Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 28
April 13, 2026 19:00
(pen.)
22'
F. Ulvestad
45'
(ast. D. Loncar)
P. Mukairu
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Piast Gliwice a 51% win probability (draw 26%, Pogon Szczecin 21%). The final result was Piast Gliwice 0–2 Pogon Szczecin. In 2 previous meetings, Piast Gliwice have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Pogon Szczecin.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
2
Shots on target
3
1.44
Actual xG
1.70
1
Saves
2
58%
Possession
42%
11
Corners
1
16
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
20'
Hugo Vallejo
21'
22'
(pen.)
F. Ulvestad⚽
45'+5
45'
ast. D. Loncar ·
P. Mukairu⚽
J. Lokilo
/ O. Lesniak
61'
A. Dalmau
/ Q. Boisgard
61'
H. Vallejo
/ L. Sanca
61'
68'
Jan Biegański
69'
K. Grosicki
/
K. Angielski
J. Felix
/ M. Chrapek
72'
G. Tomasiewicz
/ A. Katsantonis
73'
80'
K. Smolinski
/
N. Lawa
87'
J. Czaplinski
/
M. Agger
88'
M. Ndiaye
/
J. Bieganski
Pre-match prediction
51.17%
Piast
26.93%
X
21.9%
Pogon ←
we assigned to the actual result (Pogon Szczecin)
21.9%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.59
1.44
-0.15
0.78
1.70
+0.91
xG dominance was balanced (1.44 – 1.70).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
33
G
36
J. Lewicki
D
J. Lewicki
D
29
Igor Drapiński
D
Igor Drapiński
D
5
Juande Rivas
D
Juande Rivas
D
55
E. Twumasi
D
E. Twumasi
D
80
Hugo Vallejo
61'
M
Hugo Vallejo
61'
M
10
P. Dziczek
M
P. Dziczek
M
20
G. Tomasiewicz
73'
M
G. Tomasiewicz
73'
M
98
J. Lokilo
61'
M
J. Lokilo
61'
M
7
Jorge Félix
72'
F
Jorge Félix
72'
F
9
Adrian Dalmau
61'
F
Adrian Dalmau
61'
F
Bench
28
F. Borowski
D
F. Borowski
D
4
J. Czerwiński
D
J. Czerwiński
D
11
Leandro Sanca
29'
M
Leandro Sanca
29'
M
31
O. Leśniak
29'
M
O. Leśniak
29'
M
17
Q. Boisgard
29'
M
Q. Boisgard
29'
M
77
G
4
Léo Borges
D
Léo Borges
D
41
D
22
Danijel Lončar
1 👟
D
Danijel Lončar
1 👟
D
3
K. Acosta
D
K. Acosta
D
47
N. Lawa
80'
M
N. Lawa
80'
M
6
J. Biegański
88'
M
J. Biegański
88'
M
8
F. Ulvestad
1 ⚽
M
F. Ulvestad
1 ⚽
M
25
M. Agger
87'
M
M. Agger
87'
M
18
P. Mukairu
1 ⚽
F
P. Mukairu
1 ⚽
F
24
Karol Angielski
69'
F
Bench
10
Filip Čuić
F
Filip Čuić
F
30
J. Czaplinski
10'
M
J. Czaplinski
10'
M
11
K. Grosicki
21'
M
K. Grosicki
21'
M
Best on the pitch
P. Dziczek
M · Piast
7.60
1 shots
· 55 pass
K. Acosta
D · Pogon
7.60
· 27 pass
F. Ulvestad
M · Pogon
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 35 pass
Danijel Lončar
D · Pogon
7.50
1 👟
· 19 pass
P. Mukairu
F · Pogon
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
G · Pogon
7.30
· 45 pass
Piast Gliwice — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| J. Lewicki | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Drapiński | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 68 | 59% | — | — | — |
| Juande Rivas | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Twumasi | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Hugo Vallejo | M | 61 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Dziczek | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 40% | 4 | — | — |
| G. Tomasiewicz | M | 73 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| J. Lokilo | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorge Félix | F | 72 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Adrian Dalmau | F | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Leandro Sanca | M | 29 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| O. Leśniak | M | 29 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Q. Boisgard | M | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Pogon Szczecin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Léo Borges | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 37% | — | — | — | |
| Danijel Lončar | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Acosta | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Lawa | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Biegański | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Ulvestad | M | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 35 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Agger | M | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| P. Mukairu | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Karol Angielski | F | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Czaplinski | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| K. Grosicki | M | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
The final score was Piast Gliwice 0–2 Pogon Szczecin.
What did the model predict before Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Piast Gliwice win, 26% to a draw, and 21% to an Pogon Szczecin win.