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Plzen - Jagiellonia

Europa League January 28, 2027 21:00
Plzen
#33 · 0 pts
vs
Jagiellonia
#27 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.63%
Win
Plzen
24.15%
Draw
32.22%
Win
Jagiellonia
1.8
Expected xG
1.47

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.98%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1 44%
X 24%
2 32%
Double Chance ✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 68%
X2 56%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 69%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Plzen a 43% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Jagiellonia. Expected goals are 1.8 for Plzen and 1.5 for Jagiellonia (total 3.3), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.98% probability.

Season Stats

Plzen
4W 7D 4L
Jagiellonia
4W 1D 2L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.9
1.1
Conceded
1.3
4.7
Shots OT
4.3
4.4
Corners
2.0
44%
Poss.
44%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
100%
53%
O 2.5
86%
53%
BTTS
71%
33%
Clean Sht
14%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
7%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Plzen
2W 4D 2L · at home
Jagiellonia
1W 1D 1L · away
1.4
gls/g
1.3
1.0
Conceded
1.3
25%
Win %
33%
75%
Win or Draw
67%
75%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
67%
13%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
100%
38%
Clean Sht
0%
38%
Failed to Score
0%
last 8
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Plzen Jagiellonia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8% 5.6% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.9% 10.1% 7.4% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 9.1% 6.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5.4% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.7% 2.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Plzen Plzen
L Levski Sofia 1–2
L Ferencvarosi TC 2–1
L Union St. Gilloise 0–3
W FK Crvena Zvezda 5–1
L FK Crvena Zvezda 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
L Anderlecht 0–3
W Ararat-Armenia 3–1
L Olympiakos Piraeus 2–1
W FC Iberia 1999 1–2
W FC Iberia 1999 4–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Plzen Plzen
Attack
42
Defence
46
Form
26
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
Attack
38
Defence
58
Form
30
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Plzen vs Jagiellonia?
The model gives Plzen a 43% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 32% for an Jagiellonia win.
How many goals are expected in Plzen vs Jagiellonia?
Expected goals: Plzen 1.8, Jagiellonia 1.5 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Plzen vs Jagiellonia?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.98%.