MLS
· Regular Season - 14
May 17, 2026 01:30
M. Iloski
(ast. A. Anello)
70'
10'
H. Picard
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Philadelphia Union a 46% win probability (draw 29%, Columbus Crew 24%). The final result was Philadelphia Union 1–1 Columbus Crew. In 1 previous meetings, Philadelphia Union have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Columbus Crew.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
1
0.92
Actual xG
0.42
0
Saves
4
38%
Possession
62%
4
Corners
4
23
Tackles
25
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
B. Bender
9'
10'
H. Picard⚽
M. Iloski
26'
30'
R. Camacho
O. Makhanya
45'+1
J. Lukic
/ A. Anello
46'
B. Damiani
/ E. Alladoh
65'
67'
A. Herrera
/
M. Farsi
67'
D. Chambost
/
A. Gomes
⚽M. Iloski
· ast. A. Anello
70'
80'
T. Habroune
/
D. Gazdag
80'
A. Sejdic
/
S. Bangoura
Pre-match prediction
46.18%
Philadelphia
29.39%
X ←
24.43%
Columbus
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.39%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.27
0.92
-0.35
0.71
0.42
-0.29
Philadelphia Union dominated by xG (0.92 vs 0.42).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
18
Andre Blake
G
Andre Blake
G
16
Ben Bender
D
Ben Bender
D
29
O. Makhanya
D
O. Makhanya
D
2
Geiner Martínez
D
Geiner Martínez
D
26
Nathan Harriel
D
Nathan Harriel
D
19
Indiana Vassilev
M
Indiana Vassilev
M
21
D. Jean-Jacques
M
D. Jean-Jacques
M
4
Jovan Lukić
45'
M
Jovan Lukić
45'
M
6
Cavan Sullivan
M
Cavan Sullivan
M
9
Bruno Damiani
65'
F
Bruno Damiani
65'
F
10
Milan Iloski
1 ⚽
F
Milan Iloski
1 ⚽
F
Bench
28
Agustin Anello
1 👟
45'
F
Agustin Anello
1 👟
45'
F
11
Alejandro Bedoya
M
Alejandro Bedoya
M
76
Andrew Rick
G
Andrew Rick
G
23
E. Alladoh
25'
F
E. Alladoh
25'
F
66
Finn Sundstrom
D
Finn Sundstrom
D
14
Jeremy Rafanello
M
Jeremy Rafanello
M
15
Olivier Mbaizo
D
Olivier Mbaizo
D
20
Philippe Ndinga
D
Philippe Ndinga
D
37
Stas Kornzeniowski
F
Stas Kornzeniowski
F
28
Patrick Schulte
G
Patrick Schulte
G
31
Steven Moreira
D
Steven Moreira
D
25
Sean Zawadzki
D
Sean Zawadzki
D
4
R. Camacho
D
R. Camacho
D
23
Mohamed Farsi
67'
D
Mohamed Farsi
67'
D
30
Hugo Picard
1 ⚽
M
Hugo Picard
1 ⚽
M
17
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
80'
M
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
80'
M
20
André Gomes
67'
M
André Gomes
67'
M
27
M. Arfsten
M
M. Arfsten
M
8
Dániel Gazdag
80'
F
Dániel Gazdag
80'
F
10
Diego Rossi
F
Diego Rossi
F
Bench
14
Amar Sejdic
10'
M
Amar Sejdic
10'
M
2
Andres Herrera
23'
D
Andres Herrera
23'
D
12
Cesar Ruvalcaba
D
Cesar Ruvalcaba
D
7
Dylan Chambost
23'
M
Dylan Chambost
23'
M
90
Nariman Akhundzade
F
Nariman Akhundzade
F
1
Nicholas Hagen
G
Nicholas Hagen
G
45
Owen Presthus
D
Owen Presthus
D
16
Taha Habroune
10'
M
Taha Habroune
10'
M
21
Yevhen Cheberko
D
Yevhen Cheberko
D
Best on the pitch
D. Jean-Jacques
M · Philadelphia
7.30
· 24 pass
Milan Iloski
F · Philadelphia
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
Hugo Picard
M · Columbus
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
André Gomes
M · Columbus
7.20
· 45 pass
O. Makhanya
D · Philadelphia
7.00
· 60 pass
M. Arfsten
M · Columbus
7.00
· 39 pass
Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Blake | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Ben Bender | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Makhanya | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 60 | 43% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Geiner Martínez | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Nathan Harriel | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Indiana Vassilev | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Jean-Jacques | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| Jovan Lukić | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Cavan Sullivan | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 25 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Bruno Damiani | F | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| Milan Iloski | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Agustin Anello | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| E. Alladoh | F | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Columbus Crew — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Schulte | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Steven Moreira | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Sean Zawadzki | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 61% | 4 | — | — |
| R. Camacho | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 85 | 73% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mohamed Farsi | D | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Hugo Picard | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Sekou Tidiany Bangoura | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| André Gomes | M | 67 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 6 | — | — |
| M. Arfsten | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Dániel Gazdag | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| Diego Rossi | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Amar Sejdic | M | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Andres Herrera | D | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Dylan Chambost | M | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Taha Habroune | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?
The final score was Philadelphia Union 1–1 Columbus Crew.
What did the model predict before Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Philadelphia Union win, 29% to a draw, and 24% to an Columbus Crew win.