USL Championship
· Group Stage
June 11, 2026 04:30
53'
(ast. Z. Duncan)
M. Akale
67'
(ast. C. Donovan)
Z. Duncan
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Phoenix Rising a 42% win probability (draw 32%, Louisville City 25%). The final result was Phoenix Rising 0–2 Louisville City.
Match statistics
Match Events
L. Biasi
6'
J. Moursou
27'
P. Mar Boye
34'
53'
ast. Z. Duncan ·
M. Akale⚽
A. Vukovic
58'
63'
A. Dia
A. Vukovic
/ D. Flores
63'
D. Rivera
/ G. Studenhofft
64'
65'
J. Wilson
/
B. Dayes
65'
R. Serrano
/
E. Davila
67'
ast. C. Donovan ·
Z. Duncan⚽
G. Rivera
/ E. Ramirez
76'
D. Gomez
/ J. Ping
76'
83'
T. Showunmi
/
C. Donovan
83'
C. Moguel
/
Z. Duncan
D. Flores
84'
J. Moursou
/ C. Kowall
85'
89'
Q. Huerman
/
A. McFadden
Pre-match prediction
42.18%
Phoenix
32.32%
X
25.5%
Louisville ←
we assigned to the actual result (Louisville City)
25.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.45
—
—
0.90
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs Louisville City?
The final score was Phoenix Rising 0–2 Louisville City.
What did the model predict before Phoenix Rising vs Louisville City?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Phoenix Rising win, 32% to a draw, and 25% to an Louisville City win.