USL Championship
· Group Stage
October 11, 2026 04:00
I. Sacko
(ast. J. Moursou)
24'
G. Studenhofft
(ast. D. Flores)
32'
I. Sacko
45'+9
(pen.)
77'
(ast. O. Anderson)
P. Leal
85'
(ast. P. Leal)
O. Anderson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Phoenix Rising a 48% win probability (draw 22%, Las Vegas Lights 29%). The final result was Phoenix Rising 3–2 Las Vegas Lights. In 2 previous meetings, Phoenix Rising have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Las Vegas Lights.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽I. Sacko
· ast. J. Moursou
24'
⚽G. Studenhofft
· ast. D. Flores
32'
D. Flores
/ L. Biasi
38'
45'+8
T. Henry
⚽I. Sacko
(pen.)
45'+9
K. Arase
/ C. Ambursley
46'
46'
M. Arteaga
/
C. Locker
46'
N. Jones
/
B. Ofeimu
A. Essengue
59'
G. Studenhofft
/ D. Badji
64'
68'
P. Leal
/
K. Scott
77'
ast. O. Anderson ·
P. Leal⚽
78'
B. Pope
/
J. Rodriguez
T. Schmitt
/ C. Smith
83'
I. Sacko
/ A. Pelayo
83'
85'
ast. P. Leal ·
O. Anderson⚽
P. Mar Boye
90'+5
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
48.0%
Phoenix ←
22.35%
X
29.65%
Las
we assigned to the actual result (Phoenix Rising)
48.0%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.77
—
—
1.38
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights?
The final score was Phoenix Rising 3–2 Las Vegas Lights.
What did the model predict before Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Phoenix Rising win, 22% to a draw, and 29% to an Las Vegas Lights win.