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Phönix Lübeck - VfB Oldenburg

Regionalliga - Nord September 26, 2026 15:30
Phönix Lübeck
#4 · 34 pts
vs
VfB Oldenburg
#3 · 35 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
51.69%
Win
Phönix Lübeck
22.88%
Draw
25.42%
Win
VfB Oldenburg
2.5
Expected xG
1.38
Most likely outcome
Phönix Lübeck
51.69%
Probability
45.9%
1X2 accuracy · 37 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.7%)
1X2 Result
1 52%
X 23%
2 25%
Double Chance
1X 75%
X2 48%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 64%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Phönix Lübeck a 51% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 25% for VfB Oldenburg. Expected goals are 2.5 for Phönix Lübeck and 1.4 for VfB Oldenburg (total 3.9), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.7% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Phönix Lübeck have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for VfB Oldenburg.

Season Stats

Phönix Lübeck
12W 2D 1L
VfB Oldenburg
8W 2D 5L
Averages per game
2.8
Goals
2.7
0.8
Conceded
1.7
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
93%
73%
O 2.5
87%
47%
BTTS
80%
53%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Regionalliga - Nord. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
35%
BTTS
Phönix Lübeck
7W 0D 3L · at home
VfB Oldenburg
5W 2D 3L · away
2.5
gls/g
2.4
1.1
Conceded
1.2
70%
Win %
50%
70%
Win or Draw
70%
100%
O 1.5
90%
60%
O 2.5
80%
40%
O 3.5
60%
20%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
40%
30%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Phönix Lübeck VfB Oldenburg →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1% 2.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.1% 7.1% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.4% 8.9% 6.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.4% 7.4% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
4 3.3% 4.6% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.7% 2.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck
W Hamburger SV II 2–1
W Schöningen 0–3
D Atlas Delmenhorst 2–2
D Kickers Emden 2–2
W Eintracht Norderstedt 4–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 42%
VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg
W St. Pauli II 1–0
D Atlas Delmenhorst 1–1
W HSC Hannover 2–1
W Hamburger SV II 1–2
W Kickers Emden 4–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 31%

Playing profile

Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck
Attack
68
Defence
68
Form
67
VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg
Attack
61
Defence
64
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Phönix Lübeck
0
Draw
2
VfB Oldenburg
27 Mar 2026 Regionalliga - Nord 1–3
27 Sep 2025 Regionalliga - Nord 1–2

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Hannover 96 II Hannover 96 II 17 36
2 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 17 35
3 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 16 35
4 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 16 34
5 SV Drochtersen/Assel SV Drochtersen/Assel 17 33
6 Schöningen Schöningen 16 27
7 Atlas Delmenhorst Atlas Delmenhorst 16 21
8 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden 17 21
9 VfB Lübeck VfB Lübeck 16 19
10 Hamburger SV II Hamburger SV II 17 19
11 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 17 18
12 SSV Jeddeloh SSV Jeddeloh 17 18
13 HSC Hannover HSC Hannover 17 18
14 Eimsbütteler TV Eimsbütteler TV 16 17
15 Todesfelde Todesfelde 17 16
16 Bremer SV Bremer SV 16 15
17 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 16 14
18 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 15 14
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Phönix Lübeck vs VfB Oldenburg?
The model gives Phönix Lübeck a 51% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 25% for an VfB Oldenburg win.
How many goals are expected in Phönix Lübeck vs VfB Oldenburg?
Expected goals: Phönix Lübeck 2.5, VfB Oldenburg 1.4 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Phönix Lübeck vs VfB Oldenburg?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.7%.