✗Model wrong — prediction Philadelphia Union, result New England Revolution wins
Neil Pierre
(ast. Kai Wagner)
90'+12
45'+3
(ast. Peyton Miller)
Dor Turgeman
(pen.)
90'+1
Carles Gil
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Philadelphia Union a 75% win probability (draw 12%, New England Revolution 12%). The final result was Philadelphia Union 1–2 New England Revolution. In 1 previous meetings, Philadelphia Union have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for New England Revolution.
Match statistics
25
Total shots
12
8
Shots on target
8
1.97
Actual xG
1.90
6
Saves
7
53%
Possession
47%
4
Corners
6
13
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
45'+3
ast. Peyton Miller ·
Dor Turgeman⚽
Bruno Damiani
61'
Jovan Lukic
63'
65'
Jackson Yueill
Indiana Vassilev
/ Agustin Anello
68'
76'
Brooklyn Raines
/
Dániel Gazdag
Nathan Harriel
/ Malik Jakupovic
82'
90'+1
(pen.)
Carles Gil⚽
90'+2
Wilson Harris
/
Dor Turgeman
90'+2
Mamadou Fofana
/
Luca Daniel·Langoni
90'+7
Diego Fagúndez
/
Carles Gil
90'+7
Judah Siqueira
/
Jackson Yueill
⚽Neil Pierre
· ast. Kai Wagner
90'+12
Pre-match prediction
75.25%
Philadelphia
12.31%
X
12.44%
New ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (New England Revolution)
12.44%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.07
1.97
-2.1
1.49
1.90
+0.41
xG dominance was balanced (1.97 – 1.90).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
18
A. Blake
G
A. Blake
G
27
K. Wagner
1 👟
D
K. Wagner
1 👟
D
26
N. Harriel
82'
D
N. Harriel
82'
D
44
Neil Pierre
1 ⚽
D
Neil Pierre
1 ⚽
D
39
F. Westfield
D
F. Westfield
D
19
I. Vassilev
68'
M
I. Vassilev
68'
M
4
J. Lukić
M
J. Lukić
M
21
D. Jean-Jacques
M
D. Jean-Jacques
M
33
Q. Sullivan
M
Q. Sullivan
M
9
B. Damiani
F
B. Damiani
F
10
M. Iloski
F
M. Iloski
F
Bench
28
A. Anello
22'
F
A. Anello
22'
F
11
A. Bedoya
M
A. Bedoya
M
76
A. Rick
G
A. Rick
G
16
B. Bender
M
B. Bender
M
23
E. Alladoh
F
E. Alladoh
F
14
J. Rafanello
M
J. Rafanello
M
5
J. Sery Larsen
D
J. Sery Larsen
D
47
K. LeBlanc
M
K. LeBlanc
M
51
M. Jakupovic
8'
F
M. Jakupovic
8'
F
30
M. Turner
G
M. Turner
G
25
P. Miller
1 👟
D
P. Miller
1 👟
D
66
J. Wynder
D
J. Wynder
D
22
E. Kohler
D
E. Kohler
D
12
I. Feingold
D
I. Feingold
D
14
J. Yueill
M
J. Yueill
M
8
M. Polster
M
M. Polster
M
10
Carles Gil
1 ⚽
M
Carles Gil
1 ⚽
M
16
D. Gazdag
76'
F
D. Gazdag
76'
F
99
D. Turgeman
1 ⚽
F
D. Turgeman
1 ⚽
F
41
L. Langoni
F
L. Langoni
F
Bench
21
B. Raines
14'
M
B. Raines
14'
M
15
C. Baker
D
C. Baker
D
77
D. Fagundez
45'
M
D. Fagundez
45'
M
33
D. Parisian
G
D. Parisian
G
7
G. Yow
F
G. Yow
F
65
J. Siqueira
45'
M
J. Siqueira
45'
M
2
M. Fofana
45'
D
M. Fofana
45'
D
4
T. Beason
D
T. Beason
D
27
W. Harris
45'
F
W. Harris
45'
F
Best on the pitch
D. Turgeman
F · New
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
Carles Gil
M · New
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 59 pass
A. Blake
G · Philadelphia
7.84
· 24 pass
M. Turner
G · New
7.35
· 31 pass
M. Polster
M · New
7.18
1 shots
· 48 pass
J. Wynder
D · New
7.18
1 shots
· 48 pass
Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Blake | G | 90 | 7.84 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Wagner | D | 90 | 7.03 | — | 1 | 0 | 71 | 55% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Harriel | D | 82 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 59 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Neil Pierre | D | 90 | 6.71 | 1 | — | 2 | 32 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Westfield | D | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 38% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Vassilev | M | 68 | 6.09 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Lukić | M | 90 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 69 | 60% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D. Jean-Jacques | M | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Q. Sullivan | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Damiani | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 33 | 23% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Iloski | F | 90 | 6.91 | — | — | 7 | 22 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Anello | F | 22 | 0.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Jakupovic | F | 8 | 0.00 | — | — | 3 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
New England Revolution — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Turner | G | 90 | 7.35 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Miller | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 38 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Wynder | D | 90 | 7.18 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Kohler | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 41% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Feingold | D | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Yueill | M | 97 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Polster | M | 90 | 7.18 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Carles Gil | M | 97 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 59 | 46% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Gazdag | F | 76 | 6.49 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Turgeman | F | 92 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Langoni | F | 92 | 6.37 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Raines | M | 14 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Fagundez | M | 45 | 0.00 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Siqueira | M | 45 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Fofana | D | 45 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Harris | F | 45 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?
The final score was Philadelphia Union 1–2 New England Revolution.
What did the model predict before Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?
The model assigned 75% probability to a Philadelphia Union win, 12% to a draw, and 12% to an New England Revolution win.