USL Championship
· Group Stage
May 31, 2026 04:30
I. Sacko
39'
(pen.)
I. Sacko
45'+4
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Phoenix Rising a 39% win probability (draw 32%, Sacramento Republic 27%). The final result was Phoenix Rising 2–0 Sacramento Republic. In 1 previous meetings, Phoenix Rising have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sacramento Republic.
Match statistics
Match Events
I. Sacko
39'
⚽I. Sacko
(pen.)
39'
⚽I. Sacko
(pen.)
45'+4
46'
J. Timmer
/
L. Desmond
46'
M. Rodriguez
/
A. Rodriguez
L. Biasi
47'
57'
C. Ukaegbu
/
A. Essel
G. Studenhofft
/ D. Rivera
62'
D. Gomez
/ C. Dennis
62'
67'
J. Casas
/
M. Kaye
G. Rivera
/ A. Vukovic
72'
H. Avayevu
/ D. Flores
72'
78'
D. Wanner
/
D. Crisostomo
JP Scearce
79'
A. Vukovic
86'
D. Rivera
90'+1
I. Sacko
/ J. Ping
90'
Pre-match prediction
39.86%
Phoenix ←
32.26%
X
27.88%
Sacramento
we assigned to the actual result (Phoenix Rising)
39.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
—
—
0.96
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic?
The final score was Phoenix Rising 2–0 Sacramento Republic.
What did the model predict before Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Phoenix Rising win, 32% to a draw, and 27% to an Sacramento Republic win.