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Pogoń Siedlce - Puszcza Niepołomice

I Liga October 15, 2026 18:30 Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce
Pogoń Siedlce
#10 · 12 pts
vs
Puszcza Niepołomice
#18 · 6 pts
Weather at kick-off ⛅ Partly cloudy 15.5°C 💨 18 km/h · Siedlce
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.34%
Win
Pogoń Siedlce
35.93%
Draw
30.72%
Win
Puszcza Niepołomice
0.65
Expected xG
0.51

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (14.85%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 36%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 67%
12 64%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 43%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Pogoń Siedlce a 33% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 30% for Puszcza Niepołomice. Expected goals are 0.7 for Pogoń Siedlce and 0.5 for Puszcza Niepołomice (total 1.2), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.85% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Pogoń Siedlce have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Puszcza Niepołomice.

Season Stats

Pogoń Siedlce
5W 3D 7L
Puszcza Niepołomice
5W 2D 8L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.1
1.3
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
60%
40%
O 2.5
47%
40%
BTTS
47%
33%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in I Liga. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Pogoń Siedlce
4W 1D 5L · at home
Puszcza Niepołomice
2W 2D 6L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.1
1.2
Conceded
1.8
40%
Win %
20%
50%
Win or Draw
40%
80%
O 1.5
80%
50%
O 2.5
70%
10%
O 3.5
30%
60%
BTTS
70%
30%
Clean Sht
0%
10%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Pogoń Siedlce Puszcza Niepołomice →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 31.3% 15.9% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% —
1 20.5% 10.4% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% —
2 6.7% 3.4% 0.9% 0.1% — —
3 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% — — —
4 0.2% 0.1% — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Siedlce
W Arka Gdynia 2–1
D Chrobry Głogów 0–0
W Stal Mielec 2–0
L Lechia Gdansk 1–0
W Polonia Warszawa 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
Puszcza Niepołomice Puszcza Niepołomice
L Warta Poznań 3–2
L ŁKS Łódź 1–2
W Podbeskidzie 2–0
L Unia Skierniewice 0–1
L Arka Gdynia 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 12%

Playing profile

Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Siedlce
Attack
21
Defence
72
Form
43
Puszcza Niepołomice Puszcza Niepołomice
Attack
21
Defence
63
Form
31
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Pogoń Siedlce
1
Draw
1
Puszcza Niepołomice
6 Mar 2026 I Liga 0–3
24 Aug 2025 I Liga 0–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 9 18
2 Nieciecza Nieciecza 9 16
3 Warta Poznań Warta Poznań 9 15
4 ŁKS Łódź ŁKS Łódź 9 15
5 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 9 14
6 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 9 14
7 Stal Rzeszów Stal Rzeszów 9 14
8 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 9 13
9 Chrobry Głogów Chrobry Głogów 9 12
10 Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Siedlce 8 12
11 Ruch Chorzów Ruch Chorzów 9 12
12 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 9 11
13 Unia Skierniewice Unia Skierniewice 9 10
14 Odra Opole Odra Opole 9 9
15 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 9 9
16 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 9 9
17 Podbeskidzie Podbeskidzie 9 8
18 Puszcza Niepołomice Puszcza Niepołomice 8 6
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
The model gives Pogoń Siedlce a 33% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 30% for an Puszcza Niepołomice win.
How many goals are expected in Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
Expected goals: Pogoń Siedlce 0.7, Puszcza Niepołomice 0.5 (total 1.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.85%.