Philadelphia Union 1–1 Columbus Crew — pre-match prediction — MLS — May 17, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 14 May 17, 2026 01:30

Philadelphia Union

#6 · 47 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Columbus Crew

#8 · 44 pts

M. Iloski (ast. A. Anello) 70'

10' H. Picard

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Philadelphia Union a 46% win probability (draw 29%, Columbus Crew 24%). The final result was Philadelphia Union 1–1 Columbus Crew. In 1 previous meetings, Philadelphia Union have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Columbus Crew.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.92

Actual xG

0.42

Saves

38%

Possession

62%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

B. Bender

10'

H. Picard⚽

M. Iloski

26'

30'

R. Camacho

O. Makhanya

45'+1

↕ J. Lukic / A. Anello

46'

↕ B. Damiani / E. Alladoh

65'

67'

A. Herrera / M. Farsi ↕

67'

D. Chambost / A. Gomes ↕

⚽M. Iloski · ast. A. Anello

70'

80'

T. Habroune / D. Gazdag ↕

80'

A. Sejdic / S. Bangoura ↕

Pre-match prediction

46.18%

Philadelphia

29.39%

X ←

24.43%

Columbus

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.39% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Philadelphia

1.27

0.92

-0.35

Columbus

0.71

0.42

-0.29

Philadelphia Union dominated by xG (0.92 vs 0.42). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	33	74
2	Inter Miami	33	59
3	New England Revolution	33	58
4	Chicago Fire	33	55
5	Charlotte	33	53
6	Philadelphia Union	33	47
7	FC Cincinnati	33	46
8	Columbus Crew	33	44
9	Orlando City SC	33	43
10	New York Red Bulls	33	39
11	New York City FC	33	39
12	Toronto FC	33	39
13	Atlanta United FC	33	33
14	DC United	33	33
15	CF Montreal	33	26

Lineups

Philadelphia Union 4-4-2

A. Blake G 6.20

B. Bender D 6.90

O. Makhanya D 7.00

G. Martínez D 6.50

N. Harriel D 6.30

I. Vassilev M 6.20

D. Jean-Jacques M 7.30

J. Lukić 45' M 6.50

Cavan Sullivan M 6.20

B. Damiani 65' F 6.50

M. Iloski 1 ⚽ F 7.30

Bench

A. Anello 1 👟 45' F 6.90

A. Bedoya M

A. Rick G

E. Alladoh 25' F 6.20

F. Sundstrom D

J. Rafanello M

Olivier Mbaizo D

Philippe Ndinga D

Stas Kornzeniowski F

Columbus Crew 4-4-2

P. Schulte G 6.60

S. Moreira D 6.50

S. Zawadzki D 6.70

R. Camacho D 6.90

M. Farsi 67' D 6.90

H. Picard 1 ⚽ M 7.30

S. Bangoura 80' M 6.90

André Gomes 67' M 7.20

M. Arfsten M 7.00

D. Gazdag 80' F 6.30

D. Rossi F 6.70

Bench

A. Sejdić 10' M 6.90

Cesar Ruvalcaba D

D. Chambost 23' M 6.60

M. Herrera 23' D 6.20

Nariman Akhundzade F

N. Hagen G

Owen Presthus D

T. Habroune 10' M 6.60

Y. Cheberko D

Best on the pitch

D. Jean-Jacques

M · Philadelphia

7.30

· 24 pass

M. Iloski

F · Philadelphia

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 22 pass

H. Picard

M · Columbus

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 26 pass

André Gomes

M · Columbus

7.20

· 45 pass

O. Makhanya

D · Philadelphia

7.00

· 60 pass

M. Arfsten

M · Columbus

7.00

· 39 pass

Philadelphia Union — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Blake	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	22	19%	—	—	—
B. Bender	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	38	29%	2	1	—
O. Makhanya	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	60	43%	4	1	—
G. Martínez	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	27	20%	1	—	—
N. Harriel	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	25	14%	2	—	—
I. Vassilev	M	90	6.20	—	—	1	22	14%	1	—	—
D. Jean-Jacques	M	90	7.30	—	—	—	24	21%	4	—	—
J. Lukić	M	45	6.50	—	—	—	13	9%	2	—	—
Cavan Sullivan	M	90	6.20	—	—	4	25	18%	2	—	—
B. Damiani	F	65	6.50	—	—	—	15	7%	3	—	—
M. Iloski	F	90	7.30	1	—	2	22	11%	2	1	—
A. Anello	F	45	6.90	—	1	—	17	13%	—	—	—
E. Alladoh	F	25	6.20	—	—	1	5	5%	—	—	—

Columbus Crew — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
P. Schulte	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	42	30%	—	—	—
S. Moreira	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	36	27%	1	—	—
S. Zawadzki	D	90	6.70	—	—	1	67	61%	4	—	—
R. Camacho	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	85	73%	2	1	—
M. Farsi	D	67	6.90	—	—	—	38	32%	—	—	—
H. Picard	M	90	7.30	1	—	1	26	19%	—	—	—
S. Bangoura	M	80	6.90	—	—	—	35	29%	4	—	—
André Gomes	M	67	7.20	—	—	—	45	39%	6	—	—
M. Arfsten	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	39	33%	2	—	—
D. Gazdag	F	80	6.30	—	—	—	39	31%	4	—	—
D. Rossi	F	90	6.70	—	—	—	34	25%	—	—	—
A. Sejdić	M	10	6.90	—	—	—	10	8%	1	—	—
D. Chambost	M	23	6.60	—	—	—	18	17%	1	—	—
M. Herrera	D	23	6.20	—	—	2	11	9%	—	—	—
T. Habroune	M	10	6.60	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?

The final score was Philadelphia Union 1–1 Columbus Crew.

What did the model predict before Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?

The model assigned 46% probability to a Philadelphia Union win, 29% to a draw, and 24% to an Columbus Crew win.