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MLS · Regular Season - 17 July 26, 2026 01:30
Philadelphia Union
#8 · 30 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Seattle Sounders
#13 · 27 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Philadelphia Union
M. Iloski (ast. F. Westfield) 31'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Philadelphia Union a 60% win probability (draw 20%, Seattle Sounders 19%). The final result was Philadelphia Union 1–0 Seattle Sounders.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
1
1.15
Actual xG
0.36
1
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
5
Corners
1
18
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
12'
H. Dotson
⚽M. Iloski · ast. F. Westfield
31'
59'
G. Sandnes / A. Lopez ↕
60'
P. Kingston / K. Kossa-Rienzi ↕
60'
J. Ferreira / P. Arriola ↕
↕ I. Vassilev / Q. Sullivan
65'
↕ B. Damiani / E. Alladoh
65'
80'
D. Musovski / O. De Rosario ↕
↕ D. Jean Jacques / J. Bueno
80'
80'
S. Gomez / H. Dotson ↕
↕ C. Sullivan / A. Bedoya
89'
Pre-match prediction
60.16%
Philadelphia ←
20.76%
X
19.08%
Seattle
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Philadelphia Union) 60.16% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Philadelphia
2.17
1.15
-1.02
Seattle
0.88
0.36
-0.52
Philadelphia Union dominated by xG (1.15 vs 0.36). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 24 53
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 24 44
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 24 40
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 23 39
5 Charlotte Charlotte 24 39
6 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 24 31
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 23 31
8 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 24 30
9 New York City FC New York City FC 24 29
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 24 29
11 DC United DC United 23 28
12 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 24 27
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 24 23
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 24 22
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 24 21
Lineups
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-4-2
18 A. Blake A. Blake G 6.50
27 K. Wagner K. Wagner D 7.70
26 N. Harriel N. Harriel D 7.20
44 Neil Pierre Neil Pierre D 7.00
39 F. Westfield F. Westfield 1 👟 D 7.50
19 I. Vassilev I. Vassilev 65' M 6.70
4 J. Lukić J. Lukić M 6.50
21 D. Jean-Jacques D. Jean-Jacques 80' M 6.90
6 Cavan Sullivan Cavan Sullivan 89' M 7.30
9 B. Damiani B. Damiani 65' F 6.20
10 M. Iloski M. Iloski 1 ⚽ F 7.70
Bench
28 A. Anello A. Anello F
11 A. Bedoya A. Bedoya 3' M
76 A. Rick A. Rick G
16 B. Bender B. Bender M
23 E. Alladoh E. Alladoh 27' F 6.50
2 Geiner Martínez Geiner Martínez D
8 J. Bueno J. Bueno 12' M 6.70
5 J. Sery Larsen J. Sery Larsen D
33 Q. Sullivan Q. Sullivan 27' M 7.70
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1
26 A. Thomas A. Thomas G 7.00
5 N. Tolo N. Tolo D 6.90
35 Antino Lopez Antino Lopez 59' D 6.30
39 S. Hawkins S. Hawkins D 6.70
85 K. Kossa-Rienzi K. Kossa-Rienzi 60' D 6.20
37 S. Brunell S. Brunell M 6.90
31 H. Dotson H. Dotson 80' M 6.60
14 P. Rothrock P. Rothrock M 6.30
11 A. Rusnák A. Rusnák M 6.70
17 P. Arriola P. Arriola 60' M 7.00
95 O. De Rosario O. De Rosario 80' F 6.00
Bench
19 D. Musovski D. Musovski 12' F 6.50
53 Gallatin Sandnes Gallatin Sandnes 33' D 6.90
9 Jesús Ferreira Jesús Ferreira 32' F 6.50
50 Max Anchor Max Anchor G
45 P. Kingston P. Kingston 32' M 6.30
24 S. Frei S. Frei G
90 S. Gomez S. Gomez 12' M 6.30
28 Yeimar Gómez Yeimar Gómez D
Best on the pitch
Q. Sullivan
Q. Sullivan
M · Philadelphia
7.70
2 shots · 8 pass
K. Wagner
K. Wagner
D · Philadelphia
7.70
1 shots · 37 pass
M. Iloski
M. Iloski
F · Philadelphia
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 21 pass
F. Westfield
F. Westfield
D · Philadelphia
7.50
1 👟
· 26 pass
Cavan Sullivan
Cavan Sullivan
M · Philadelphia
7.30
3 shots · 32 pass
N. Harriel
N. Harriel
D · Philadelphia
7.20
· 30 pass
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Blake G 92 6.50 — — — 21 9% — — —
K. Wagner D 92 7.70 — — 1 37 26% 1 — —
N. Harriel D 92 7.20 — — — 30 23% — — —
Neil Pierre D 92 7.00 — — — 30 21% 2 — —
F. Westfield D 92 7.50 — 1 — 26 18% 3 — —
I. Vassilev M 65 6.70 — — — 28 22% 2 — —
J. Lukić M 92 6.50 — — — 40 33% 2 — —
D. Jean-Jacques M 80 6.90 — — — 32 28% 2 — —
Cavan Sullivan M 89 7.30 — — 3 32 22% 3 — —
B. Damiani F 65 6.20 — — 1 19 15% — — —
M. Iloski F 92 7.70 1 — 3 21 12% 1 — —
A. Bedoya M 3 — — — — — — — — —
E. Alladoh F 27 6.50 — — 1 11 7% — — —
J. Bueno M 12 6.70 — — — 5 5% 2 — —
Q. Sullivan M 27 7.70 — — 2 8 6% — — —
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Thomas G 92 7.00 — — — 32 21% — — —
N. Tolo D 92 6.90 — — — 37 34% 1 — —
Antino Lopez D 59 6.30 — — — 30 25% — — —
S. Hawkins D 92 6.70 — — — 70 57% 1 — —
K. Kossa-Rienzi D 60 6.20 — — — 29 17% — — —
S. Brunell M 92 6.90 — — — 39 30% 3 — —
H. Dotson M 80 6.60 — — 1 48 33% 1 1 —
P. Rothrock M 92 6.30 — — 2 14 9% 1 — —
A. Rusnák M 92 6.70 — — 1 31 29% — — —
P. Arriola M 60 7.00 — — 1 12 8% 3 — —
O. De Rosario F 80 6.00 — — — 22 17% — — —
D. Musovski F 12 6.50 — — — 2 — — — —
Gallatin Sandnes D 33 6.90 — — — 38 33% 1 — —
Jesús Ferreira F 32 6.50 — — — 23 20% — — —
P. Kingston M 32 6.30 — — 1 18 14% — — —
S. Gomez M 12 6.30 — — — 7 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders?
The final score was Philadelphia Union 1–0 Seattle Sounders.
What did the model predict before Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Philadelphia Union win, 20% to a draw, and 19% to an Seattle Sounders win.