Czech Liga
· Championship Group - 4
May 17, 2026 17:00
✓Model correct — prediction Plzen
D. Krcik
14'
(pen.)
D. Visinsky
(ast. T. Ladra)
21'
D. Krcik
34'
A. Sojka
(ast. M. Vydra)
39'
M. Vydra
48'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Plzen a 68% win probability (draw 18%, FK Jablonec 13%). The final result was Plzen 5–0 FK Jablonec. In 3 previous meetings, Plzen have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for FK Jablonec.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
5
9
Shots on target
2
2.92
Actual xG
0.46
2
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
7
Corners
4
14
Tackles
6
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
9'
M. Polidar
⚽D. Krcik
(pen.)
14'
⚽D. Visinsky
· ast. T. Ladra
21'
⚽D. Krcik
34'
38'
S. Obinaya
⚽A. Sojka
· ast. M. Vydra
39'
46'
N. Okeke
/
F. Zorvan
46'
E. Sobol
/
S. Nebyla
⚽M. Vydra
48'
D. Visinsky
/ M. Toure
62'
M. Vydra
/ P. Adu
62'
62'
J. Chramosta
/
M. Malensek
74'
E. Singhateh
/
M. Polidar
75'
D. Nykrin
/
N. Innocenti
A. Sojka
/ C. Souare
75'
M. Valenta
/ K. Spacil
75'
A. Memic
/ A. Kadlec
85'
Pre-match prediction
68.68%
Plzen ←
18.27%
X
13.05%
FK
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Plzen)
68.68%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.11
2.92
+0.81
0.72
0.46
-0.26
Plzen dominated by xG (2.92 vs 0.46).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
44
F. Wiegele
89'
G
F. Wiegele
89'
G
14
Merchas Doski
89'
D
Merchas Doski
89'
D
40
S. Dweh
89'
D
S. Dweh
89'
D
37
D. Krčík
2 ⚽
89'
D
D. Krčík
2 ⚽
89'
D
99
A. Memić
85'
D
A. Memić
85'
D
32
M. Valenta
75'
M
M. Valenta
75'
M
17
P. Hrošovský
89'
M
P. Hrošovský
89'
M
9
D. Višinský
1 ⚽
62'
M
D. Višinský
1 ⚽
62'
M
18
T. Ladra
1 👟
89'
M
T. Ladra
1 👟
89'
M
12
A. Sojka
1 ⚽
75'
M
A. Sojka
1 ⚽
75'
M
11
M. Vydra
1 ⚽
1 👟
62'
F
M. Vydra
1 ⚽
1 👟
62'
F
Bench
16
Adam Kadlec
4'
D
Adam Kadlec
4'
D
19
C. Souaré
14'
M
C. Souaré
14'
M
1
D. Ťapaj
G
D. Ťapaj
G
51
D. Vašulín
F
D. Vašulín
F
5
Karel Spáčil
14'
D
Karel Spáčil
14'
D
10
M. Toure
27'
F
M. Toure
27'
F
13
M. Tvrdoň
G
M. Tvrdoň
G
80
Prince Kwabena Adu
27'
F
Prince Kwabena Adu
27'
F
29
T. Slončík
M
T. Slončík
M
99
K. Mihelak
89'
G
K. Mihelak
89'
G
90
Nassim Innocenti
75'
D
Nassim Innocenti
75'
D
84
R. Pantalon
89'
D
R. Pantalon
89'
D
62
Samuel Obinaya
89'
D
Samuel Obinaya
89'
D
21
M. Polidar
74'
M
M. Polidar
74'
M
25
S. Nebyla
45'
M
S. Nebyla
45'
M
17
S. Lavrinčík
89'
M
S. Lavrinčík
89'
M
14
D. Souček
89'
M
D. Souček
89'
M
8
F. Zorvan
45'
F
F. Zorvan
45'
F
24
D. Puškáč
89'
F
D. Puškáč
89'
F
42
Matej Malenšek
62'
F
Matej Malenšek
62'
F
Bench
77
A. Alégué
F
A. Alégué
F
12
David Nykrin
14'
M
David Nykrin
14'
M
27
E. Singhateh
15'
F
E. Singhateh
15'
F
23
E. Sobol
44'
D
E. Sobol
44'
D
19
J. Chramosta
27'
F
J. Chramosta
27'
F
1
J. Hanuš
G
J. Hanuš
G
44
Lamin Jawo
F
Lamin Jawo
F
6
N. Okeke
44'
M
N. Okeke
44'
M
4
N. Tekijaški
D
N. Tekijaški
D
13
R. Sedláček
M
R. Sedláček
M
Best on the pitch
D. Krčík
D · Plzen
9.30
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 63 pass
S. Dweh
D · Plzen
8.50
· 76 pass
D. Višinský
M · Plzen
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
A. Sojka
M · Plzen
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
M. Vydra
F · Plzen
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 12 pass
P. Hrošovský
M · Plzen
7.50
2 shots
· 55 pass
Plzen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Wiegele | G | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Merchas Doski | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 68 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Dweh | D | 89 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 76 | 71% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Krčík | D | 89 | 9.30 | 2 | — | 3 | 63 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Memić | D | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Valenta | M | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Hrošovský | M | 89 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 48% | — | — | — |
| D. Višinský | M | 62 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Ladra | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 48 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sojka | M | 75 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Vydra | F | 62 | 7.60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Adam Kadlec | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Souaré | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Karel Spáčil | D | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Toure | F | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Prince Kwabena Adu | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
FK Jablonec — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mihelak | G | 89 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Nassim Innocenti | D | 75 | 4.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| R. Pantalon | D | 89 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel Obinaya | D | 89 | 5.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Polidar | M | 74 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Nebyla | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| S. Lavrinčík | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Souček | M | 89 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| F. Zorvan | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| D. Puškáč | F | 89 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Matej Malenšek | F | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| David Nykrin | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| E. Singhateh | F | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Sobol | D | 44 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Chramosta | F | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| N. Okeke | M | 44 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Plzen vs FK Jablonec?
The final score was Plzen 5–0 FK Jablonec.
What did the model predict before Plzen vs FK Jablonec?
The model assigned 68% probability to a Plzen win, 18% to a draw, and 13% to an FK Jablonec win.