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← Serie B

Pisa - Palermo

Serie B October 28, 2026 19:00 Arena Garibaldi, Pizza
#6 · 14 pts
vs
#1 · 22 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 16.2°C 💨 4 km/h · Pizza
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.0%
Win
Pisa
26.53%
Draw
35.48%
Win
Palermo
2.12
Expected xG
1.93

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.14%)
1X2 Result
1 38%
X 27%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 62%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 56%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Pisa a 38% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Palermo. Expected goals are 2.1 for Pisa and 1.9 for Palermo (total 4.0), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.14% probability.

Season Stats

Pisa
4W 2D 2L
Palermo
10W 3D 2L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.8
1.2
Conceded
1.1
6.5
Shots OT
5.3
6.6
Corners
4.3
50%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
88%
O 1.5
93%
75%
O 2.5
47%
63%
BTTS
60%
25%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Serie B. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
63%
BTTS
Pisa
2W 0D 2L · at home
Palermo
4W 3D 3L · away
1.5
gls/g
1.3
1.8
Conceded
1.5
50%
Win %
40%
50%
Win or Draw
70%
75%
O 1.5
90%
75%
O 2.5
40%
50%
O 3.5
20%
75%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
20%
25%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Pisa Palermo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7% 3.4% 3.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
1 3.7% 7.1% 6.9% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
2 3.9% 7.6% 7.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.8% 5.3% 5.2% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.5% 2.8% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

D Hellas Verona 1–1
W Cremonese 3–1
W Vicenza Virtus 0–3
D Mantova 2–2
L Virtus Entella 1–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 12%
W Carrarese 2–1
W Mantova 0–2
W Empoli 2–4
W Padova 2–1
D Avellino 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Pisa Pisa
Attack
58
Defence
70
Form
58
Palermo Palermo
Attack
58
Defence
64
Form
73
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Palermo Palermo 8 22
2 Modena Modena 9 19
3 Ascoli Ascoli 9 18
4 Mantova Mantova 9 17
5 Benevento Benevento 9 15
6 Pisa Pisa 8 14
7 Padova Padova 9 13
8 Sudtirol Sudtirol 9 13
9 Avellino Avellino 9 12
10 Cesena Cesena 9 11
11 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 9 10
12 Arezzo Arezzo 8 10
13 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 8 9
14 Cremonese Cremonese 9 9
15 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 9 9
16 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 8 8
17 Empoli Empoli 9 7
18 Carrarese Carrarese 8 7
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 9 5
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 9 5
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Pisa vs Palermo?
The model gives Pisa a 38% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 35% for an Palermo win.
How many goals are expected in Pisa vs Palermo?
Expected goals: Pisa 2.1, Palermo 1.9 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Pisa vs Palermo?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.14%.