Skip to main content
← EFL Cup

Plymouth - Coventry

EFL Cup August 25, 2026 20:45 Home Park, Plymouth
Plymouth
vs
Coventry
Weather at kick-off 🌧️ Showers 17.3°C 💨 12 km/h 🌧️ 41% · Plymouth
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.79%
Win
Plymouth
31.66%
Draw
31.55%
Win
Coventry
1.92
Expected xG
0.97

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.34%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 63%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 52%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Plymouth a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Coventry. Expected goals are 1.9 for Plymouth and 1.0 for Coventry (total 2.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.34% probability.

Season Stats

Plymouth
2W 1D 0L
Coventry
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
6.3
Shots OT
4.0
10.7
Corners
6.5
55%
Poss.
56%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
50%
33%
O 2.5
50%
67%
BTTS
50%
33%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Plymouth
2W 0D 0L · at home
Coventry
0W 0D 1L · away
2.5
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
2.0
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Plymouth Coventry →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5% 5.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% —
1 10.7% 10.3% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.9% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.6% 6.4% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% —
4 3.2% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% — —

Recent form

Plymouth Plymouth
W Exeter City 2–0
D Swansea 1–1
W QPR 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 45%
Coventry Coventry
L Millwall 2–1
W Luton 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 45%

Playing profile

Plymouth Plymouth
Attack
57
Defence
90
Form
75
Coventry Coventry
Attack
43
Defence
82
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Plymouth vs Coventry?
The model gives Plymouth a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Coventry win.
How many goals are expected in Plymouth vs Coventry?
Expected goals: Plymouth 1.9, Coventry 1.0 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Plymouth vs Coventry?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.34%.