USL Championship · Group Stage October 25, 2026 03:00

Phoenix Rising

#8 · 40 pts

3 – 3

Final score

Lexington

#4 · 48 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Lexington, result Draw

I. Sacko (ast. C. Smith) 10'

G. Studenhofft (ast. I. Sacko) 29'

P. Goodrum 53' (og)

45'+1 (ast. X. Zengue) P. Goodrum

65' (ast. K. Burks) B. P. Rodrigues

77' A. Molloy

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lexington a 59% win probability (draw 14%, Phoenix Rising 25%). The final result was Phoenix Rising 3–3 Lexington. In 1 previous meetings, Phoenix Rising have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lexington.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽I. Sacko · ast. C. Smith

10'

⚽G. Studenhofft · ast. I. Sacko

29'

45'+1

ast. X. Zengue · P. Goodrum⚽

46'

B. P. Rodrigues / Nick Firmino ↕

⚽P. Goodrum (og)

53'

60'

N. Okello / M. Fry ↕

↕ G. Studenhofft / D. Badji

62'

65'

ast. K. Burks · B. P. Rodrigues⚽

J. Moursou

70'

L. Biasi

74'

A. Essengue

75'

↕ T. Schmitt / D. Flores

76'

77'

A. Molloy⚽

78'

P. Seagrist / M. Epps ↕

↕ L. Biasi / J. Torres

79'

↕ C. Smith / D. Rivera

80'

83'

M. Muir / J. Brown ↕

P. Mar Boye

84'

88'

B. P. Rodrigues

89'

N. Okello

Pre-match prediction

25.56%

Phoenix

14.49%

X ←

59.95%

Lexington

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 14.49% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Phoenix

2.72

—

—

Lexington

4.46

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	New Mexico United	30	52
2	Sacramento Republic	30	51
3	El Paso Locomotive	30	50
4	Lexington	30	48
5	Colorado Springs	30	47
6	San Antonio	30	45
7	FC Tulsa	30	43
8	Phoenix Rising	30	40
9	Orange County SC	30	39
10	Oakland Roots	30	38
11	Las Vegas Lights	30	36
12	Monterey Bay	30	24