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Philadelphia Union - Necaxa

Leagues Cup August 10, 2026 01:30
Philadelphia Union
vs
Necaxa
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.11%
Win
Philadelphia Union
29.42%
Draw
30.47%
Win
Necaxa
2.27
Expected xG
1.52

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.68%)
1X2 Result
1 40%
X 29%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 60%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Philadelphia Union a 40% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Necaxa. Expected goals are 2.3 for Philadelphia Union and 1.5 for Necaxa (total 3.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.68% probability.

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union
3W 5D 7L
Necaxa
6W 3D 6L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.3
1.9
Conceded
1.4
4.9
Shots OT
4.1
5.6
Corners
4.7
45%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
73%
73%
BTTS
67%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Philadelphia Union
3W 3D 4L · at home
Necaxa
3W 2D 5L · away
1.4
gls/g
1.4
0.8
Conceded
1.9
30%
Win %
30%
60%
Win or Draw
50%
50%
O 1.5
90%
40%
O 2.5
70%
20%
O 3.5
40%
40%
BTTS
80%
40%
Clean Sht
10%
40%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Score Matrix

↕ Philadelphia Union Necaxa →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3% 3.4% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
1 5.1% 7.8% 5.9% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.8% 8.9% 6.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.4% 6.7% 5.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.5% 3.8% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 42%
Necaxa Necaxa
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
Attack
52
Defence
63
Form
57
Necaxa Necaxa
Attack
44
Defence
71
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Necaxa?
The model gives Philadelphia Union a 40% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 30% for an Necaxa win.
How many goals are expected in Philadelphia Union vs Necaxa?
Expected goals: Philadelphia Union 2.3, Necaxa 1.5 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Philadelphia Union vs Necaxa?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.68%.