✓Model correct — prediction Napoli
21'
(ast. R. Hojlund)
S. McTominay
27'
(ast. E. Elmas)
A. Rrahmani
90'+2
(ast. P. Mazzocchi)
R. Hojlund
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Napoli a 54% win probability (draw 28%, Pisa 16%). The final result was Pisa 0–3 Napoli. In 1 previous meetings, Pisa have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Napoli.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
5
0.80
Actual xG
0.72
2
Saves
2
23%
Possession
77%
1
Corners
6
14
Tackles
5
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
21'
ast. R. Hojlund ·
S. McTominay⚽
27'
ast. E. Elmas ·
A. Rrahmani⚽
A. Calabresi
53'
53'
E. Elmas
59'
K. De Bruyne
/
E. Elmas
59'
M. Olivera
/
A. Buongiorno
F. Stojilkovic
/ H. Meister
60'
E. Akinsanmiro
/ G. Piccinini
61'
A. Calabresi
/ I. Toure
70'
M. Leris
/ J. Cuadrado
70'
S. Moreo
/ I. Vural
71'
78'
Alisson Santos
A. Caracciolo
78'
79'
M. Gutierrez
/
L. Spinazzola
80'
A. Vergara
/
Alisson Santos
88'
P. Mazzocchi
/
G. Di Lorenzo
90'+2
ast. P. Mazzocchi ·
R. Hojlund⚽
Pre-match prediction
16.57%
Pisa
28.64%
X
54.79%
Napoli ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Napoli)
54.79%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.65
0.80
+0.15
1.28
0.72
-0.56
xG dominance was balanced (0.80 – 0.72).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Šemper
G
A. Šemper
G
5
S. Canestrelli
D
S. Canestrelli
D
4
A. Caracciolo
D
A. Caracciolo
D
33
A. Calabresi
70'
D
A. Calabresi
70'
D
3
S. Angori
M
S. Angori
M
14
E. Akinsanmiro
61'
M
E. Akinsanmiro
61'
M
8
M. Højholt
M
M. Højholt
M
20
M. Aebischer
M
M. Aebischer
M
7
M. Léris
70'
M
M. Léris
70'
M
32
S. Moreo
71'
F
S. Moreo
71'
F
81
Filip Stojilković
60'
F
Filip Stojilković
60'
F
Bench
42
Brando Bettazzi
M
Brando Bettazzi
M
23
C. Stengs
M
C. Stengs
M
36
G. Piccinini
31'
M
G. Piccinini
31'
M
9
H. Meister
32'
F
H. Meister
32'
F
15
I. Touré
22'
M
I. Touré
22'
M
21
İ. Vural
21'
M
İ. Vural
21'
M
11
Juan Cuadrado
22'
M
Juan Cuadrado
22'
M
6
M. Marin
M
M. Marin
M
12
Nícolas
G
Nícolas
G
17
Rafiu Durosinmi
F
Rafiu Durosinmi
F
39
Raúl Albiol
D
Raúl Albiol
D
19
S. Iling-Junior
F
S. Iling-Junior
F
22
S. Scuffet
G
S. Scuffet
G
1
A. Meret
G
A. Meret
G
4
Alessandro Buongiorno
59'
D
Alessandro Buongiorno
59'
D
13
Amir Rrahmani
1 ⚽
D
Amir Rrahmani
1 ⚽
D
31
S. Beukema
D
S. Beukema
D
37
L. Spinazzola
79'
M
L. Spinazzola
79'
M
68
S. Lobotka
M
S. Lobotka
M
8
S. McTominay
1 ⚽
M
S. McTominay
1 ⚽
M
22
G. Di Lorenzo
88'
M
G. Di Lorenzo
88'
M
27
Alisson Santos
80'
F
Alisson Santos
80'
F
19
R. Højlund
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
R. Højlund
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
20
Eljif Elmas
1 👟
59'
F
Eljif Elmas
1 👟
59'
F
Bench
26
A. Vergara
12'
M
A. Vergara
12'
M
99
A. Zambo Anguissa
M
A. Zambo Anguissa
M
6
B. Gilmour
M
B. Gilmour
M
23
Giovane
F
Giovane
F
5
Juan Jesus
D
Juan Jesus
D
11
K. De Bruyne
33'
M
K. De Bruyne
33'
M
3
Miguel Gutiérrez
13'
D
Miguel Gutiérrez
13'
D
17
M. Olivera
33'
D
M. Olivera
33'
D
14
N. Contini
G
N. Contini
G
30
P. Mazzocchi
1 👟
4'
D
P. Mazzocchi
1 👟
4'
D
32
V. Milinković-Savić
G
V. Milinković-Savić
G
Best on the pitch
Amir Rrahmani
D · Napoli
9.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 144 pass
S. McTominay
M · Napoli
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 60 pass
A. Meret
G · Napoli
7.50
· 27 pass
M. Léris
M · Pisa
7.30
1 shots
· 13 pass
M. Olivera
D · Napoli
6.90
· 65 pass
S. Lobotka
M · Napoli
6.90
· 52 pass
Pisa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Šemper | G | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 10% | — | — | — |
| S. Canestrelli | D | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | — | — | — |
| A. Caracciolo | D | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Calabresi | D | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Angori | M | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| E. Akinsanmiro | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Højholt | M | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | — | — | — |
| M. Aebischer | M | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Léris | M | 70 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 7% | 7 | — | — |
| S. Moreo | F | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Filip Stojilković | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| G. Piccinini | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Meister | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| I. Touré | M | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| İ. Vural | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Juan Cuadrado | M | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
Napoli — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Meret | G | 92 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Buongiorno | D | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 82 | 78% | — | — | — |
| Amir Rrahmani | D | 92 | 9.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 144 | 141% | — | — | — |
| S. Beukema | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 111 | 104% | — | — | — |
| L. Spinazzola | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 68 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Lobotka | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| S. McTominay | M | 92 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 60 | 57% | — | — | — |
| G. Di Lorenzo | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Alisson Santos | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Højlund | F | 92 | 6.30 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Eljif Elmas | F | 59 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 40 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Vergara | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| K. De Bruyne | M | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Gutiérrez | D | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Olivera | D | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 61% | — | — | — |
| P. Mazzocchi | D | 4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Pisa vs Napoli?
The final score was Pisa 0–3 Napoli.
What did the model predict before Pisa vs Napoli?
The model assigned 16% probability to a Pisa win, 28% to a draw, and 54% to an Napoli win.