Phoenix Rising 2–1 Indy Eleven — pre-match prediction — USL Championship — August 30, 2026

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USL Championship · Group Stage August 30, 2026 04:30

Phoenix Rising

#8 · 40 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Indy Eleven

#9 · 34 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Phoenix Rising

D. Badji (ast. I. Sacko) 5'

D. Flores 28'

(og) 7' P. Mar Boye

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Phoenix Rising a 55% win probability (draw 24%, Indy Eleven 20%). The final result was Phoenix Rising 2–1 Indy Eleven.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽D. Badji · ast. I. Sacko

(og) P. Mar Boye⚽

J. Moursou

24'

⚽D. Flores

28'

↕ J. Moursou / A. Pelayo

46'

C. Smith

46'

59'

A. Herbert

↕ R. Czichos / J. Torres

63'

↕ D. Flores / T. Schmitt

64'

L. Mesanvi / E. Kizza ↕

64'

C. Lindley

70'

M. Rasheed / A. Mitrano ↕

70'

M. Henry-Scott / B. Rendon ↕

71'

M. Omar / J. O'Brien ↕

↕ D. Badji / G. Studenhofft

78'

I. Sacko

87'

88'

H. Barry / P. Craig ↕

↕ D. Gomez / J. Irwin

90'+3

Pre-match prediction

55.36%

Phoenix ←

24.52%

20.12%

Indy

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Phoenix Rising) 55.36% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Phoenix

1.56

—

Indy

0.73

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	New Mexico United	30	52
2	Sacramento Republic	30	51
3	El Paso Locomotive	30	50
4	Lexington	30	48
5	Colorado Springs	30	47
6	San Antonio	30	45
7	FC Tulsa	30	43
8	Phoenix Rising	30	40
9	Orange County SC	30	39
10	Oakland Roots	30	38
11	Las Vegas Lights	30	36
12	Monterey Bay	30	24

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven?

The final score was Phoenix Rising 2–1 Indy Eleven.

What did the model predict before Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven?

The model assigned 55% probability to a Phoenix Rising win, 24% to a draw, and 20% to an Indy Eleven win.