Skip to main content
← League One
League One · Regular Season - 10 October 10, 2026 13:30 Home Park, Plymouth
Plymouth
#5 · 22 pts
2 – 1
Final score
AFC Wimbledon
#17 · 13 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Plymouth
Caleb Watts 25'
Xavier Amaechi (ast. Alex·Hartridge) 90'+5
16' (ast. Callum Maycock) Jayden Stockley
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Plymouth a 51% win probability (draw 27%, AFC Wimbledon 20%). The final result was Plymouth 2–1 AFC Wimbledon. In 2 previous meetings, Plymouth have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for AFC Wimbledon.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
14
8
Shots on target
5
1.76
Actual xG
1.00
4
Saves
6
55%
Possession
45%
4
Corners
9
14
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
16'
ast. Callum Maycock · Jayden Stockley⚽
17'
Freddie Simmonds / Isaac Ogundere ↕
⚽Caleb Watts
25'
↕ Joe Edwards / Matthew Sorinola
30'
↕ Oliver Irow / Xavier Amaechi
65'
76'
Marcus Browne / Callum Maycock ↕
77'
Zack Nelson / Ollie Harrison ↕
↕ Caleb Watts / Tyreeq Bakinson
77'
↕ Wes Harding / Alex·Hartridge
78'
90'+1
Steven Sessegnon / Aron Sasu ↕
⚽Xavier Amaechi · ast. Alex·Hartridge
90'+5
Xavier Amaechi
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
51.86%
Plymouth ←
27.41%
X
20.73%
AFC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Plymouth) 51.86% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Plymouth
1.75
1.76
+0.01
AFC
0.56
1.00
+0.44
Plymouth dominated by xG (1.76 vs 1.00). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Huddersfield Huddersfield 12 25
2 Stockport County Stockport County 13 23
3 Oxford United Oxford United 11 22
4 Bradford Bradford 12 22
5 Plymouth Plymouth 13 22
6 Reading Reading 12 21
7 Cambridge United Cambridge United 13 21
8 Luton Luton 12 20
9 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 12 19
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 11 18
11 Leicester Leicester 12 18
12 Burton Albion Burton Albion 13 17
13 Stevenage Stevenage 11 15
14 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 12 15
15 Wycombe Wycombe 12 15
16 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 12 14
17 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 12 13
18 Doncaster Doncaster 12 12
19 Notts County Notts County 11 11
20 Blackpool Blackpool 11 11
21 Peterborough Peterborough 12 10
22 Bromley Bromley 12 9
23 Barnsley Barnsley 11 8
24 Wigan Wigan 12 7
Lineups
Plymouth Plymouth 4-4-1-1
1 M. Mahoney M. Mahoney G 6.68
45 W. Harding W. Harding 78' D 6.51
15 A. Mitchell A. Mitchell D 6.61
2 M. Ross M. Ross D 6.15
8 J. Edwards J. Edwards 30' D 6.83
14 O. Irow O. Irow 65' M 6.43
7 H. White H. White M 6.33
23 B. Ibrahim B. Ibrahim M 6.10
11 R. Curtis R. Curtis M 6.03
17 C. Watts C. Watts 1 ⚽ 77' M 7.73
9 W. Evans W. Evans F 6.09
Bench
22 A. Hartridge A. Hartridge 1 👟 12' D 6.65
21 James Storer James Storer G 0.00
29 M. Sorinola M. Sorinola 60' D 5.83
19 T. Bakinson T. Bakinson 13' M 6.42
10 X. Amaechi X. Amaechi 1 ⚽ 25' F 7.46
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 3-4-2-1
39 J. Bursik J. Bursik G 6.58
6 R. Johnson R. Johnson D 6.24
33 I. Ogundere I. Ogundere 17' D 6.12
17 A. Yiadom A. Yiadom D 5.87
3 S. Seddon S. Seddon M 6.75
5 O. Harrison O. Harrison 77' M 6.30
12 A. Smith A. Smith M 5.84
29 A. Sasu A. Sasu 89' M 7.61
21 M. Hippolyte M. Hippolyte M 6.03
8 C. Maycock C. Maycock 1 👟 76' M 6.26
9 J. Stockley J. Stockley 1 ⚽ F 7.96
Bench
15 F. Simmonds F. Simmonds 73' D 5.61
23 H. Cornick H. Cornick F 0.00
11 M. Browne M. Browne 14' M 5.98
1 N. Bishop N. Bishop G 0.00
22 R. Horan R. Horan D 0.00
2 S. Sessegnon S. Sessegnon 1' D 6.16
10 Z. Nelson Z. Nelson 13' M 6.13
Best on the pitch
J. Stockley
J. Stockley
F · AFC
7.96
1 ⚽
2 shots · 12 pass
C. Watts
C. Watts
M · Plymouth
7.73
1 ⚽
3 shots · 18 pass
A. Sasu
A. Sasu
M · AFC
7.61
3 shots · 13 pass
X. Amaechi
X. Amaechi
F · Plymouth
7.46
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
J. Edwards
J. Edwards
D · Plymouth
6.83
· 16 pass
S. Seddon
S. Seddon
M · AFC
6.75
· 36 pass
Plymouth Plymouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Mahoney G 90 6.68 — — 0 48 24% 0 — —
W. Harding D 78 6.51 — — 0 28 23% 1 — —
A. Mitchell D 90 6.61 — — 1 43 36% 0 — —
M. Ross D 90 6.15 — — 1 47 32% 2 — —
J. Edwards D 30 6.83 — — 0 16 10% 3 — —
O. Irow M 65 6.43 — — 3 16 12% 1 — —
H. White M 90 6.33 — — 3 38 32% 0 — —
B. Ibrahim M 90 6.10 — — 1 36 26% 4 — —
R. Curtis M 90 6.03 — — 2 27 14% 0 — —
C. Watts M 77 7.73 1 — 3 18 14% 0 — —
W. Evans F 90 6.09 — — 2 21 9% 0 — —
A. Hartridge D 12 6.65 — 1 0 7 4% 1 — —
M. Sorinola D 60 5.83 — — 0 30 18% 2 — —
T. Bakinson M 13 6.42 — — 1 2 1% 0 — —
X. Amaechi F 25 7.46 1 — 1 4 2% 0 1 —
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Bursik G 90 6.58 — — 0 47 18% 0 — —
R. Johnson D 90 6.24 — — 0 35 25% 0 — —
I. Ogundere D 17 6.12 — — 0 6 3% 0 — —
A. Yiadom D 90 5.87 — — 1 22 14% 3 — —
S. Seddon M 90 6.75 — — 0 36 23% 4 — —
O. Harrison M 77 6.30 — — 1 35 31% 1 — —
A. Smith M 90 5.84 — — 0 34 24% 2 — —
A. Sasu M 89 7.61 — — 3 13 6% 1 — —
M. Hippolyte M 90 6.03 — — 2 26 20% 1 — —
C. Maycock M 76 6.26 — 1 1 10 7% 0 — —
J. Stockley F 90 7.96 1 — 2 12 5% 0 — —
F. Simmonds D 73 5.61 — — 2 22 11% 1 — —
M. Browne M 14 5.98 — — 1 1 0% 0 — —
S. Sessegnon D 1 6.16 — — 1 1 1% 0 — —
Z. Nelson M 13 6.13 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon?
The final score was Plymouth 2–1 AFC Wimbledon.
What did the model predict before Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Plymouth win, 27% to a draw, and 20% to an AFC Wimbledon win.