Phoenix Rising 2–1 Indy Eleven — pre-match prediction — USL Championship — August 30, 2026

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USL Championship · Group Stage August 30, 2026 04:30

Phoenix Rising

2 – 1

Final score

Indy Eleven

#8 · 30 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Phoenix Rising

D. Badji (ast. I. Sacko) 5'

D. Flores 28'

(og) 7' P. Mar Boye

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Phoenix Rising a 55% win probability (draw 24%, Indy Eleven 20%). The final result was Phoenix Rising 2–1 Indy Eleven.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽D. Badji · ast. I. Sacko

(og) P. Mar Boye⚽

J. Moursou

24'

⚽D. Flores

28'

↕ J. Moursou / A. Pelayo

46'

C. Smith

46'

59'

A. Herbert

↕ R. Czichos / J. Torres

63'

↕ D. Flores / T. Schmitt

64'

L. Mesanvi / E. Kizza ↕

64'

C. Lindley

70'

M. Rasheed / A. Mitrano ↕

70'

M. Henry-Scott / B. Rendon ↕

71'

M. Omar / J. O'Brien ↕

↕ D. Badji / G. Studenhofft

78'

I. Sacko

87'

88'

H. Barry / P. Craig ↕

↕ D. Gomez / J. Irwin

90'+3

Pre-match prediction

55.36%

Phoenix ←

24.52%

20.12%

Indy

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Phoenix Rising) 55.36% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Phoenix

1.56

—

Indy

0.73

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	24	48
2	Charleston Battery	24	40
3	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	25	38
4	Detroit City	22	37
5	Hartford Athletic	23	34
6	Louisville City	24	33
7	Rhode Island	22	32
8	Indy Eleven	22	30
9	Miami FC	24	24
10	Loudoun United	23	20
10	Birmingham	9	10
11	Birmingham Legion	22	19
12	Brooklyn	22	17
13	Sporting JAX	24	14