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Plzen - Benfica

Europa League November 26, 2026 18:45
#34 · 0 pts
vs
#7 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
25.36%
Win
Plzen
21.06%
Draw
53.58%
Win
Benfica
1.37
Expected xG
2.44

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (9.32%)
1X2 Result
1 25%
X 21%
2 54%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 46%
X2 75%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 87%
Over 2.5 73%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Benfica a 53% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Plzen. Expected goals are 1.4 for Plzen and 2.4 for Benfica (total 3.8), with a 87% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 9.32% probability.

Season Stats

Plzen
4W 7D 2L
Benfica
5W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
3.0
1.0
Conceded
0.9
4.7
Shots OT
9.0
4.5
Corners
6.0
43%
Poss.
61%
Percentages
69%
O 1.5
100%
46%
O 2.5
71%
46%
BTTS
71%
38%
Clean Sht
29%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
Plzen
2W 4D 1L · at home
Benfica
2W 1D 1L · away
1.4
gls/g
1.8
0.9
Conceded
1.0
29%
Win %
50%
86%
Win or Draw
75%
71%
O 1.5
100%
43%
O 2.5
50%
14%
O 3.5
25%
43%
BTTS
75%
43%
Clean Sht
25%
43%
Failed to Score
0%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Plzen Benfica →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2% 5.4% 6.6% 5.4% 3.3% 1.6%
1 3.0% 7.4% 9.0% 7.3% 4.5% 2.2%
2 2.1% 5.1% 6.2% 5.0% 3.1% 1.5%
3 0.9% 2.3% 2.8% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7%
4 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

L Union St. Gilloise 0–3
W FK Crvena Zvezda 5–1
L FK Crvena Zvezda 3–0
D Panathinaikos 1–1
D Panathinaikos 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 14%
W AC Milan 0–2
W Aarhus 1–3
W Aarhus 3–1
D Heart Of Midlothian 1–1
W Heart Of Midlothian 6–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 43%

Playing profile

Plzen Plzen
Attack
42
Defence
62
Form
29
Benfica Benfica
Attack
63
Defence
75
Form
74
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Juventus Juventus 1 3
2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1 3
3 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 1 3
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1 3
5 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 1 3
6 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 1 3
7 Benfica Benfica 1 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1 3
9 OFI OFI 1 3
10 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1 3
11 Lyon Lyon 1 3
12 Torreense Torreense 1 3
13 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 1 3
14 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 1 3
15 Sunderland Sunderland 1 3
16 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 1 3
17 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 1
18 Rennes Rennes 1 1
19 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1 1
20 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 1
21 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 0
22 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1 0
23 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1 0
24 Lillestrom Lillestrom 1 0
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1 0
27 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1 0
28 Celtic Celtic 1 0
29 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0
30 AC Milan AC Milan 1 0
31 Celje Celje 1 0
32 Marseille Marseille 1 0
33 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 1 0
34 Plzen Plzen 1 0
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1 0
36 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Plzen vs Benfica?
The model gives Plzen a 25% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 53% for an Benfica win.
How many goals are expected in Plzen vs Benfica?
Expected goals: Plzen 1.4, Benfica 2.4 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 87%.
What is the most likely score in Plzen vs Benfica?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.32%.