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Plymouth - Alvechurch

FA Cup November 07, 2026 16:00 Home Park, Plymouth
vs
Weather at kick-off 🌦️ Light drizzle 10.9°C 💨 16 km/h · Plymouth
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.24%
Win
Plymouth
31.0%
Draw
36.76%
Win
Alvechurch
1.01
Expected xG
1.33

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.03%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 31%
2 37%
Double Chance
1X 63%
X2 68%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 56%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Alvechurch a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Plymouth. Expected goals are 1.0 for Plymouth and 1.3 for Alvechurch (total 2.3), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.03% probability.

Season Stats

Plymouth
0W 0D 1L
Alvechurch
6W 1D 1L
Averages per game
0.0
Goals
2.6
2.0
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
88%
0%
BTTS
63%
0%
Clean Sht
38%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Plymouth Alvechurch →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6% 12.8% 8.5% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
1 9.7% 12.9% 8.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 4.9% 6.5% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

L Wycombe 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
W Spalding United 4–0
D Spalding United 2–2
W Cambridge City 1–2
W Racing Club Warwick 3–1
W Wolverhampton City 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Plymouth Plymouth
Attack
45
Defence
59
Form
58
Alvechurch Alvechurch
Attack
57
Defence
78
Form
70
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Plymouth vs Alvechurch?
The model gives Plymouth a 32% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 36% for an Alvechurch win.
How many goals are expected in Plymouth vs Alvechurch?
Expected goals: Plymouth 1.0, Alvechurch 1.3 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Plymouth vs Alvechurch?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.03%.