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Plzen - Union St. Gilloise

Europa League September 17, 2026 21:00
Plzen
#36 · 0 pts
vs
Union St. Gilloise
#35 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.08%
Win
Plzen
20.87%
Draw
35.05%
Win
Union St. Gilloise
2.35
Expected xG
2.09

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (7.36%)
1X2 Result
1 44%
X 21%
2 35%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 65%
X2 56%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 89%
Over 2.5 79%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Plzen a 44% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 35% for Union St. Gilloise. Expected goals are 2.3 for Plzen and 2.1 for Union St. Gilloise (total 4.4), with a 89% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 7.36% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Plzen Union St. Gilloise →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.2% 2.5% 2.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4%
1 2.8% 5.8% 6.1% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9%
2 3.3% 6.8% 7.1% 4.9% 2.6% 1.1%
3 2.6% 5.3% 5.6% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8%
4 1.5% 3.1% 3.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
5 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2%

Recent form

Plzen Plzen
W FK Crvena Zvezda 5–1
L FK Crvena Zvezda 3–0
D Panathinaikos 1–1
D Panathinaikos 2–2
W FC Basel 1893 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

Plzen Plzen
Attack
52
Defence
72
Form
41
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
Attack
59
Defence
64
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise?
The model gives Plzen a 44% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 35% for an Union St. Gilloise win.
How many goals are expected in Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise?
Expected goals: Plzen 2.3, Union St. Gilloise 2.1 (total 4.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 89%.
What is the most likely score in Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.36%.