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MLS · Regular Season - 28 October 11, 2026 01:30 Talen Energy Stadium, Philadelphia
Philadelphia Union
#6 · 46 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Real Salt Lake
#10 · 39 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Philadelphia Union
Bruno Damiani (ast. Francis Westfield) 31'
Milan Iloski (ast. Cavan Sullivan) 81'
90'+6 (ast. Luc De Fougerolles) Saba Lobjanidze
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Philadelphia Union a 80% win probability (draw 10%, Real Salt Lake 8%). The final result was Philadelphia Union 2–1 Real Salt Lake.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
4
1.85
Actual xG
0.83
3
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
4
Corners
3
13
Tackles
17
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Danley Jean Jacques
2'
13'
DeAndre Yedlin
Francis Westfield
23'
⚽Bruno Damiani · ast. Francis Westfield
31'
45'
Juan Sanabria / Sam Junqua ↕
45'
Luc De Fougerolles / DeAndre Yedlin ↕
62'
Dominik Marczuk
↕ Indiana Vassilev / Quinn Sullivan
64'
65'
Saba Lobjanidze / Aiden Hezarkhani ↕
70'
Chadwick Zachary Booth / Dominik Marczuk ↕
↕ Jovan Lukic / Jesus Bueno
74'
79'
Ariath Piol / Sergi Solans ↕
Jesus Bueno
80'
⚽Milan Iloski · ast. Cavan Sullivan
81'
82'
Bruno Damiani
89'
↕ Cavan Sullivan / Benjamin Bender
90'+1
↕ Milan Iloski / Malik Jakupovic
90'+2
↕ Danley Jean Jacques / Alejandro Bedoya
90'+2
90'+6
ast. Luc De Fougerolles · Saba Lobjanidze⚽
Pre-match prediction
80.71%
Philadelphia ←
10.45%
X
8.84%
Real
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Philadelphia Union) 80.71% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Philadelphia
3.61
1.85
-1.76
Real
0.83
0.83
+-0.0
Philadelphia Union dominated by xG (1.85 vs 0.83). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 31 70
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 31 55
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 31 55
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 31 51
5 Charlotte Charlotte 31 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 31 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 31 42
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 31 42
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 31 39
10 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 31 38
11 Toronto FC Toronto FC 31 36
12 New York City FC New York City FC 31 35
13 DC United DC United 31 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 31 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 31 25
Lineups
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-4-2
18 A. Blake A. Blake G 6.65
27 K. Wagner K. Wagner D 6.82
26 N. Harriel N. Harriel D 7.20
44 Neil Pierre Neil Pierre D 7.20
39 F. Westfield F. Westfield 1 👟 D 6.76
19 I. Vassilev I. Vassilev 64' M 6.46
4 J. Lukić J. Lukić 74' M 6.67
21 D. Jean-Jacques D. Jean-Jacques 89' M 6.22
6 Cavan Sullivan Cavan Sullivan 1 👟 89' M 7.44
9 B. Damiani B. Damiani 1 ⚽ F 7.89
10 M. Iloski M. Iloski 1 ⚽ 89' F 8.14
Bench
11 A. Bedoya A. Bedoya 1' M 0.00
76 A. Rick A. Rick G 0.00
16 B. Bender B. Bender 1' M 0.00
23 E. Alladoh E. Alladoh F 0.00
2 G. Martínez G. Martínez D 0.00
8 J. Bueno J. Bueno 16' M 6.27
14 J. Rafanello J. Rafanello M 0.00
51 M. Jakupovic M. Jakupovic 1' F 0.00
33 Q. Sullivan Q. Sullivan 26' M 6.54
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-4-2-1
1 Rafael Cabral Rafael Cabral G 6.83
3 K. Henry K. Henry D 6.10
26 P. Quinton P. Quinton D 5.76
2 D. Yedlin D. Yedlin 45' D 5.95
29 S. Junqua S. Junqua 45' M 5.51
6 S. Spierings S. Spierings M 6.60
92 N. Caliskan N. Caliskan M 6.59
11 D. Marczuk D. Marczuk 70' M 5.52
9 M. Guilavogui M. Guilavogui M 6.22
39 A. Hezarkhani A. Hezarkhani 65' M 6.15
22 S. Solans S. Solans 79' F 6.26
Bench
98 A. Katránis A. Katránis D 0.00
19 A. Piol A. Piol 11' F 6.32
23 Chadwick Zachary Booth Chadwick Zachary Booth 20' M 5.99
25 Colin Guske Colin Guske M 0.00
8 J. Sanabria J. Sanabria 45' M 6.46
44 L. De Fougerolles L. De Fougerolles 1 👟 45' D 6.40
34 L. Moisa L. Moisa M 0.00
31 M. Stajduhar M. Stajduhar G 0.00
12 S. Lobzhanidze S. Lobzhanidze 1 ⚽ 25' F 7.62
Best on the pitch
M. Iloski
M. Iloski
F · Philadelphia
8.14
1 ⚽
3 shots · 24 pass
B. Damiani
B. Damiani
F · Philadelphia
7.89
1 ⚽
5 shots · 31 pass
S. Lobzhanidze
S. Lobzhanidze
F · Real
7.62
1 ⚽
3 shots · 7 pass
Cavan Sullivan
Cavan Sullivan
M · Philadelphia
7.44
1 👟
3 shots · 35 pass
N. Harriel
N. Harriel
D · Philadelphia
7.20
· 45 pass
Neil Pierre
Neil Pierre
D · Philadelphia
7.20
· 47 pass
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Blake G 90 6.65 — — 0 18 8% 0 — —
K. Wagner D 90 6.82 — — 0 80 62% 0 — —
N. Harriel D 90 7.20 — — 0 45 41% 1 — —
Neil Pierre D 90 7.20 — — 0 47 40% 1 — —
F. Westfield D 90 6.76 — 1 2 45 34% 0 1 —
I. Vassilev M 64 6.46 — — 1 28 24% 1 — —
J. Lukić M 74 6.67 — — 0 50 43% 4 — —
D. Jean-Jacques M 89 6.22 — — 0 49 39% 2 1 —
Cavan Sullivan M 89 7.44 — 1 3 35 26% 2 — —
B. Damiani F 90 7.89 1 — 5 31 22% 2 1 —
M. Iloski F 89 8.14 1 — 3 24 19% 0 — —
A. Bedoya M 1 0.00 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
B. Bender M 1 0.00 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
J. Bueno M 16 6.27 — — 0 9 8% 0 1 —
M. Jakupovic F 1 0.00 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
Q. Sullivan M 26 6.54 — — 0 12 12% 0 — —
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rafael Cabral G 90 6.83 — — 0 24 19% 0 — —
K. Henry D 90 6.10 — — 0 57 43% 2 — —
P. Quinton D 90 5.76 — — 0 49 41% 1 — —
D. Yedlin D 45 5.95 — — 0 19 14% 2 1 —
S. Junqua M 45 5.51 — — 0 25 15% 3 — —
S. Spierings M 90 6.60 — — 1 61 51% 2 — —
N. Caliskan M 90 6.59 — — 2 56 51% 0 — —
D. Marczuk M 70 5.52 — — 1 21 11% 1 1 —
M. Guilavogui M 90 6.22 — — 1 43 34% 3 — —
A. Hezarkhani M 65 6.15 — — 1 11 6% 0 — —
S. Solans F 79 6.26 — — 2 5 3% 0 — —
A. Piol F 11 6.32 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Chadwick Zachary Booth M 20 5.99 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
J. Sanabria M 45 6.46 — — 0 35 30% 1 — —
L. De Fougerolles D 45 6.40 — 1 0 28 23% 2 — —
S. Lobzhanidze F 25 7.62 1 — 3 7 7% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?
The final score was Philadelphia Union 2–1 Real Salt Lake.
What did the model predict before Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?
The model assigned 80% probability to a Philadelphia Union win, 10% to a draw, and 8% to an Real Salt Lake win.