✓Model correct — prediction Napoli
21'
(ast. R. Hojlund)
S. McTominay
27'
(ast. E. Elmas)
A. Rrahmani
90'+2
(ast. P. Mazzocchi)
R. Hojlund
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Napoli a 54% win probability (draw 28%, Pisa 16%). The final result was Pisa 0–3 Napoli. In 1 previous meetings, Pisa have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Napoli.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
5
0.80
Actual xG
0.72
2
Saves
2
23%
Possession
77%
1
Corners
6
14
Tackles
5
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
21'
ast. R. Hojlund ·
S. McTominay⚽
27'
ast. E. Elmas ·
A. Rrahmani⚽
A. Calabresi
53'
53'
E. Elmas
59'
K. De Bruyne
/
E. Elmas
59'
M. Olivera
/
A. Buongiorno
F. Stojilkovic
/ H. Meister
60'
E. Akinsanmiro
/ G. Piccinini
61'
A. Calabresi
/ I. Toure
70'
M. Leris
/ J. Cuadrado
70'
S. Moreo
/ I. Vural
71'
78'
Alisson Santos
A. Caracciolo
78'
79'
M. Gutierrez
/
L. Spinazzola
80'
A. Vergara
/
Alisson Santos
88'
P. Mazzocchi
/
G. Di Lorenzo
90'+2
ast. P. Mazzocchi ·
R. Hojlund⚽
Pre-match prediction
16.57%
Pisa
28.64%
X
54.79%
Napoli ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Napoli)
54.79%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.65
0.80
+0.15
1.28
0.72
-0.56
xG dominance was balanced (0.80 – 0.72).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Adrian Šemper
G
Adrian Šemper
G
5
Simone Canestrelli
D
Simone Canestrelli
D
4
A. Caracciolo
D
A. Caracciolo
D
33
A. Calabresi
70'
D
A. Calabresi
70'
D
3
Samuele Angori
M
Samuele Angori
M
14
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
61'
M
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
61'
M
8
Malthe Højholt
M
Malthe Højholt
M
20
Michel Aebischer
M
Michel Aebischer
M
7
Mehdi Léris
70'
M
Mehdi Léris
70'
M
32
Stefano Moreo
71'
F
Stefano Moreo
71'
F
81
F. Stojilković
60'
F
F. Stojilković
60'
F
Bench
42
Brando Bettazzi
M
Brando Bettazzi
M
23
Calvin Stengs
M
Calvin Stengs
M
36
Gabriele Piccinini
31'
M
Gabriele Piccinini
31'
M
9
Henrik Wendel Meister
32'
F
Henrik Wendel Meister
32'
F
15
Idrissa Touré
22'
M
Idrissa Touré
22'
M
21
Isak Vural
21'
M
Isak Vural
21'
M
11
J. Cuadrado
22'
M
J. Cuadrado
22'
M
6
Marius Marin
M
Marius Marin
M
12
Nícolas
G
Nícolas
G
17
Rafiu Durosinmi
F
39
Raúl Albiol
D
Raúl Albiol
D
19
Samuel Iling Junior
F
Samuel Iling Junior
F
22
Simone Scuffet
G
Simone Scuffet
G
1
Alex Meret
G
Alex Meret
G
4
Alessandro Buongiorno
59'
D
Alessandro Buongiorno
59'
D
13
Amir Rrahmani
1 ⚽
D
Amir Rrahmani
1 ⚽
D
31
Sam Beukema
D
Sam Beukema
D
37
L. Spinazzola
79'
M
L. Spinazzola
79'
M
68
S. Lobotka
M
S. Lobotka
M
8
S. McTominay
1 ⚽
M
S. McTominay
1 ⚽
M
22
G. Di Lorenzo
88'
M
G. Di Lorenzo
88'
M
27
Alisson Santos
80'
F
Alisson Santos
80'
F
19
R. Højlund
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
R. Højlund
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
20
E. Elmas
1 👟
59'
F
E. Elmas
1 👟
59'
F
Bench
26
A. Vergara
12'
M
A. Vergara
12'
M
6
Billy Gilmour
M
Billy Gilmour
M
99
Frank Anguissa
M
Frank Anguissa
M
23
Giovane
F
Giovane
F
5
Juan Jesus
D
Juan Jesus
D
11
Kevin De Bruyne
33'
M
Kevin De Bruyne
33'
M
17
Mathías Olivera
33'
D
Mathías Olivera
33'
D
3
Miguel Gutiérrez
13'
D
Miguel Gutiérrez
13'
D
14
Nikita Contini
G
Nikita Contini
G
30
P. Mazzocchi
1 👟
4'
D
P. Mazzocchi
1 👟
4'
D
32
Vanja Milinković-Savić
G
Vanja Milinković-Savić
G
Best on the pitch
Amir Rrahmani
D · Napoli
9.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 144 pass
S. McTominay
M · Napoli
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 60 pass
Alex Meret
G · Napoli
7.50
· 27 pass
Mehdi Léris
M · Pisa
7.30
1 shots
· 13 pass
Mathías Olivera
D · Napoli
6.90
· 65 pass
S. Lobotka
M · Napoli
6.90
· 52 pass
Pisa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Šemper | G | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Simone Canestrelli | D | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | — | — | — |
| A. Caracciolo | D | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Calabresi | D | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Samuele Angori | M | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Ebenezer Akinsanmiro | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Malthe Højholt | M | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Michel Aebischer | M | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Mehdi Léris | M | 70 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 7% | 7 | — | — |
| Stefano Moreo | F | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| F. Stojilković | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Gabriele Piccinini | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Henrik Wendel Meister | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Idrissa Touré | M | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Isak Vural | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Cuadrado | M | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
Napoli — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Meret | G | 92 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Buongiorno | D | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 82 | 78% | — | — | — |
| Amir Rrahmani | D | 92 | 9.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 144 | 141% | — | — | — |
| Sam Beukema | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 111 | 104% | — | — | — |
| L. Spinazzola | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 68 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Lobotka | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| S. McTominay | M | 92 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 60 | 57% | — | — | — |
| G. Di Lorenzo | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Alisson Santos | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Højlund | F | 92 | 6.30 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| E. Elmas | F | 59 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 40 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Vergara | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Kevin De Bruyne | M | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Mathías Olivera | D | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 61% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Gutiérrez | D | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| P. Mazzocchi | D | 4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Pisa vs Napoli?
The final score was Pisa 0–3 Napoli.
What did the model predict before Pisa vs Napoli?
The model assigned 16% probability to a Pisa win, 28% to a draw, and 54% to an Napoli win.