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USL Championship · Group Stage October 11, 2026 04:00
#8 · 40 pts
3 – 2
Final score
#11 · 36 pts
I. Sacko (ast. J. Moursou) 24'
G. Studenhofft (ast. D. Flores) 32'
I. Sacko 45'+9 (pen.)
77' (ast. O. Anderson) P. Leal
85' (ast. P. Leal) O. Anderson
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Phoenix Rising a 48% win probability (draw 22%, Las Vegas Lights 29%). The final result was Phoenix Rising 3–2 Las Vegas Lights. In 2 previous meetings, Phoenix Rising have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Las Vegas Lights.

Match statistics
Match Events
⚽I. Sacko · ast. J. Moursou
24'
⚽G. Studenhofft · ast. D. Flores
32'
↕ D. Flores / L. Biasi
38'
45'+8
T. Henry
⚽I. Sacko (pen.)
45'+9
↕ K. Arase / C. Ambursley
46'
46'
M. Arteaga / C. Locker ↕
46'
N. Jones / B. Ofeimu ↕
A. Essengue
59'
↕ G. Studenhofft / D. Badji
64'
68'
P. Leal / K. Scott ↕
77'
ast. O. Anderson · P. Leal⚽
78'
B. Pope / J. Rodriguez ↕
↕ T. Schmitt / C. Smith
83'
↕ I. Sacko / A. Pelayo
83'
85'
ast. P. Leal · O. Anderson⚽
P. Mar Boye
90'+5
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
48.0%
Phoenix ←
22.35%
X
29.65%
Las
we assigned to the actual result (Phoenix Rising) 48.0% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Phoenix
1.77
—
—
Las
1.38
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 New Mexico United New Mexico United 30 52
2 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 30 51
3 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 30 50
4 Lexington Lexington 30 48
5 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 30 47
6 San Antonio San Antonio 30 45
7 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 30 43
8 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 30 40
9 Orange County SC Orange County SC 30 39
10 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 30 38
11 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 30 36
12 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 30 24
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights?
The final score was Phoenix Rising 3–2 Las Vegas Lights.
What did the model predict before Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Phoenix Rising win, 22% to a draw, and 29% to an Las Vegas Lights win.