✗Model wrong — prediction Plymouth, result Burton Albion wins
70'
Jack Armer
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Plymouth a 51% win probability (draw 25%, Burton Albion 23%). The final result was Plymouth 0–1 Burton Albion. In 2 previous meetings, Plymouth have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Burton Albion.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
3
57%
Possession
43%
3
Corners
4
17
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
23'
Curtis Tilt
45'
Matthew Dennis
/
Kain Adom
Will Evans
56'
Will Evans
/ Caleb Watts
59'
Matthew Sorinola
/ Joe Edwards
59'
Ronan Curtis
60'
65'
Matthew Dennis
Ronan Curtis
/ Xavier Amaechi
70'
Tyreeq Bakinson
/ Bradley Ibrahim
70'
70'
Jack Armer⚽
Julio Pleguezuelo
/ Mathias Ross Jensen
74'
84'
Sulyman Krubally
Mathias Ross Jensen
86'
87'
Sulyman Krubally
/
Kgagelo Chauke
Pre-match prediction
51.58%
Plymouth
25.33%
X
23.08%
Burton ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Burton Albion)
23.08%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.78
—
—
1.21
—
—
Lineups
1
M. Mahoney
G
M. Mahoney
G
29
M. Sorinola
59'
D
M. Sorinola
59'
D
5
Julio Pleguezuelo
74'
D
Julio Pleguezuelo
74'
D
15
A. Mitchell
D
A. Mitchell
D
45
W. Harding
D
W. Harding
D
14
O. Irow
M
O. Irow
M
7
H. White
M
H. White
M
19
T. Bakinson
70'
M
T. Bakinson
70'
M
11
R. Curtis
70'
M
R. Curtis
70'
M
27
A. Pepple
F
A. Pepple
F
9
W. Evans
59'
F
W. Evans
59'
F
Bench
23
B. Ibrahim
20'
M
B. Ibrahim
20'
M
17
C. Watts
31'
M
C. Watts
31'
M
21
James Storer
G
James Storer
G
8
J. Edwards
31'
D
J. Edwards
31'
D
2
M. Ross
16'
D
M. Ross
16'
D
10
X. Amaechi
20'
F
X. Amaechi
20'
F
34
C. Addai
G
C. Addai
G
16
C. Tilt
D
C. Tilt
D
12
G. Evans
D
G. Evans
D
26
F. Delap
D
F. Delap
D
3
J. Armer
1 ⚽
M
J. Armer
1 ⚽
M
4
K. Chauke
87'
M
K. Chauke
87'
M
14
W. Collar
M
W. Collar
M
17
R. Borges Rodrigues
M
R. Borges Rodrigues
M
8
C. Webster
M
C. Webster
M
18
45'
M
29
45'
F
Bench
23
Emeka Adeile
D
Emeka Adeile
D
24
Harvey Araujo
D
Harvey Araujo
D
20
J. Sraha
D
J. Sraha
D
27
K. Dudek
G
K. Dudek
G
19
M. Dennis
45'
F
M. Dennis
45'
F
41
Sulyman Krubally
3'
M
Sulyman Krubally
3'
M
40
Zac Scutt
F
Zac Scutt
F
Best on the pitch
G. Evans
D · Burton
7.47
1 shots
· 51 pass
J. Armer
M · Burton
7.34
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
H. White
M · Plymouth
7.20
2 shots
· 73 pass
F. Delap
D · Burton
7.11
· 38 pass
R. Borges Rodrigues
M · Burton
7.09
1 shots
· 23 pass
C. Addai
G · Burton
7.05
· 48 pass
Plymouth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mahoney | G | 90 | 5.93 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Sorinola | D | 59 | 5.59 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Julio Pleguezuelo | D | 74 | 6.98 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mitchell | D | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 75 | 63% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Harding | D | 90 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Irow | M | 90 | 6.17 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| H. White | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 73 | 64% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Bakinson | M | 70 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Curtis | M | 70 | 5.69 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Pepple | F | 90 | 5.97 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Evans | F | 59 | 5.95 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Ibrahim | M | 20 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Watts | M | 31 | 6.45 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Edwards | D | 31 | 6.75 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ross | D | 16 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 18% | 0 | 1 | — |
| X. Amaechi | F | 20 | 6.28 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
Burton Albion — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Addai | G | 90 | 7.05 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Tilt | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Evans | D | 90 | 7.47 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 42% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Delap | D | 90 | 7.11 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Armer | M | 90 | 7.34 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Chauke | M | 87 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Collar | M | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Borges Rodrigues | M | 90 | 7.09 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Webster | M | 90 | 6.69 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 45 | 6.26 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — | |
| F | 45 | 6.26 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — | |
| M. Dennis | F | 45 | 6.18 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Sulyman Krubally | M | 3 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Plymouth vs Burton Albion?
The final score was Plymouth 0–1 Burton Albion.
What did the model predict before Plymouth vs Burton Albion?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Plymouth win, 25% to a draw, and 23% to an Burton Albion win.