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Model correct — prediction Napoli
21' (ast. R. Hojlund) S. McTominay
27' (ast. E. Elmas) A. Rrahmani
90'+2 (ast. P. Mazzocchi) R. Hojlund
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Napoli a 54% win probability (draw 28%, Pisa 16%). The final result was Pisa 0–3 Napoli. In 1 previous meetings, Pisa have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Napoli.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
5
0.80
Actual xG
0.72
2
Saves
2
23%
Possession
77%
1
Corners
6
14
Tackles
5
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
21'
ast. R. Hojlund · S. McTominay
27'
ast. E. Elmas · A. Rrahmani
A. Calabresi
53'
53'
E. Elmas
59'
K. De Bruyne / E. Elmas
59'
M. Olivera / A. Buongiorno
F. Stojilkovic / H. Meister
60'
E. Akinsanmiro / G. Piccinini
61'
A. Calabresi / I. Toure
70'
M. Leris / J. Cuadrado
70'
S. Moreo / I. Vural
71'
78'
Alisson Santos
A. Caracciolo
78'
79'
M. Gutierrez / L. Spinazzola
80'
A. Vergara / Alisson Santos
88'
P. Mazzocchi / G. Di Lorenzo
90'+2
ast. P. Mazzocchi · R. Hojlund
Pre-match prediction
16.57%
Pisa
28.64%
X
54.79%
Napoli ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Napoli) 54.79% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Pisa
0.65
0.80
+0.15
Napoli
1.28
0.72
-0.56
xG dominance was balanced (0.80 – 0.72). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atalanta Atalanta 0 0
2 Bologna Bologna 0 0
3 Cagliari Cagliari 0 0
4 Como Como 0 0
5 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0 0
6 Frosinone Frosinone 0 0
7 Genoa Genoa 0 0
8 Inter Inter 0 0
9 Juventus Juventus 0 0
10 Lazio Lazio 0 0
11 Lecce Lecce 0 0
12 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
13 Monza Monza 0 0
14 Napoli Napoli 0 0
15 Parma Parma 0 0
16 AS Roma AS Roma 0 0
17 Sassuolo Sassuolo 0 0
18 Torino Torino 0 0
19 Udinese Udinese 0 0
20 Venezia Venezia 0 0
Lineups
Pisa Pisa 3-5-2
1 Adrian Šemper Adrian Šemper G 6.70
5 Simone Canestrelli Simone Canestrelli D 5.90
4 A. Caracciolo A. Caracciolo D 5.90
33 A. Calabresi A. Calabresi 70' D 6.30
3 Samuele Angori Samuele Angori M 6.50
14 Ebenezer Akinsanmiro Ebenezer Akinsanmiro 61' M 6.30
8 Malthe Højholt Malthe Højholt M 6.20
20 Michel Aebischer Michel Aebischer M 6.20
7 Mehdi Léris Mehdi Léris 70' M 7.30
32 Stefano Moreo Stefano Moreo 71' F 6.30
81 F. Stojilković F. Stojilković 60' F 6.30
Bench
42 Brando Bettazzi Brando Bettazzi M
23 Calvin Stengs Calvin Stengs M
36 Gabriele Piccinini Gabriele Piccinini 31' M 6.70
9 Henrik Wendel Meister Henrik Wendel Meister 32' F 6.30
15 Idrissa Touré Idrissa Touré 22' M 6.30
21 Isak Vural Isak Vural 21' M 6.30
11 J. Cuadrado J. Cuadrado 22' M 6.30
6 Marius Marin Marius Marin M
12 Nícolas Nícolas G
17
Rafiu Durosinmi F
39 Raúl Albiol Raúl Albiol D
19 Samuel Iling Junior Samuel Iling Junior F
22 Simone Scuffet Simone Scuffet G
Napoli Napoli 3-4-3
1 Alex Meret Alex Meret G 7.50
4 Alessandro Buongiorno Alessandro Buongiorno 59' D 6.90
13 Amir Rrahmani Amir Rrahmani 1 ⚽ D 9.20
31 Sam Beukema Sam Beukema D 6.90
37 L. Spinazzola L. Spinazzola 79' M 6.70
68 S. Lobotka S. Lobotka M 6.90
8 S. McTominay S. McTominay 1 ⚽ M 8.30
22 G. Di Lorenzo G. Di Lorenzo 88' M 6.60
27 Alisson Santos Alisson Santos 80' F 6.30
19 R. Højlund R. Højlund 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 6.30
20 E. Elmas E. Elmas 1 👟 59' F 6.70
Bench
26 A. Vergara A. Vergara 12' M 6.50
6 Billy Gilmour Billy Gilmour M
99 Frank Anguissa Frank Anguissa M
23 Giovane Giovane F
5 Juan Jesus Juan Jesus D
11 Kevin De Bruyne Kevin De Bruyne 33' M 6.60
17 Mathías Olivera Mathías Olivera 33' D 6.90
3 Miguel Gutiérrez Miguel Gutiérrez 13' D 6.30
14 Nikita Contini Nikita Contini G
30 P. Mazzocchi P. Mazzocchi 1 👟 4' D
32 Vanja Milinković-Savić Vanja Milinković-Savić G
Best on the pitch
Amir Rrahmani
Amir Rrahmani
D · Napoli
9.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 144 pass
S. McTominay
S. McTominay
M · Napoli
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 60 pass
Alex Meret
Alex Meret
G · Napoli
7.50
· 27 pass
Mehdi Léris
Mehdi Léris
M · Pisa
7.30
1 shots · 13 pass
Mathías Olivera
Mathías Olivera
D · Napoli
6.90
· 65 pass
S. Lobotka
S. Lobotka
M · Napoli
6.90
· 52 pass
Pisa Pisa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Adrian Šemper G 92 6.70 20 10%
Simone Canestrelli D 92 5.90 28 20%
A. Caracciolo D 92 5.90 19 15% 1
A. Calabresi D 70 6.30 17 13% 2 1
Samuele Angori M 92 6.50 18 12%
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro M 61 6.30 10 8% 1
Malthe Højholt M 92 6.20 39 31%
Michel Aebischer M 92 6.20 24 17% 2
Mehdi Léris M 70 7.30 1 13 7% 7
Stefano Moreo F 71 6.30 1 12 7%
F. Stojilković F 60 6.30 2 7 7%
Gabriele Piccinini M 31 6.70 6 4% 1
Henrik Wendel Meister F 32 6.30 2 2%
Idrissa Touré M 22 6.30 7 4% 1
Isak Vural M 21 6.30 1 1%
J. Cuadrado M 22 6.30 6 6%
Napoli Napoli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Alex Meret G 92 7.50 27 24%
Alessandro Buongiorno D 59 6.90 82 78%
Amir Rrahmani D 92 9.20 1 1 144 141%
Sam Beukema D 92 6.90 1 111 104%
L. Spinazzola M 79 6.70 68 61% 2
S. Lobotka M 92 6.90 52 45% 2
S. McTominay M 92 8.30 1 2 60 57%
G. Di Lorenzo M 88 6.60 36 31% 1
Alisson Santos F 80 6.30 35 27% 1
R. Højlund F 92 6.30 1 1 2 6 6%
E. Elmas F 59 6.70 1 1 40 36% 1
A. Vergara M 12 6.50 6 5%
Kevin De Bruyne M 33 6.60 26 23%
Mathías Olivera D 33 6.90 65 61%
Miguel Gutiérrez D 13 6.30 7 5%
P. Mazzocchi D 4 1 1 1%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Pisa vs Napoli?
The final score was Pisa 0–3 Napoli.
What did the model predict before Pisa vs Napoli?
The model assigned 16% probability to a Pisa win, 28% to a draw, and 54% to an Napoli win.