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← EFL Cup

Plymouth - Exeter City

EFL Cup August 10, 2026 21:00 Home Park, Plymouth
Weather at kick-off Partly cloudy 20.9°C 💨 10 km/h 🌧️ 22% · Plymouth
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.5%
Win
Plymouth
30.68%
Draw
28.82%
Win
Exeter City
1.93
Expected xG
0.58

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.19%)
1X2 Result
1 41%
X 31%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 60%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Plymouth a 40% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Exeter City. Expected goals are 1.9 for Plymouth and 0.6 for Exeter City (total 2.5), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.19% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Plymouth have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Exeter City.

Season Stats

Plymouth
1W 1D 0L
Exeter City
0W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
0.0
1.5
Conceded
2.0
6.5
Shots OT
1.0
11.5
Corners
8.0
52%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 2 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Plymouth Exeter City →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3%
1 15.7% 9.1% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
2 15.1% 8.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 9.8% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3%
4 4.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
5 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

D Swansea 1–1
W QPR 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
L Cheltenham 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Plymouth Plymouth
Attack
57
Defence
83
Form
78
Exeter City Exeter City
Attack
31
Defence
65
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Plymouth vs Exeter City?
The model gives Plymouth a 40% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 28% for an Exeter City win.
How many goals are expected in Plymouth vs Exeter City?
Expected goals: Plymouth 1.9, Exeter City 0.6 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Plymouth vs Exeter City?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.19%.