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← Copa del Rey

Poblense - AD Ceuta FC

Copa del Rey October 28, 2026 19:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.05%
Win
Poblense
32.89%
Draw
32.06%
Win
AD Ceuta FC
1.45
Expected xG
0.56

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.34%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 33%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 65%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Poblense a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for AD Ceuta FC. Expected goals are 1.5 for Poblense and 0.6 for AD Ceuta FC (total 2.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.34% probability.

Season Stats

Poblense
0W 0D 1L
AD Ceuta FC
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.0
2.0
Conceded
0.5
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 2 matches in Copa del Rey. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Poblense
0W 0D 1L · at home
AD Ceuta FC
1W 0D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.0
2.0
Conceded
0.5
0%
Win %
50%
0%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Poblense AD Ceuta FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.4% 7.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% —
1 19.5% 10.8% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% —
2 14.2% 7.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% —
3 6.9% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% — —
4 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

L Sabadell 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
L Guadalajara 1–0
W La Unión Atlético 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 12%

Playing profile

Poblense Poblense
Attack
25
Defence
93
Form
72
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
Attack
28
Defence
53
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC?
The model gives Poblense a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an AD Ceuta FC win.
How many goals are expected in Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC?
Expected goals: Poblense 1.5, AD Ceuta FC 0.6 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.34%.