Pisa 3–1 Cremonese — pre-match prediction — Serie B — October 17, 2026

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Serie B · Regular Season - 7 October 17, 2026 19:30 Arena Garibaldi, Pizza

Pisa

#6 · 14 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Cremonese

#14 · 9 pts

Matteo Tramoni (ast. Stefano Moreo) 3'

Stefano Moreo 79'

Tommaso Marras 88'

32' (ast. Jari Vandeputte) Tommaso Berti

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Pisa a 46% win probability (draw 27%, Cremonese 26%). The final result was Pisa 3–1 Cremonese. In 2 previous meetings, Pisa have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cremonese.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.39

Actual xG

0.51

Saves

55%

Possession

45%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽Matteo Tramoni · ast. Stefano Moreo

32'

ast. Jari Vandeputte · Tommaso Berti⚽

Arturo Calabresi

32'

35'

Marco Nasti

45'

Adrian Lickunas / Marco Nasti ↕

53'

Tommaso Barbieri

↕ Arturo Calabresi / Rosen Bozhinov

63'

↕ Giuseppe Leone / Felipe Loyola

63'

Mehdi Léris

67'

72'

Manuel De Luca / Tommaso Berti ↕

72'

Simone Lottici Tessadri / Jari Vandeputte ↕

76'

Alessandro Vogliacco / Salvatore Elia ↕

↕ Mehdi Léris / Tommaso Marras

78'

↕ Filippo Pittarello / Andrea Petagna

78'

⚽Stefano Moreo

79'

81'

Alessandro Vogliacco

83'

Gabriel Herzuah / Tommaso Barbieri ↕

↕ Simone Zanon / Antonio Caracciolo

87'

⚽Tommaso Marras

88'

Tommaso Marras

89'

Andrea Primasso

90'

Pre-match prediction

46.0%

Pisa ←

27.62%

26.38%

Cremonese

we assigned to the actual result (Pisa) 46.0% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Pisa

2.25

2.39

+0.14

Cremonese

0.92

0.51

-0.41

Pisa dominated by xG (2.39 vs 0.51). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	8	22
2	Modena	9	19
3	Ascoli	9	18
4	Mantova	9	17
5	Benevento	9	15
6	Pisa	8	14
7	Padova	9	13
8	Sudtirol	9	13
9	Avellino	9	12
10	Cesena	9	11
11	Virtus Entella	9	10
12	Arezzo	8	10
13	Hellas Verona	8	9
14	Cremonese	9	9
15	Vicenza Virtus	9	9
16	Juve Stabia	8	8
17	Empoli	9	7
18	Carrarese	8	7
19	Sampdoria	9	5
20	Catanzaro	9	5

Lineups

Pisa 3-4-2-1

A. Confente G 6.98

S. Angori D 6.75

A. Primasso D 6.54

A. Calabresi 63' D 6.07

M. Léris 78' M 6.36

O. Correia M 6.21

G. Leone 63' M 6.02

S. Zanon 87' M 6.35

M. Tramoni 1 ⚽ M 8.20

S. Moreo 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.30

F. Pittarello 78' F 5.92

Bench

A. Caracciolo 3' D 6.26

A. Petagna 12' F 6.74

E. Rao F 0.00

F. Coppola D 0.00

F. Loyola 27' D 6.42

G. Piccinini M 0.00

I. Ferrah M 0.00

İ. Vural M 0.00

R. Bozhinov 27' D 6.59

S. Canestrelli D 0.00

S. Scuffet G 0.00

T. Marras 1 ⚽ 12' F 7.28

Cremonese 4-1-4-1

A. Fulignati G 5.53

S. Elia 76' D 5.72

S. Luperto D 5.98

F. Baschirotto D 6.24

T. Barbieri 83' D 5.84

A. Grassi M 6.47

J. Vandeputte 1 👟 72' M 6.28

T. Berti 1 ⚽ 72' M 7.04

M. Thorsby M 6.25

Adin Ličina M 5.76

M. Nasti 45' F 6.32

Bench

A. Lickūnas 45' F 6.08

A. Vogliacco 14' D 5.44

D. Lordkipanidze M 0.00

F. Agazzi G 0.00

Fellipe Jack D 0.00

M. Bianchetti D 0.00

M. Collocolo M 0.00

M. De Luca 18' F 6.65

M. Festa G 0.00

Simone Lottici Tessadri 18' M 5.62

Best on the pitch

S. Moreo

M · Pisa

8.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 29 pass

M. Tramoni

M · Pisa

8.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 38 pass

T. Marras

F · Pisa

7.28

1 ⚽

1 shots · 6 pass

T. Berti

M · Cremonese

7.04

1 ⚽

2 shots · 32 pass

A. Confente

G · Pisa

6.98

· 34 pass

S. Angori

D · Pisa

6.75

1 shots · 81 pass

Pisa — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Confente	G	90	6.98	—	—	0	34	32%	0	—	—
S. Angori	D	90	6.75	—	—	1	81	69%	2	—	—
A. Primasso	D	90	6.54	—	—	0	60	57%	1	1	—
A. Calabresi	D	63	6.07	—	—	0	23	21%	1	1	—
M. Léris	M	78	6.36	—	—	1	30	25%	2	1	—
O. Correia	M	90	6.21	—	—	1	53	44%	1	—	—
G. Leone	M	63	6.02	—	—	0	18	17%	0	—	—
S. Zanon	M	87	6.35	—	—	0	13	8%	1	—	—
M. Tramoni	M	90	8.20	1	—	2	38	31%	3	—	—
S. Moreo	M	90	8.30	1	1	3	29	21%	2	—	—
F. Pittarello	F	78	5.92	—	—	4	6	5%	0	—	—
A. Caracciolo	D	3	6.26	—	—	0	0	0%	0	—	—
A. Petagna	F	12	6.74	—	—	0	4	4%	0	—	—
F. Loyola	D	27	6.42	—	—	1	25	22%	0	—	—
R. Bozhinov	D	27	6.59	—	—	0	24	22%	0	—	—
T. Marras	F	12	7.28	1	—	1	6	4%	0	1	—

Cremonese — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Fulignati	G	90	5.53	—	—	0	24	16%	0	—	—
S. Elia	D	76	5.72	—	—	0	22	16%	2	—	—
S. Luperto	D	90	5.98	—	—	0	49	40%	3	—	—
F. Baschirotto	D	90	6.24	—	—	0	41	36%	2	—	—
T. Barbieri	D	83	5.84	—	—	1	26	20%	2	1	—
A. Grassi	M	90	6.47	—	—	1	33	33%	2	—	—
J. Vandeputte	M	72	6.28	—	1	1	28	21%	0	—	—
T. Berti	M	72	7.04	1	—	2	32	25%	0	—	—
M. Thorsby	M	90	6.25	—	—	2	22	18%	5	—	—
Adin Ličina	M	90	5.76	—	—	1	30	22%	1	—	—
M. Nasti	F	45	6.32	—	—	1	15	11%	0	1	—
A. Lickūnas	F	45	6.08	—	—	0	11	7%	3	—	—
A. Vogliacco	D	14	5.44	—	—	1	7	5%	0	1	—
M. De Luca	F	18	6.65	—	—	0	4	2%	0	—	—
Simone Lottici Tessadri	M	18	5.62	—	—	0	5	4%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Pisa vs Cremonese?

The final score was Pisa 3–1 Cremonese.

What did the model predict before Pisa vs Cremonese?

The model assigned 46% probability to a Pisa win, 27% to a draw, and 26% to an Cremonese win.