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Pogoń Siedlce - Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.73%
Win
Pogoń Siedlce
29.77%
Draw
29.5%
Win
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2.65
Expected xG
0.92
Most likely result 2–0 (9.9%)
2+ goals
77%
3+ goals
69%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Pogoń Siedlce a 40% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. Expected goals are 2.6 for Pogoń Siedlce and 0.9 for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (total 3.6), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 9.9% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Pogoń Siedlce have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.

Season Stats

Pogoń Siedlce
1W 0D 2L
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0W 3D 3L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.0
2.3
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
50%
67%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 6 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.5% 6.9% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 9.9% 9.1% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.8% 8.0% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
4 5.8% 5.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
5 3.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

L Unia Skierniewice 5–1
L Znicz Pruszków 2–1
W Swit 0–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
D Olimpia Grudziądz 2–2
D Resovia Rzeszów 1–1
L Unia Skierniewice 2–0
D Stal Rzeszów 1–1
L Chojniczanka Chojnice 0–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Siedlce
Attack
48
Defence
48
Form
51
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Attack
25
Defence
51
Form
38
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Pogoń Siedlce
0
Draw
1
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
19 Apr 2026 I Liga 2–0
4 Oct 2025 I Liga 1–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
The model gives Pogoń Siedlce a 40% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 29% for an Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win.
How many goals are expected in Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Expected goals: Pogoń Siedlce 2.6, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 0.9 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.9%.