MLS
· Regular Season - 11
May 03, 2026 01:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nashville SC a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Philadelphia Union 32%). The final result was Philadelphia Union 0–0 Nashville SC.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
1
1.66
Actual xG
0.49
1
Saves
5
46%
Possession
54%
5
Corners
2
19
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
J. Sery Larsen
/ G. Martinez
15'
62'
H. Mukhtar
/
W. Pacius
62'
C. Espinoza
/
S. Mohammed
62'
A. Najar
/
J. Bauer
G. Martinez
64'
I. Vassilev
/ B. Damiani
69'
C. Sullivan
/ A. Anello
69'
86'
M. Corcoran
/
B. Acosta
86'
J. Knight
/
W. Madrigal
90'+1
D. Lovitz
Pre-match prediction
32.18%
Philadelphia
32.78%
X ←
35.04%
Nashville
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.18
1.66
+0.48
1.33
0.49
-0.84
Philadelphia Union dominated by xG (1.66 vs 0.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
18
G
26
Nathan Harriel
D
Nathan Harriel
D
29
Olwethu Makhanya
D
Olwethu Makhanya
D
5
Japhet Sery Larsen
15'
D
39
Frankie Westfield
D
Frankie Westfield
D
6
Cavan Sullivan
69'
M
Cavan Sullivan
69'
M
21
Danley Jean Jacques
M
Danley Jean Jacques
M
4
Jovan Lukić
M
Jovan Lukić
M
19
Indiana Vassilev
69'
M
Indiana Vassilev
69'
M
23
Ezekiel Alladoh
F
Ezekiel Alladoh
F
10
Milan Iloski
F
Milan Iloski
F
Bench
11
Alejandro Bedoya
M
Alejandro Bedoya
M
16
Ben Bender
M
Ben Bender
M
9
Bruno Damiani
25'
F
Bruno Damiani
25'
F
2
Geiner Martínez
79'
D
Geiner Martínez
79'
D
14
Jeremy Rafanello
M
Jeremy Rafanello
M
20
Philippe Ndinga
D
Philippe Ndinga
D
99
Brian Schwake
G
Brian Schwake
G
2
Daniel Lovitz
D
Daniel Lovitz
D
3
D
5
D
22
Josh Bauer
62'
D
Josh Bauer
62'
D
37
Ahmed Qasem
M
Ahmed Qasem
M
6
Bryan Acosta
86'
M
Bryan Acosta
86'
M
8
P. Yazbek
M
14
Shakur Mohammed
62'
M
Shakur Mohammed
62'
M
17
Woobens Pacius
62'
F
Woobens Pacius
62'
F
41
Warren Madrigal
86'
F
Warren Madrigal
86'
F
Bench
19
Alex Muyl
M
Alex Muyl
M
31
Andy Najar
32'
D
Andy Najar
32'
D
7
Cristian Espinoza
32'
F
Cristian Espinoza
32'
F
10
Hany Mukhtar
32'
M
Hany Mukhtar
32'
M
16
Matthew Corcoran
8'
M
Matthew Corcoran
8'
M
Best on the pitch
Brian Schwake
G · Nashville
8.30
· 33 pass
Frankie Westfield
D · Philadelphia
7.90
· 38 pass
Andy Najar
D · Nashville
7.50
· 20 pass
D · Nashville
7.50
1 shots
· 77 pass
Jovan Lukić
M · Philadelphia
7.50
1 shots
· 49 pass
D · Nashville
7.50
1 shots
· 70 pass
Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| Nathan Harriel | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| Olwethu Makhanya | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Japhet Sery Larsen | D | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Frankie Westfield | D | 94 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Cavan Sullivan | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Danley Jean Jacques | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | 5 | — | — |
| Jovan Lukić | M | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Indiana Vassilev | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Ezekiel Alladoh | F | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Milan Iloski | F | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Damiani | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Geiner Martínez | D | 79 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 3 | 1 | — |
Nashville SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Schwake | G | 94 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Lovitz | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 66% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 77 | 68% | 1 | — | — | |
| Josh Bauer | D | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Ahmed Qasem | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Bryan Acosta | M | 86 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Yazbek | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| Shakur Mohammed | M | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Woobens Pacius | F | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Warren Madrigal | F | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Andy Najar | D | 32 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Espinoza | F | 32 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Hany Mukhtar | M | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Matthew Corcoran | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC?
The final score was Philadelphia Union 0–0 Nashville SC.
What did the model predict before Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Philadelphia Union win, 32% to a draw, and 35% to an Nashville SC win.