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← AFC Champions League Two

Phnom Penh Crown - Kitchee

AFC Champions League Two October 29, 2026 13:15
Phnom Penh Crown
#1 · 6 pts
vs
Kitchee
#2 · 2 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.39%
Win
Phnom Penh Crown
32.57%
Draw
35.04%
Win
Kitchee
0.91
Expected xG
1.54

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.81%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 33%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 68%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kitchee a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Phnom Penh Crown. Expected goals are 0.9 for Phnom Penh Crown and 1.5 for Kitchee (total 2.5), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.81% probability.

Season Stats

Phnom Penh Crown
2W 0D 0L
Kitchee
0W 2D 0L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
0.5
1.0
Conceded
0.5
3.0
Shots OT
2.0
1.0
Corners
4.0
36%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 2 matches in AFC Champions League Two. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Phnom Penh Crown Kitchee →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6% 13.3% 10.2% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6%
1 7.9% 12.1% 9.3% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6%
2 3.6% 5.5% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%
3 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 — 0.1% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Phnom Penh Crown Phnom Penh Crown
W Gangwon FC 1–2
W Kuching FA 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
Kitchee Kitchee
D Kuching FA 1–1
D Gangwon FC 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

Phnom Penh Crown Phnom Penh Crown
Attack
41
Defence
59
Form
75
Kitchee Kitchee
Attack
60
Defence
81
Form
70
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Group H

# Team G Pts
1 Phnom Penh Crown Phnom Penh Crown 2 6
2 Kitchee Kitchee 2 2
3 Kuching FA Kuching FA 2 1
4 Gangwon FC Gangwon FC 2 1

What's at stake · Group H

Top 2 advance to the next round

Phnom Penh Crown Kitchee
Current #1 #2
→ Phnom Penh Crown #1 #2
→ Draw #1 #2
→ Kitchee #1 #2

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Phnom Penh Crown vs Kitchee?
The model gives Phnom Penh Crown a 32% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 35% for an Kitchee win.
How many goals are expected in Phnom Penh Crown vs Kitchee?
Expected goals: Phnom Penh Crown 0.9, Kitchee 1.5 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Phnom Penh Crown vs Kitchee?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.81%.