Piast Gliwice 1–3 Raków Częstochowa — pre-match prediction — Ekstraklasa — May 17, 2026

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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 33 May 17, 2026 12:15 Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach, Gliwice

Piast Gliwice

#4 · 0 pts

1 – 3

Final score

Raków Częstochowa

#17 · 0 pts

P. Dziczek (ast. L. Sanca) 89'

1' J. C. Silva

20' M. Bulat

25' (ast. J. C. Silva) T. Pienko

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Piast Gliwice a 50% win probability (draw 24%, Raków Częstochowa 25%). The final result was Piast Gliwice 1–3 Raków Częstochowa. In 2 previous meetings, Piast Gliwice have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Raków Częstochowa.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

3.28

Actual xG

0.82

Saves

67%

Possession

33%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

J. C. Silva⚽

20'

M. Bulat⚽

25'

ast. J. C. Silva · T. Pienko⚽

J. Lokilo

32'

O. Lesniak

38'

G. Barkovskiy

39'

44'

V. Kochergin / O. Repka ↕

↕ F. Borowski / E. Twumasi

46'

↕ Q. Boisgard / J. Felix

46'

Juande

52'

61'

A. Mosor

↕ G. Barkovskiy / A. Katsantonis

64'

68'

Adriano / T. Pienko ↕

68'

L. Rocha / J. Brunes ↕

↕ J. Lokilo / L. Sanca

73'

↕ O. Lesniak / O. Maziarz

80'

81'

I. Lopez / P. Makuch ↕

81'

S. Svarnas / A. Mosor ↕

E. Twumasi

87'

⚽P. Dziczek · ast. L. Sanca

89'

I. Drapinski

90'+3

Pre-match prediction

50.1%

Piast

24.3%

25.6%

Raków ←

we assigned to the actual result (Raków Częstochowa) 25.6% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Piast

1.59

3.28

+1.69

Raków

0.97

0.82

-0.15

Piast Gliwice dominated by xG (3.28 vs 0.82). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Jagiellonia	0	0
2	Gornik Zabrze	0	0
3	Korona Kielce	0	0
4	Piast Gliwice	0	0
5	GKS Katowice	0	0
6	Motor Lublin	0	0
7	Slask Wroclaw	0	0
8	Wisla Plock	0	0
9	Pogon Szczecin	0	0
10	Wisla Krakow	0	0
11	Legia Warszawa	0	0
12	Lech Poznan	0	0
13	Zaglebie Lubin	0	0
14	Cracovia Krakow	0	0
15	Widzew Łódź	0	0
16	Radomiak Radom	0	0
17	Raków Częstochowa	0	0
18	Wieczysta Kraków	0	0

Lineups

Piast Gliwice 4-3-2-1

Dominik Holec G 5.70

J. Lewicki D 6.20

Igor Drapiński D 7.00

Juande Rivas D 5.70

Filip Borowski 45' D 5.30

Hugo Vallejo M 7.20

P. Dziczek 1 ⚽ M 9.20

Oskar Lesniak 80' M 6.90

Quentin Boisgard 45' M 6.20

Jason Lokilo 73' M 7.20

German Barkovskiy 64' F 6.90

Bench

Adrian Dalmau F

Andreas Katsantonis 26' F 6.30

E. Twumasi 45' D 6.90

Jakub Czerwiński D

Jakub Grelich G

Jorge Félix 45' F 6.60

Karol Szymański G

Leandro Sanca 1 👟 17' M 6.90

Michał Chrapek M

Oliwier Maziarz 10' M 6.90

Szczepan Mucha M

Tomasz Mokwa D

Raków Częstochowa 3-4-3

Kacper Trelowski G 8.30

Ariel Mosór 81' D 6.90

Bogdan Racovițan D 7.00

Paweł Dawidowicz D 7.30

Jean Carlos Silva 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 9.30

Marko Bulat 1 ⚽ M 8.00

Oskar Repka 44' M 7.90

M. Ameyaw M 7.20

Tomasz Pieńko 1 ⚽ 68' F 7.60

J. Braut Brunes 68' F 6.60

Patryk Makuch 81' F 6.70

Bench

Adriano Amorim 22' M 6.70

Bogdan Mirčetić M

Fran Tudor M

Ivi López 9' M 6.70

Jerzy Napieraj M

Leonardo Rocha 22' F 6.90

Mitja Ilenič D

Oliwier Zych G

Stratos Svarnas 9' D 6.20

Wiktor Zolneczko G

Wladyslaw Kocherhin 46' M 6.30

Best on the pitch

Jean Carlos Silva

M · Raków

9.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 26 pass

P. Dziczek

M · Piast

9.20

1 ⚽

3 shots · 76 pass

Kacper Trelowski

G · Raków

8.30

· 38 pass

Marko Bulat

M · Raków

8.00

1 ⚽

1 shots · 23 pass

Oskar Repka

M · Raków

7.90

· 15 pass

Tomasz Pieńko

F · Raków

7.60

1 ⚽

2 shots · 20 pass

Piast Gliwice — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Dominik Holec	G	90	5.70	—	—	—	27	15%	—	—	—
J. Lewicki	D	90	6.20	—	—	1	54	49%	3	—	—
Igor Drapiński	D	90	7.00	—	—	2	50	46%	1	1	—
Juande Rivas	D	90	5.70	—	—	3	44	41%	—	1	—
Filip Borowski	D	45	5.30	—	—	—	23	15%	—	—	—
Hugo Vallejo	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	53	47%	1	—	—
P. Dziczek	M	90	9.20	1	—	3	76	61%	1	—	—
Oskar Lesniak	M	80	6.90	—	—	—	52	43%	—	1	—
Quentin Boisgard	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	11	10%	1	—	—
Jason Lokilo	M	73	7.20	—	—	1	43	37%	—	1	—
German Barkovskiy	F	64	6.90	—	—	5	15	10%	1	1	—
Andreas Katsantonis	F	26	6.30	—	—	1	7	5%	—	—	—
E. Twumasi	D	45	6.90	—	—	—	23	21%	—	1	—
Jorge Félix	F	45	6.60	—	—	1	17	13%	—	—	—
Leandro Sanca	M	17	6.90	—	1	2	7	6%	1	—	—
Oliwier Maziarz	M	10	6.90	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—

Raków Częstochowa — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Kacper Trelowski	G	90	8.30	—	—	—	38	14%	—	—	—
Ariel Mosór	D	81	6.90	—	—	—	19	14%	—	1	—
Bogdan Racovițan	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	20	14%	—	—	—
Paweł Dawidowicz	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	20	18%	—	—	—
Jean Carlos Silva	M	90	9.30	1	1	1	26	20%	—	—	—
Marko Bulat	M	90	8.00	1	—	1	23	17%	1	—	—
Oskar Repka	M	44	7.90	—	—	—	15	11%	—	—	—
M. Ameyaw	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	11	8%	3	—	—
Tomasz Pieńko	F	68	7.60	1	—	2	20	13%	1	—	—
J. Braut Brunes	F	68	6.60	—	—	—	9	8%	—	—	—
Patryk Makuch	F	81	6.70	—	—	—	17	9%	2	—	—
Adriano Amorim	M	22	6.70	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—
Ivi López	M	9	6.70	—	—	1	13	11%	—	—	—
Leonardo Rocha	F	22	6.90	—	—	1	5	3%	—	—	—
Stratos Svarnas	D	9	6.20	—	—	—	12	11%	—	—	—
Wladyslaw Kocherhin	M	46	6.30	—	—	—	15	11%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Raków Częstochowa?

The final score was Piast Gliwice 1–3 Raków Częstochowa.

What did the model predict before Piast Gliwice vs Raków Częstochowa?

The model assigned 50% probability to a Piast Gliwice win, 24% to a draw, and 25% to an Raków Częstochowa win.