Pisa 0–1 Padova — pre-match prediction — Serie B — August 23, 2026

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Serie B · Regular Season - 1 August 23, 2026 19:00 Arena Garibaldi, Pizza

Pisa

#6 · 14 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Padova

#7 · 13 pts

63' P. Fusi

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Pisa a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Padova 32%). The final result was Pisa 0–1 Padova.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.61

Actual xG

1.03

Saves

57%

Possession

43%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

I. Vural

35'

46'

K. Lasagna / M. Bortolussi ↕

↕ A. Caracciolo / R. Bozhinov

46'

↕ M. Tramoni / E. Rao

61'

↕ I. Vural / O. Correia

62'

M. Cocchi / L. Zanimacchia ↕

63'

P. Fusi⚽

69'

G. Giunti / M. Pompetti ↕

70'

A. Seghetti / G. Caprari ↕

72'

G. Giunti

↕ F. Loyola / I. Ferrah

74'

77'

E. Silletti / F. Sgarbi ↕

78'

A. Calabro

↕ S. Zanon / A. Calabresi

86'

90'+3

A. Dellavalle

Pre-match prediction

34.97%

Pisa

32.87%

32.16%

Padova ←

we assigned to the actual result (Padova) 32.16% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Pisa

2.67

1.61

-1.06

Padova

0.32

1.03

+0.71

Pisa dominated by xG (1.61 vs 1.03). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	8	22
2	Modena	9	19
3	Ascoli	9	18
4	Mantova	9	17
5	Benevento	9	15
6	Pisa	8	14
7	Padova	9	13
8	Sudtirol	9	13
9	Avellino	9	12
10	Cesena	9	11
11	Virtus Entella	9	10
12	Arezzo	8	10
13	Hellas Verona	8	9
14	Cremonese	9	9
15	Vicenza Virtus	9	9
16	Juve Stabia	8	8
17	Empoli	9	7
18	Carrarese	8	7
19	Sampdoria	9	5
20	Catanzaro	9	5

Lineups

Pisa 4-3-3

A. Confente G 6.30

M. Léris D 7.50

S. Canestrelli D 6.50

A. Caracciolo 45' D 6.60

S. Zanon 86' D 7.30

İ. Vural 62' M 7.00

G. Leone M 7.90

F. Loyola 74' M 6.20

M. Tramoni 61' F 7.20

A. Petagna F 6.70

T. Marras F 6.70

Bench

A. Calabresi 4' D

A. Primasso D

A. Šemper G

D. Denoon D

E. Rao 29' F 6.30

G. Piccinini M

I. Ferrah 16' M 6.60

Jeremy Kandje Mbambi D

Louis Buffon F

O. Correia 28' D 6.50

R. Bozhinov 45' D 6.60

Tomás Esteves D

Padova 3-5-2

A. Sorrentino G 8.50

C. Pastina D 7.30

F. Sgarbi 77' D 6.90

Alessandro Dellavalle D 8.20

Luca Zanimacchia 62' M 6.90

P. Fusi 1 ⚽ M 7.70

E. Zuelli M 7.00

M. Pompetti 69' M 6.30

L. Carissoni M 6.20

G. Caprari 70' F 6.90

M. Bortolussi 45' F 6.60

Bench

A. Capelli M

A. Seghetti 20' F 6.70

C. Faedo D

D. Marcolini M

Enrico Silletti 13' D 6.30

F. Di Mariano M

G. Giunti 21' M 6.50

K. Lasagna 45' F 6.20

K. Varas M

L. Moro F

L. Mouquet G

M. Cocchi 28' D 6.60

Best on the pitch

A. Sorrentino

G · Padova

8.50

· 27 pass

Alessandro Dellavalle

D · Padova

8.20

· 34 pass

G. Leone

M · Pisa

7.90

· 61 pass

P. Fusi

M · Padova

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 29 pass

M. Léris

D · Pisa

7.50

2 shots · 50 pass

S. Zanon

D · Pisa

7.30

1 shots · 45 pass

Pisa — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Confente	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	44	35%	—	—	—
M. Léris	D	90	7.50	—	—	2	50	37%	—	—	—
S. Canestrelli	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	52	47%	—	—	—
A. Caracciolo	D	45	6.60	—	—	—	27	22%	1	—	—
S. Zanon	D	86	7.30	—	—	1	45	35%	3	—	—
İ. Vural	M	62	7.00	—	—	2	36	28%	1	1	—
G. Leone	M	90	7.90	—	—	—	61	56%	2	—	—
F. Loyola	M	74	6.20	—	—	—	22	20%	1	—	—
M. Tramoni	F	61	7.20	—	—	4	27	21%	1	—	—
A. Petagna	F	90	6.70	—	—	2	26	23%	—	—	—
T. Marras	F	90	6.70	—	—	3	25	19%	—	—	—
A. Calabresi	D	4	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
E. Rao	F	29	6.30	—	—	—	6	3%	—	—	—
I. Ferrah	M	16	6.60	—	—	2	7	7%	—	—	—
O. Correia	D	28	6.50	—	—	—	15	14%	1	—	—
R. Bozhinov	D	45	6.60	—	—	—	34	32%	—	—	—

Padova — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Sorrentino	G	90	8.50	—	—	—	27	16%	—	—	—
C. Pastina	D	90	7.30	—	—	1	53	44%	4	—	—
F. Sgarbi	D	77	6.90	—	—	—	38	32%	1	—	—
Alessandro Dellavalle	D	90	8.20	—	—	—	34	28%	3	—	—
Luca Zanimacchia	M	62	6.90	—	—	—	21	17%	—	—	—
P. Fusi	M	90	7.70	1	—	2	29	25%	1	—	—
E. Zuelli	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	52	42%	1	—	—
M. Pompetti	M	69	6.30	—	—	—	14	12%	2	—	—
L. Carissoni	M	90	6.20	—	—	—	25	16%	1	—	—
G. Caprari	F	70	6.90	—	—	—	29	24%	2	—	—
M. Bortolussi	F	45	6.60	—	—	1	12	10%	—	—	—
A. Seghetti	F	20	6.70	—	—	—	3	1%	2	—	—
Enrico Silletti	D	13	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
G. Giunti	M	21	6.50	—	—	—	5	3%	1	1	—
K. Lasagna	F	45	6.20	—	—	1	5	1%	—	—	—
M. Cocchi	D	28	6.60	—	—	1	8	4%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Pisa vs Padova?

The final score was Pisa 0–1 Padova.

What did the model predict before Pisa vs Padova?

The model assigned 34% probability to a Pisa win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Padova win.