Philadelphia Union 2–2 Inter Miami — pre-match prediction — MLS — August 20, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 20 August 20, 2026 01:30

Philadelphia Union

#6 · 46 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Inter Miami

#3 · 55 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Philadelphia Union, result Draw

I. Vassilev (ast. F. Westfield) 11'

N. Pierre (ast. M. Iloski) 58'

21' (ast. L. Suarez) D. Pinter

26' (ast. I. Fray) L. Messi

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Philadelphia Union a 61% win probability (draw 16%, Inter Miami 22%). The final result was Philadelphia Union 2–2 Inter Miami. In 1 previous meetings, Philadelphia Union have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Inter Miami.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.59

Actual xG

1.48

Saves

43%

Possession

57%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

⚽I. Vassilev · ast. F. Westfield

11'

21'

ast. L. Suarez · D. Pinter⚽

26'

ast. I. Fray · L. Messi⚽

K. Wagner

43'

50'

S. Reguilon

55'

I. Fray

⚽N. Pierre · ast. M. Iloski

58'

62'

↕ I. Vassilev / Q. Sullivan

68'

73'

N. Allen / S. Reguilon ↕

73'

D. Ayala / T. Segovia ↕

↕ B. Damiani / E. Alladoh

82'

↕ J. Bueno / A. Bedoya

82'

M. Iloski

87'

E. Alladoh

90'+5

90'+9

D. Ruiz / D. Pinter ↕

Q. Sullivan

90'+13

C. Sullivan

90'+13

Y. Bright

Pre-match prediction

61.12%

Philadelphia

16.35%

X ←

22.53%

Inter

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 16.35% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Philadelphia

3.04

2.59

-0.45

Inter

1.70

1.48

-0.22

Philadelphia Union dominated by xG (2.59 vs 1.48). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	31	70
2	New England Revolution	31	55
3	Inter Miami	31	55
4	Chicago Fire	31	51
5	Charlotte	31	47
6	Philadelphia Union	31	46
7	Orlando City SC	31	42
8	FC Cincinnati	31	42
9	New York Red Bulls	31	39
10	Columbus Crew	31	38
11	Toronto FC	31	36
12	New York City FC	31	35
13	DC United	31	33
14	Atlanta United FC	31	30
15	CF Montreal	31	25

Lineups

Philadelphia Union 4-4-2

A. Blake G 6.70

K. Wagner D 7.00

N. Harriel D 6.20

Neil Pierre 1 ⚽ D 7.70

F. Westfield 1 👟 D 7.50

I. Vassilev 1 ⚽ 68' M 7.60

J. Bueno 82' M 6.90

D. Jean-Jacques M 7.20

Cavan Sullivan M 6.90

M. Iloski 1 👟 F 7.30

B. Damiani 82' F 7.50

Bench

A. Anello F

A. Bedoya 8' M 6.30

A. Rick G

B. Bender M

E. Alladoh 8' F 6.30

J. Rafanello M

J. Sery Larsen D

M. Jakupovic F

Q. Sullivan 22' M 6.70

Inter Miami 4-3-3

D. St. Clair G 7.70

Reguilón 73' D 6.20

M. Falcón D 6.90

G. Luján D 6.30

I. Fray 1 👟 D 6.50

T. Segovia 73' M 6.50

Casemiro M 8.00

Y. Bright M 6.70

Daniel Pinter 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.00

L. Suárez 1 👟 F 6.70

L. Messi 1 ⚽ F 9.00

Bench

A. Shaw M

D. Ayala 17' M 6.60

D. Ruíz 1' M

F. Caicedo D

F. Mura D

L. Delinois F

N. Allen 17' D 6.70

P. Plambeck M

R. Ríos Novo G

Best on the pitch

L. Messi

F · Inter

9.00

1 ⚽

1 shots · 28 pass

Casemiro

M · Inter

8.00

· 61 pass

D. St. Clair

G · Inter

7.70

· 27 pass

Neil Pierre

D · Philadelphia

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 28 pass

I. Vassilev

M · Philadelphia

7.60

1 ⚽

2 shots · 20 pass

F. Westfield

D · Philadelphia

7.50

1 👟

· 29 pass

Philadelphia Union — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Blake	G	90	6.70	—	—	—	26	19%	—	—	—
K. Wagner	D	90	7.00	—	—	1	41	32%	—	1	—
N. Harriel	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	26	22%	—	—	—
Neil Pierre	D	90	7.70	1	—	2	28	21%	1	—	—
F. Westfield	D	90	7.50	—	1	—	29	21%	1	—	—
I. Vassilev	M	68	7.60	1	—	2	20	17%	2	—	—
J. Bueno	M	82	6.90	—	—	—	30	28%	1	—	—
D. Jean-Jacques	M	90	7.20	—	—	1	42	37%	4	—	—
Cavan Sullivan	M	90	6.90	—	—	2	28	18%	4	—	1
M. Iloski	F	90	7.30	—	1	3	22	20%	—	1	—
B. Damiani	F	82	7.50	—	—	1	17	12%	—	—	—
A. Bedoya	M	8	6.30	—	—	—	6	4%	—	—	—
E. Alladoh	F	8	6.30	—	—	—	5	3%	—	1	—
Q. Sullivan	M	22	6.70	—	—	—	10	7%	—	1	—

Inter Miami — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
D. St. Clair	G	90	7.70	—	—	—	27	17%	—	—	—
Reguilón	D	73	6.20	—	—	—	40	28%	—	1	—
M. Falcón	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	35	33%	1	—	—
G. Luján	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	41	36%	—	—	—
I. Fray	D	90	6.50	—	1	—	45	37%	—	1	—
T. Segovia	M	73	6.50	—	—	—	32	27%	1	—	—
Casemiro	M	90	8.00	—	—	—	61	50%	—	—	—
Y. Bright	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	50	42%	2	—	1
Daniel Pinter	F	89	7.00	1	—	2	29	24%	1	—	—
L. Suárez	F	90	6.70	—	1	—	45	31%	—	—	—
L. Messi	F	90	9.00	1	—	1	28	23%	1	—	—
D. Ayala	M	17	6.60	—	—	—	9	8%	1	—	—
D. Ruíz	M	1	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
N. Allen	D	17	6.70	—	—	—	14	8%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami?

The final score was Philadelphia Union 2–2 Inter Miami.

What did the model predict before Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami?

The model assigned 61% probability to a Philadelphia Union win, 16% to a draw, and 22% to an Inter Miami win.