✗Model wrong — prediction Plymouth, result Draw
L. Tolaj
79'
M. Boateng
90'
47'
R. Cole
87'
J. Wareham
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Plymouth a 76% win probability (draw 13%, Exeter City 10%). The final result was Plymouth 2–2 Exeter City. In 1 previous meetings, Plymouth have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Exeter City.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
3
7
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
7
55%
Possession
45%
10
Corners
2
7
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
J. Edwards
15'
47'
R. Cole⚽
O. Oseni
/ X. Amaechi
56'
J. Paterson
/ C. Watts
57'
62'
K. McDonald
C. Watts
62'
63'
J. Bycroft
66'
C. Mendes
67'
R. Rydel
/
C. Mendes
67'
J. Magennis
/
K. McDonald
74'
I. Niskanen
77'
J. Aitchison
/
R. Cole
⚽L. Tolaj
79'
J. Edwards
/ J. MacKenzie
80'
87'
J. Wareham⚽
⚽M. Boateng
90'
Pre-match prediction
76.0%
Plymouth
13.57%
X ←
10.43%
Exeter
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
13.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.52
—
—
0.53
—
—
Lineups
1
C. Hazard
86'
G
45
86'
D
15
A. Mitchell
86'
D
2
M. Ross
86'
D
8
J. Edwards
80'
D
J. Edwards
80'
D
35
O. Dale
86'
M
7
J. Paterson
57'
M
19
M. Boateng
1 ⚽
86'
M
M. Boateng
1 ⚽
86'
M
28
R. Curtis
86'
M
18
56'
F
9
L. Tolaj
1 ⚽
86'
F
L. Tolaj
1 ⚽
86'
F
Bench
22
B. Galloway
D
17
C. Watts
29'
M
3
J. MacKenzie
6'
D
29
M. Sorinola
D
M. Sorinola
D
23
J. Bycroft
86'
G
21
D. Andrew
86'
D
26
86'
D
40
E. James
86'
D
2
86'
D
29
K. McDonald
67'
M
45
C. Cummins
86'
M
C. Cummins
86'
M
7
C. Mendes
67'
M
12
R. Cole
1 ⚽
77'
M
14
I. Niskanen
86'
M
I. Niskanen
86'
M
9
J. Wareham
1 ⚽
86'
F
J. Wareham
1 ⚽
86'
F
Bench
6
E. Brierley
M
10
J. Aitchison
9'
F
27
Josh Magennis
19'
F
Josh Magennis
19'
F
20
L. Woodhouse
M
3
R. Rydel
19'
D
Best on the pitch
O. Dale
M · Plymouth
8.50
· 19 pass
R. Cole
M · Exeter
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 21 pass
J. Bycroft
G · Exeter
8.00
· 36 pass
J. Paterson
M · Plymouth
7.90
· 21 pass
L. Tolaj
F · Plymouth
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 10 pass
M. Ross
D · Plymouth
7.00
1 shots
· 32 pass
Plymouth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hazard | G | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 17% | — | — | — |
| D | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — | |
| A. Mitchell | D | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ross | D | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Edwards | D | 80 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| O. Dale | M | 86 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Paterson | M | 57 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Boateng | M | 86 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Curtis | M | 86 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| F | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — | |
| L. Tolaj | F | 86 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| C. Watts | M | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| J. MacKenzie | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Exeter City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bycroft | G | 86 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Andrew | D | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| E. James | D | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
| D | 86 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 6% | — | — | — | |
| K. McDonald | M | 67 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Cummins | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Mendes | M | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Cole | M | 77 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| I. Niskanen | M | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Wareham | F | 86 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Aitchison | F | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Josh Magennis | F | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Rydel | D | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Plymouth vs Exeter City?
The final score was Plymouth 2–2 Exeter City.
What did the model predict before Plymouth vs Exeter City?
The model assigned 76% probability to a Plymouth win, 13% to a draw, and 10% to an Exeter City win.