Poblense - AD Ceuta FC
Copa del Rey
October 28, 2026 19:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.05%
Win
Poblense
32.89%
Draw
32.06%
Win
AD Ceuta FC
1.45
0.56
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.34%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
33%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
65%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Poblense a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for AD Ceuta FC. Expected goals are 1.5 for Poblense and 0.6 for AD Ceuta FC (total 2.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.34% probability.
Season Stats
0W
0D
1L
1W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.0
2.0
Conceded
0.5
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Copa del Rey. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
0W
0D
1L
· at home
1W
0D
1L
· away
1.0
gls/g
1.0
2.0
Conceded
0.5
0%
Win %
50%
0%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Poblense
AD Ceuta FC →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.4% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 19.5% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 14.2% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Poblense
Attack
25
Defence
93
Form
72
AD Ceuta FC
Attack
28
Defence
53
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC?
The model gives Poblense a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an AD Ceuta FC win.
How many goals are expected in Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC?
Expected goals: Poblense 1.5, AD Ceuta FC 0.6 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.34%.