USL Championship
· Group Stage
July 19, 2026 04:30
D. Badji
(ast. J. Moursou)
30'
K. Arase
(ast. D. Gomez)
78'
R. Nakamura
84'
(og)
42'
A. Saidi
(og)
52'
JP Scearce
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monterey Bay a 38% win probability (draw 28%, Phoenix Rising 33%). The final result was Phoenix Rising 3–2 Monterey Bay. In 1 previous meetings, Phoenix Rising have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Monterey Bay.
Match statistics
Match Events
17'
C. Nadje
⚽D. Badji
· ast. J. Moursou
30'
42'
A. Saidi⚽
D. Flores
43'
52'
(og)
JP Scearce⚽
D. Flores
/ C. Smith
60'
H. Avayevu
/ C. Ambursley
60'
G. Studenhofft
/ K. Arase
60'
61'
F. Barajas
/
W. Leggett
P. Mar Boye
72'
D. Badji
/ C. Dennis
74'
⚽K. Arase
· ast. D. Gomez
78'
L. Biasi
/ A. Pelayo
79'
80'
J. Garcia
/
Q. Elliot
⚽R. Nakamura
(og)
84'
88'
J. Belmar
/
N. Ross
88'
S. Ritchie
/
C. Nadje
P. Kah
90'+1
90'+3
J. Belmar
Pre-match prediction
33.54%
Phoenix ←
28.28%
X
38.18%
Monterey
we assigned to the actual result (Phoenix Rising)
33.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.98
—
—
1.26
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay?
The final score was Phoenix Rising 3–2 Monterey Bay.
What did the model predict before Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Phoenix Rising win, 28% to a draw, and 38% to an Monterey Bay win.