Philadelphia Union 4–2 Orlando City SC — pre-match prediction — MLS — September 27, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 27 September 27, 2026 01:30 Talen Energy Stadium, Philadelphia

Philadelphia Union

#6 · 46 pts

4 – 2

Final score

Orlando City SC

#7 · 42 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski 11' (pen.)

Milan Iloski (ast. Indiana Vassilev) 19'

Indiana Vassilev (ast. Jesus Bueno) 47'

Milan Iloski (ast. Indiana Vassilev) 51'

78' (ast. Antoine Griezmann) Iván Angulo

90' (ast. Harvey Graham Sarajian) Martin Ojeda

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Philadelphia Union a 73% win probability (draw 13%, Orlando City SC 13%). The final result was Philadelphia Union 4–2 Orlando City SC. In 1 previous meetings, Philadelphia Union have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Orlando City SC.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

36%

Possession

64%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽Milan Iloski (pen.)

11'

12'

Eduard Atuesta

⚽Milan Iloski · ast. Indiana Vassilev

19'

37'

Iago Teodoro

43'

Joran Gerbet

⚽Indiana Vassilev · ast. Jesus Bueno

47'

⚽Milan Iloski · ast. Indiana Vassilev

51'

54'

Harvey Graham Sarajian / Bernardo Rhein ↕

54'

Luis Otávio Costa de Aquino / Joran Gerbet ↕

54'

Vinicius Nogueira / Zakaria Taifi ↕

Quinn Sullivan

62'

Japhet Sery Larsen

77'

78'

ast. Antoine Griezmann · Iván Angulo⚽

↕ Quinn Sullivan / Alejandro Bedoya

79'

↕ Milan Iloski / Agustin Anello

79'

84'

Iván Angulo

↕ Bruno Damiani / Ezekiel Kwame Alladoh

85'

↕ Indiana Vassilev / Jeremy Rafanello

85'

89'

Tiago Souza de Jesús Carvalho / Daryl Dike ↕

↕ Benjamin Bender / Jordan Griffin

90'+1

90'

ast. Harvey Graham Sarajian · Martin Ojeda⚽

Pre-match prediction

73.86%

Philadelphia ←

13.13%

13.01%

Orlando

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Philadelphia Union) 73.86% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Philadelphia

3.31

—

Orlando

1.16

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	31	70
2	New England Revolution	31	55
3	Inter Miami	31	55
4	Chicago Fire	31	51
5	Charlotte	31	47
6	Philadelphia Union	31	46
7	Orlando City SC	31	42
8	FC Cincinnati	31	42
9	New York Red Bulls	31	39
10	Columbus Crew	31	38
11	Toronto FC	31	36
12	New York City FC	31	35
13	DC United	31	33
14	Atlanta United FC	31	30
15	CF Montreal	31	25

Lineups

Philadelphia Union 4-4-2

A. Rick G 5.85

K. Wagner D 6.64

N. Harriel D 6.49

J. Sery Larsen D 6.12

B. Bender 89' D 5.84

I. Vassilev 1 ⚽ 2 👟 85' M 9.15

J. Lukić M 6.23

J. Bueno 1 👟 M 6.81

Q. Sullivan 79' M 6.25

B. Damiani 85' F 6.35

M. Iloski 3 ⚽ 79' F 9.29

Bench

A. Anello 11' F 6.49

A. Bedoya 11' M 5.98

E. Alladoh 5' F 6.71

F. Sundstrom D 0.00

G. Marks G 0.00

G. Martínez D 0.00

J. Griffin 1' D 0.00

J. Rafanello 5' M 6.37

R. Uzcátegui D 0.00

Orlando City SC 4-4-2

M. Crépeau G 6.87

Bernardo Rhein Goncalves 54' D 5.94

R. Jansson D 6.21

Iago D 5.76

Z. Taifi 54' D 5.47

I. Angulo 1 ⚽ M 7.27

Joran Gerbet 54' M 6.07

E. Atuesta M 6.38

M. Ojeda 1 ⚽ M 7.79

D. Dike 89' F 6.04

A. Griezmann 1 👟 F 7.14

Bench

Adrián Marín D 0.00

Gustavo Caraballo Delgado M 0.00

Harvey Sarajian 1 👟 36' F 6.67

Javier Otero G 0.00

J. Hylton M 0.00

Luis Otávio 36' M 5.98

N. Miller D 0.00

Tiago 1' F 6.30

Vinícius Nogueira 36' D 5.77

Best on the pitch

M. Iloski

F · Philadelphia

9.29

3 ⚽

6 shots · 18 pass

I. Vassilev

M · Philadelphia

9.15

1 ⚽ 2 👟

3 shots · 25 pass

M. Ojeda

M · Orlando

7.79

1 ⚽

4 shots · 52 pass

I. Angulo

M · Orlando

7.27

1 ⚽

1 shots · 54 pass

A. Griezmann

F · Orlando

7.14

1 👟

3 shots · 47 pass

M. Crépeau

G · Orlando

6.87

· 22 pass

Philadelphia Union — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Rick	G	90	5.85	—	—	0	30	11%	0	—	—
K. Wagner	D	90	6.64	—	—	0	30	23%	2	—	—
N. Harriel	D	90	6.49	—	—	1	23	19%	1	—	—
J. Sery Larsen	D	90	6.12	—	—	0	14	12%	2	1	—
B. Bender	D	89	5.84	—	—	0	29	19%	1	—	—
I. Vassilev	M	85	9.15	1	2	3	25	22%	0	—	—
J. Lukić	M	90	6.23	—	—	1	34	29%	7	—	—
J. Bueno	M	90	6.81	—	1	1	37	31%	1	—	—
Q. Sullivan	M	79	6.25	—	—	3	21	17%	3	1	—
B. Damiani	F	85	6.35	—	—	1	23	15%	3	—	—
M. Iloski	F	79	9.29	3	—	6	18	11%	1	—	—
A. Anello	F	11	6.49	—	—	0	12	11%	0	—	—
A. Bedoya	M	11	5.98	—	—	1	9	4%	0	—	—
E. Alladoh	F	5	6.71	—	—	3	5	5%	0	—	—
J. Griffin	D	1	0.00	—	—	0	0	0%	2	—	—
J. Rafanello	M	5	6.37	—	—	0	0	0%	0	—	—

Orlando City SC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Crépeau	G	90	6.87	—	—	0	22	20%	0	—	—
Bernardo Rhein Goncalves	D	54	5.94	—	—	1	33	29%	2	—	—
R. Jansson	D	90	6.21	—	—	0	84	76%	2	—	—
Iago	D	90	5.76	—	—	0	51	48%	0	1	—
Z. Taifi	D	54	5.47	—	—	0	21	14%	0	—	—
I. Angulo	M	90	7.27	1	—	1	54	42%	3	1	—
Joran Gerbet	M	54	6.07	—	—	0	44	39%	1	1	—
E. Atuesta	M	90	6.38	—	—	0	73	64%	6	1	—
M. Ojeda	M	90	7.79	1	—	4	52	40%	0	—	—
D. Dike	F	89	6.04	—	—	1	15	8%	0	—	—
A. Griezmann	F	90	7.14	—	1	3	47	35%	3	—	—
Harvey Sarajian	F	36	6.67	—	1	0	12	9%	0	—	—
Luis Otávio	M	36	5.98	—	—	0	25	20%	3	—	—
Tiago	F	1	6.30	—	—	0	4	4%	0	—	—
Vinícius Nogueira	D	36	5.77	—	—	1	36	29%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?

The final score was Philadelphia Union 4–2 Orlando City SC.

What did the model predict before Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?

The model assigned 73% probability to a Philadelphia Union win, 13% to a draw, and 13% to an Orlando City SC win.