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Model correct — prediction Napoli
21' (ast. R. Hojlund) S. McTominay
27' (ast. E. Elmas) A. Rrahmani
90'+2 (ast. P. Mazzocchi) R. Hojlund
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Napoli a 54% win probability (draw 28%, Pisa 16%). The final result was Pisa 0–3 Napoli. In 1 previous meetings, Pisa have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Napoli.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
5
0.80
Actual xG
0.72
2
Saves
2
23%
Possession
77%
1
Corners
6
14
Tackles
5
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
21'
ast. R. Hojlund · S. McTominay
27'
ast. E. Elmas · A. Rrahmani
A. Calabresi
53'
53'
E. Elmas
59'
K. De Bruyne / E. Elmas
59'
M. Olivera / A. Buongiorno
F. Stojilkovic / H. Meister
60'
E. Akinsanmiro / G. Piccinini
61'
A. Calabresi / I. Toure
70'
M. Leris / J. Cuadrado
70'
S. Moreo / I. Vural
71'
78'
Alisson Santos
A. Caracciolo
78'
79'
M. Gutierrez / L. Spinazzola
80'
A. Vergara / Alisson Santos
88'
P. Mazzocchi / G. Di Lorenzo
90'+2
ast. P. Mazzocchi · R. Hojlund
Pre-match prediction
16.57%
Pisa
28.64%
X
54.79%
Napoli ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Napoli) 54.79% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Pisa
0.65
0.80
+0.15
Napoli
1.28
0.72
-0.56
xG dominance was balanced (0.80 – 0.72). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 4 10
2 AS Roma AS Roma 3 9
3 Inter Inter 3 9
4 AC Milan AC Milan 4 8
5 Como Como 3 7
6 Juventus Juventus 3 7
7 Frosinone Frosinone 4 7
8 Atalanta Atalanta 3 6
9 Cagliari Cagliari 3 6
10 Sassuolo Sassuolo 3 4
11 Udinese Udinese 3 4
12 Napoli Napoli 3 3
13 Torino Torino 3 3
14 Lecce Lecce 3 3
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 4 3
16 Bologna Bologna 3 1
17 Parma Parma 3 1
18 Monza Monza 3 1
19 Genoa Genoa 4 1
20 Venezia Venezia 4 0
Lineups
Pisa Pisa 3-5-2
1 A. Šemper A. Šemper G 6.70
5 S. Canestrelli S. Canestrelli D 5.90
4 A. Caracciolo A. Caracciolo D 5.90
33 A. Calabresi A. Calabresi 70' D 6.30
3 S. Angori S. Angori M 6.50
14 E. Akinsanmiro E. Akinsanmiro 61' M 6.30
8 M. Højholt M. Højholt M 6.20
20 M. Aebischer M. Aebischer M 6.20
7 M. Léris M. Léris 70' M 7.30
32 S. Moreo S. Moreo 71' F 6.30
81 F. Stojilković F. Stojilković 60' F 6.30
Bench
42 Brando Bettazzi Brando Bettazzi M
23 C. Stengs C. Stengs M
36 G. Piccinini G. Piccinini 31' M 6.70
9 H. Meister H. Meister 32' F 6.30
15 Idrissa Touré Idrissa Touré 22' M 6.30
21 İ. Vural İ. Vural 21' M 6.30
11 J. Cuadrado J. Cuadrado 22' M 6.30
6 Marius Marin Marius Marin M
12 Nícolas Nícolas G
39 Raúl Albiol Raúl Albiol D
17 R. Durosinmi R. Durosinmi F
19 S. Iling-Junior S. Iling-Junior F
22 S. Scuffet S. Scuffet G
Napoli Napoli 3-4-3
1 A. Meret A. Meret G 7.50
4 Alessandro Buongiorno Alessandro Buongiorno 59' D 6.90
13 Amir Rrahmani Amir Rrahmani 1 ⚽ D 9.20
31 S. Beukema S. Beukema D 6.90
37 L. Spinazzola L. Spinazzola 79' M 6.70
68 S. Lobotka S. Lobotka M 6.90
8 S. McTominay S. McTominay 1 ⚽ M 8.30
22 G. Di Lorenzo G. Di Lorenzo 88' M 6.60
27 Alisson Santos Alisson Santos 80' F 6.30
19 R. Højlund R. Højlund 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 6.30
20 E. Elmas E. Elmas 1 👟 59' F 6.70
Bench
26 A. Vergara A. Vergara 12' M 6.50
99 A. Zambo Anguissa A. Zambo Anguissa M
6 B. Gilmour B. Gilmour M
23 Giovane Giovane F
5 Juan Jesus Juan Jesus D
11 K. De Bruyne K. De Bruyne 33' M 6.60
3 Miguel Gutiérrez Miguel Gutiérrez 13' D 6.30
17 M. Olivera M. Olivera 33' D 6.90
14 N. Contini N. Contini G
30 Pasquale Mazzocchi Pasquale Mazzocchi 1 👟 4' D
32 V. Milinković-Savić V. Milinković-Savić G
Best on the pitch
Amir Rrahmani
Amir Rrahmani
D · Napoli
9.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 144 pass
S. McTominay
S. McTominay
M · Napoli
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 60 pass
A. Meret
A. Meret
G · Napoli
7.50
· 27 pass
M. Léris
M. Léris
M · Pisa
7.30
1 shots · 13 pass
M. Olivera
M. Olivera
D · Napoli
6.90
· 65 pass
S. Lobotka
S. Lobotka
M · Napoli
6.90
· 52 pass
Pisa Pisa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Šemper G 92 6.70 20 10%
S. Canestrelli D 92 5.90 28 20%
A. Caracciolo D 92 5.90 19 15% 1
A. Calabresi D 70 6.30 17 13% 2 1
S. Angori M 92 6.50 18 12%
E. Akinsanmiro M 61 6.30 10 8% 1
M. Højholt M 92 6.20 39 31%
M. Aebischer M 92 6.20 24 17% 2
M. Léris M 70 7.30 1 13 7% 7
S. Moreo F 71 6.30 1 12 7%
F. Stojilković F 60 6.30 2 7 7%
G. Piccinini M 31 6.70 6 4% 1
H. Meister F 32 6.30 2 2%
Idrissa Touré M 22 6.30 7 4% 1
İ. Vural M 21 6.30 1 1%
J. Cuadrado M 22 6.30 6 6%
Napoli Napoli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Meret G 92 7.50 27 24%
Alessandro Buongiorno D 59 6.90 82 78%
Amir Rrahmani D 92 9.20 1 1 144 141%
S. Beukema D 92 6.90 1 111 104%
L. Spinazzola M 79 6.70 68 61% 2
S. Lobotka M 92 6.90 52 45% 2
S. McTominay M 92 8.30 1 2 60 57%
G. Di Lorenzo M 88 6.60 36 31% 1
Alisson Santos F 80 6.30 35 27% 1
R. Højlund F 92 6.30 1 1 2 6 6%
E. Elmas F 59 6.70 1 1 40 36% 1
A. Vergara M 12 6.50 6 5%
K. De Bruyne M 33 6.60 26 23%
Miguel Gutiérrez D 13 6.30 7 5%
M. Olivera D 33 6.90 65 61%
Pasquale Mazzocchi D 4 1 1 1%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Pisa vs Napoli?
The final score was Pisa 0–3 Napoli.
What did the model predict before Pisa vs Napoli?
The model assigned 16% probability to a Pisa win, 28% to a draw, and 54% to an Napoli win.