Pisa 2–1 Catanzaro — pre-match prediction — Serie B — August 30, 2026

← Serie B

Serie B · Regular Season - 2 August 30, 2026 21:00 Arena Garibaldi, Pizza

Pisa

#6 · 14 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Catanzaro

#20 · 5 pts

S. Canestrelli (ast. M. Tramoni) 28'

G. Leone (ast. O. Correia) 30'

22' (ast. A. Candela) P. Iemmello

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Pisa a 36% win probability (draw 32%, Catanzaro 31%). The final result was Pisa 2–1 Catanzaro.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.91

Actual xG

1.11

Saves

45%

Possession

55%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

M. Dorval / M. D'Alessandro ↕

22'

ast. A. Candela · P. Iemmello⚽

⚽S. Canestrelli · ast. M. Tramoni

28'

⚽G. Leone · ast. O. Correia

30'

S. Zanon

39'

↕ S. Zanon / D. Denoon

65'

↕ M. Leris / G. Piccinini

65'

68'

R. Frosinini / M. Ruggero ↕

70'

↕ R. Bozhinov / A. Caracciolo

72'

↕ M. Tramoni / E. Rao

79'

↕ G. Leone / I. Vural

79'

F. Di Francesco / N. Mosti ↕

79'

E. Pecorino / G. Alesi ↕

A. Calabresi

80'

I. Vural

84'

87'

J. Petriccione

90'+3

Matias Antonini

Pre-match prediction

36.89%

Pisa ←

32.04%

31.07%

Catanzaro

we assigned to the actual result (Pisa) 36.89% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Pisa

2.16

1.91

-0.25

Catanzaro

0.67

1.11

+0.44

Pisa dominated by xG (1.91 vs 1.11). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	8	22
2	Modena	9	19
3	Ascoli	9	18
4	Mantova	9	17
5	Benevento	9	15
6	Pisa	8	14
7	Padova	9	13
8	Sudtirol	9	13
9	Avellino	9	12
10	Cesena	9	11
11	Virtus Entella	9	10
12	Arezzo	8	10
13	Hellas Verona	8	9
14	Cremonese	9	9
15	Vicenza Virtus	9	9
16	Juve Stabia	8	8
17	Empoli	9	7
18	Carrarese	8	7
19	Sampdoria	9	5
20	Catanzaro	9	5

Lineups

Pisa 3-4-2-1

A. Confente G 7.60

R. Bozhinov 72' D 6.50

S. Canestrelli 1 ⚽ D 7.90

A. Calabresi D 6.30

S. Angori M 7.30

O. Correia 1 👟 M 7.20

G. Leone 1 ⚽ 79' M 7.60

S. Zanon 65' M 6.30

M. Tramoni 1 👟 79' F 7.90

M. Léris 65' F 7.20

A. Petagna F 6.60

Bench

A. Caracciolo 20' D 6.70

A. Primasso D

D. Denoon 27' D 6.50

E. Rao 13' F 6.90

F. Coppola D

F. Loyola D

G. Piccinini 27' M 6.30

I. Ferrah M

İ. Vural 13' M 6.30

L. Loria G

N. Bonfanti F

Tomás Esteves D

Catanzaro 3-4-2-1

M. Pigliacelli G 6.90

B. Verrengia D 7.30

Matias Antonini D 6.90

M. Ruggero 68' D 6.60

M. D'Alessandro 9' M 6.90

N. Mosti 79' M 6.50

J. Petriccione M 7.70

A. Candela 1 👟 45' M 6.30

P. Iemmello 1 ⚽ F 7.50

G. Alesi 79' F 6.30

N. Koffi F 6.00

Bench

A. Garnica F

C. Marietta G

E. Pecorino 13' F 6.30

F. Di Francesco 13' F 6.30

Franck Tchaouna 47' M 6.90

G. Arditi F

M. Dorval 83' D 6.30

M. Imperiale D

N. Buso F

Niccolò Postiglione D

R. Frosinini 24' D 6.50

S. Giovane M

Best on the pitch

S. Canestrelli

D · Pisa

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 28 pass

M. Tramoni

F · Pisa

7.90

1 👟

3 shots · 26 pass

J. Petriccione

M · Catanzaro

7.70

· 85 pass

A. Confente

G · Pisa

7.60

· 33 pass

G. Leone

M · Pisa

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 44 pass

P. Iemmello

F · Catanzaro

7.50

1 ⚽

3 shots · 39 pass

Pisa — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Confente	G	92	7.60	—	—	—	33	16%	—	—	—
R. Bozhinov	D	72	6.50	—	—	—	29	25%	1	—	—
S. Canestrelli	D	92	7.90	1	—	2	28	23%	—	—	—
A. Calabresi	D	92	6.30	—	—	—	32	29%	1	1	—
S. Angori	M	92	7.30	—	—	2	38	32%	3	—	—
O. Correia	M	92	7.20	—	1	1	34	30%	3	—	—
G. Leone	M	79	7.60	1	—	1	44	32%	1	—	—
S. Zanon	M	65	6.30	—	—	—	20	17%	1	1	—
M. Tramoni	F	79	7.90	—	1	3	26	23%	—	—	—
M. Léris	F	65	7.20	—	—	3	27	25%	2	—	—
A. Petagna	F	92	6.60	—	—	—	30	25%	—	—	—
A. Caracciolo	D	20	6.70	—	—	—	4	2%	1	—	—
D. Denoon	D	27	6.50	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
E. Rao	F	13	6.90	—	—	1	7	6%	1	—	—
G. Piccinini	M	27	6.30	—	—	1	9	7%	—	—	—
İ. Vural	M	13	6.30	—	—	—	5	5%	—	1	—

Catanzaro — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Pigliacelli	G	92	6.90	—	—	—	33	20%	—	—	—
B. Verrengia	D	92	7.30	—	—	—	47	47%	1	—	—
Matias Antonini	D	92	6.90	—	—	1	55	49%	1	—	—
M. Ruggero	D	68	6.60	—	—	1	30	28%	2	—	—
M. D'Alessandro	M	9	6.90	—	—	—	1	—	1	—	—
N. Mosti	M	79	6.50	—	—	2	36	31%	3	—	—
J. Petriccione	M	92	7.70	—	—	—	85	80%	3	1	—
A. Candela	M	45	6.30	—	1	—	13	10%	—	—	—
P. Iemmello	F	92	7.50	1	—	3	39	28%	—	—	—
G. Alesi	F	79	6.30	—	—	2	22	17%	1	—	—
N. Koffi	F	92	6.00	—	—	2	13	8%	—	—	—
E. Pecorino	F	13	6.30	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
F. Di Francesco	F	13	6.30	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
Franck Tchaouna	M	47	6.90	—	—	3	33	30%	2	—	—
M. Dorval	D	83	6.30	—	—	—	31	28%	—	—	—
R. Frosinini	D	24	6.50	—	—	—	17	13%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Pisa vs Catanzaro?

The final score was Pisa 2–1 Catanzaro.

What did the model predict before Pisa vs Catanzaro?

The model assigned 36% probability to a Pisa win, 32% to a draw, and 31% to an Catanzaro win.