Czech Liga
· Championship Group - 4
May 17, 2026 17:00
✓Model correct — prediction Plzen
D. Krcik
14'
(pen.)
D. Visinsky
(ast. T. Ladra)
21'
D. Krcik
34'
A. Sojka
(ast. M. Vydra)
39'
M. Vydra
48'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Plzen a 68% win probability (draw 18%, FK Jablonec 13%). The final result was Plzen 5–0 FK Jablonec. In 2 previous meetings, Plzen have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for FK Jablonec.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
5
9
Shots on target
2
2.92
Actual xG
0.46
2
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
7
Corners
4
14
Tackles
6
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
9'
M. Polidar
⚽D. Krcik
(pen.)
14'
⚽D. Visinsky
· ast. T. Ladra
21'
⚽D. Krcik
34'
38'
S. Obinaya
⚽A. Sojka
· ast. M. Vydra
39'
46'
N. Okeke
/
F. Zorvan
46'
E. Sobol
/
S. Nebyla
⚽M. Vydra
48'
D. Visinsky
/ M. Toure
62'
M. Vydra
/ P. Adu
62'
62'
J. Chramosta
/
M. Malensek
74'
E. Singhateh
/
M. Polidar
75'
D. Nykrin
/
N. Innocenti
A. Sojka
/ C. Souare
75'
M. Valenta
/ K. Spacil
75'
A. Memic
/ A. Kadlec
85'
Pre-match prediction
68.68%
Plzen ←
18.27%
X
13.05%
FK
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Plzen)
68.68%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.11
2.92
+0.81
0.72
0.46
-0.26
Plzen dominated by xG (2.92 vs 0.46).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
44
Florian Wiegele
89'
G
Florian Wiegele
89'
G
14
Merchas Doski
89'
D
Merchas Doski
89'
D
40
Sampson Dweh
89'
D
Sampson Dweh
89'
D
37
Dávid Krčík
2 ⚽
89'
D
99
Amar Memić
85'
D
Amar Memić
85'
D
32
Matěj Valenta
75'
M
Matěj Valenta
75'
M
17
Patrik Hrošovský
89'
M
Patrik Hrošovský
89'
M
9
Denis Višinský
1 ⚽
62'
M
Denis Višinský
1 ⚽
62'
M
18
T. Ladra
1 👟
89'
M
T. Ladra
1 👟
89'
M
12
Alexandr Sojka
1 ⚽
75'
M
Alexandr Sojka
1 ⚽
75'
M
11
Matěj Vydra
1 ⚽
1 👟
62'
F
Matěj Vydra
1 ⚽
1 👟
62'
F
Bench
16
Adam Kadlec
4'
D
Adam Kadlec
4'
D
19
C. Souaré
14'
M
C. Souaré
14'
M
1
Dominik Ťapaj
G
Dominik Ťapaj
G
51
D. Vašulín
F
D. Vašulín
F
5
Karel Spáčil
14'
D
Karel Spáčil
14'
D
13
Marián Tvrdoň
G
Marián Tvrdoň
G
10
M. Toure
27'
F
M. Toure
27'
F
80
Prince Kwabena Adu
27'
F
Prince Kwabena Adu
27'
F
29
Tom Slončík
M
Tom Slončík
M
99
Klemen Mihelak
89'
G
Klemen Mihelak
89'
G
90
Nassim Innocenti
75'
D
Nassim Innocenti
75'
D
84
Renato Pantalon
89'
D
Renato Pantalon
89'
D
62
Samuel Obinaya
89'
D
Samuel Obinaya
89'
D
21
Matěj Polidar
74'
M
Matěj Polidar
74'
M
25
S. Nebyla
45'
M
S. Nebyla
45'
M
17
Samuel Lavrinčík
89'
M
Samuel Lavrinčík
89'
M
14
Daniel Souček
89'
M
Daniel Souček
89'
M
8
Filip Zorvan
45'
F
Filip Zorvan
45'
F
24
David Puškáč
89'
F
David Puškáč
89'
F
42
Matej Malenšek
62'
F
Matej Malenšek
62'
F
Bench
77
A. Alégué
F
A. Alégué
F
12
David Nykrin
14'
M
David Nykrin
14'
M
27
Ebrima Singhateh
15'
F
Ebrima Singhateh
15'
F
23
Eduard Sobol
44'
D
Eduard Sobol
44'
D
1
Jan Hanuš
G
Jan Hanuš
G
19
J. Chramosta
27'
F
J. Chramosta
27'
F
44
L. Jawo
F
L. Jawo
F
4
Nemanja Tekijaški
D
Nemanja Tekijaški
D
6
N. Okeke
44'
M
N. Okeke
44'
M
13
Richard Sedláček
M
Richard Sedláček
M
Best on the pitch
Dávid Krčík
D · Plzen
9.30
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 63 pass
Sampson Dweh
D · Plzen
8.50
· 76 pass
Denis Višinský
M · Plzen
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
Alexandr Sojka
M · Plzen
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
Matěj Vydra
F · Plzen
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 12 pass
Patrik Hrošovský
M · Plzen
7.50
2 shots
· 55 pass
Plzen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Wiegele | G | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Merchas Doski | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 68 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Sampson Dweh | D | 89 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 76 | 71% | 3 | — | — |
| Dávid Krčík | D | 89 | 9.30 | 2 | — | 3 | 63 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| Amar Memić | D | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Matěj Valenta | M | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| Patrik Hrošovský | M | 89 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Denis Višinský | M | 62 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Ladra | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 48 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexandr Sojka | M | 75 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Matěj Vydra | F | 62 | 7.60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Adam Kadlec | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Souaré | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Karel Spáčil | D | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Toure | F | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Prince Kwabena Adu | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
FK Jablonec — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klemen Mihelak | G | 89 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Nassim Innocenti | D | 75 | 4.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Renato Pantalon | D | 89 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel Obinaya | D | 89 | 5.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Matěj Polidar | M | 74 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Nebyla | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Lavrinčík | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Souček | M | 89 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Filip Zorvan | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| David Puškáč | F | 89 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Matej Malenšek | F | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| David Nykrin | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ebrima Singhateh | F | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduard Sobol | D | 44 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Chramosta | F | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| N. Okeke | M | 44 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Plzen vs FK Jablonec?
The final score was Plzen 5–0 FK Jablonec.
What did the model predict before Plzen vs FK Jablonec?
The model assigned 68% probability to a Plzen win, 18% to a draw, and 13% to an FK Jablonec win.