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Philadelphia Union - Santos Laguna

Leagues Cup August 14, 2026 01:00
Philadelphia Union
vs
Santos Laguna
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.12%
Win
Philadelphia Union
28.61%
Draw
27.27%
Win
Santos Laguna
2.43
Expected xG
1.02

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.79%)
1X2 Result
1 44%
X 29%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 56%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Philadelphia Union a 44% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Santos Laguna. Expected goals are 2.4 for Philadelphia Union and 1.0 for Santos Laguna (total 3.4), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.79% probability.

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union
3W 5D 7L
Santos Laguna
3W 2D 10L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.2
1.9
Conceded
2.0
4.9
Shots OT
3.3
5.6
Corners
4.3
45%
Poss.
47%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
87%
60%
O 2.5
73%
73%
BTTS
67%
20%
Clean Sht
7%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Philadelphia Union
3W 3D 4L · at home
Santos Laguna
1W 1D 8L · away
1.4
gls/g
1.1
0.8
Conceded
2.9
30%
Win %
10%
60%
Win or Draw
20%
50%
O 1.5
100%
40%
O 2.5
90%
20%
O 3.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%
40%
Clean Sht
0%
40%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Score Matrix

↕ Philadelphia Union Santos Laguna →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% —
1 7.7% 7.9% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.6% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.6% 7.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.6% 4.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% —
5 2.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% —

Recent form

Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 42%
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
Attack
52
Defence
63
Form
57
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
Attack
30
Defence
67
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Santos Laguna?
The model gives Philadelphia Union a 44% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 27% for an Santos Laguna win.
How many goals are expected in Philadelphia Union vs Santos Laguna?
Expected goals: Philadelphia Union 2.4, Santos Laguna 1.0 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Philadelphia Union vs Santos Laguna?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.79%.