
Tackles
25
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
B. Bender
9'
10'
H. Picard
M. Iloski
26'
30'
R. Camacho
O. Makhanya
45'+1
J. Lukic / A. Anello
46'
B. Damiani / E. Alladoh
65'
67'
A. Herrera / M. Farsi
67'
D. Chambost / A. Gomes
M. Iloski · ast. A. Anello
70'
80'
T. Habroune / D. Gazdag
80'
A. Sejdic / S. Bangoura
Pre-match prediction
46.18%
Philadelphia
29.39%
X ←
24.43%
Columbus
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.39% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Philadelphia
1.27
0.92
-0.35
Columbus
0.71
0.42
-0.29
Philadelphia Union dominated by xG (0.92 vs 0.42). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 24 53
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 24 44
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 24 40
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 23 39
5 Charlotte Charlotte 24 39
6 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 24 31
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 23 31
8 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 24 30
9 New York City FC New York City FC 24 29
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 24 29
11 DC United DC United 23 28
12 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 24 27
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 24 23
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 24 22
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 24 21
Lineups
18 A. Blake A. Blake G 6.20
16 B. Bender B. Bender D 6.90
29 O. Makhanya O. Makhanya D 7.00
2 Geiner Martínez Geiner Martínez D 6.50
26 N. Harriel N. Harriel D 6.30
19 I. Vassilev I. Vassilev M 6.20
21 D. Jean-Jacques D. Jean-Jacques M 7.30
4 J. Lukić J. Lukić 45' M 6.50
6 Cavan  Sullivan Cavan Sullivan M 6.20
9 B. Damiani B. Damiani 65' F 6.50
10 M. Iloski M. Iloski 1 ⚽ F 7.30
Bench
28 A. Anello A. Anello 1 👟 45' F 6.90
11 A. Bedoya A. Bedoya M
76 A. Rick A. Rick G
23 E. Alladoh E. Alladoh 25' F 6.20
66 Finn Sundstrom Finn Sundstrom D
14 J. Rafanello J. Rafanello M
15 Olivier Mbaizo Olivier Mbaizo D
20 Philippe Ndinga Philippe Ndinga D
37 Stas Kornzeniowski Stas Kornzeniowski F
28 P. Schulte P. Schulte G 6.60
31 S. Moreira S. Moreira D 6.50
25 S. Zawadzki S. Zawadzki D 6.70
4 R. Camacho R. Camacho D 6.90
23 M. Farsi M. Farsi 67' D 6.90
30 H. Picard H. Picard 1 ⚽ M 7.30
17
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura 80' M 6.90
20 André Gomes André Gomes 67' M 7.20
27 M. Arfsten M. Arfsten M 7.00
8 D. Gazdag D. Gazdag 80' F 6.30
10 D. Rossi D. Rossi F 6.70
Bench
14 A. Sejdić A. Sejdić 10' M 6.90
12 Cesar Ruvalcaba Cesar Ruvalcaba D
7 D. Chambost D. Chambost 23' M 6.60
2 M. Herrera M. Herrera 23' D 6.20
90 N. Axundzadə N. Axundzadə F
1 N. Hagen N. Hagen G
45 Owen Presthus Owen Presthus D
16 T. Habroune T. Habroune 10' M 6.60
21 Y. Cheberko Y. Cheberko D
Best on the pitch
D. Jean-Jacques
D. Jean-Jacques
M · Philadelphia
7.30
· 24 pass
M. Iloski
M. Iloski
F · Philadelphia
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
H. Picard
H. Picard
M · Columbus
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 26 pass
André Gomes
André Gomes
M · Columbus
7.20
· 45 pass
O. Makhanya
O. Makhanya
D · Philadelphia
7.00
· 60 pass
M. Arfsten
M. Arfsten
M · Columbus
7.00
· 39 pass
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Blake G 90 6.20 22 19%
B. Bender D 90 6.90 1 38 29% 2 1
O. Makhanya D 90 7.00 60 43% 4 1
Geiner Martínez D 90 6.50 27 20% 1
N. Harriel D 90 6.30 25 14% 2
I. Vassilev M 90 6.20 1 22 14% 1
D. Jean-Jacques M 90 7.30 24 21% 4
J. Lukić M 45 6.50 13 9% 2
Cavan Sullivan M 90 6.20 4 25 18% 2
B. Damiani F 65 6.50 15 7% 3
M. Iloski F 90 7.30 1 2 22 11% 2 1
A. Anello F 45 6.90 1 17 13%
E. Alladoh F 25 6.20 1 5 5%
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Schulte G 90 6.60 42 30%
S. Moreira D 90 6.50 36 27% 1
S. Zawadzki D 90 6.70 1 67 61% 4
R. Camacho D 90 6.90 85 73% 2 1
M. Farsi D 67 6.90 38 32%
H. Picard M 90 7.30 1 1 26 19%
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura M 80 6.90 35 29% 4
André Gomes M 67 7.20 45 39% 6
M. Arfsten M 90 7.00 39 33% 2
D. Gazdag F 80 6.30 39 31% 4
D. Rossi F 90 6.70 34 25%
A. Sejdić M 10 6.90 10 8% 1
D. Chambost M 23 6.60 18 17% 1
M. Herrera D 23 6.20 2 11 9%
T. Habroune M 10 6.60 6 5%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?
The final score was Philadelphia Union 1–1 Columbus Crew.
What did the model predict before Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Philadelphia Union win, 29% to a draw, and 24% to an Columbus Crew win.