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Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Mielec

I Liga May 15, 2026 18:00
Pogoń Siedlce
#14 · 36 pts
vs
Stal Mielec
#15 · 30 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 19.9°C 💨 18 km/h 🌧️ 43% · Siedlce
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.84%
Win
Pogoń Siedlce
25.83%
Draw
43.33%
Win
Stal Mielec
1.03
Expected xG
1.4

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Stal Mielec a 43% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Pogoń Siedlce. Expected goals are 1.0 for Pogoń Siedlce and 1.4 for Stal Mielec (total 2.4), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.7% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Pogoń Siedlce have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Stal Mielec.

Score Matrix
↕ Pogoń Siedlce Stal Mielec →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8% 12.4% 8.6% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.1% 12.7% 8.9% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.7% 6.5% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.6% 2.2% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —
Recent form
Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Siedlce
L Stal Rzeszów 1–2
L ŁKS Łódź 4–0
W Miedz Legnica 2–0
W Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 0–2
L Tychy 71 0–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 28%
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec
D Puszcza Niepołomice 1–1
L Miedz Legnica 1–0
L Slask Wroclaw 2–3
L Chrobry Głogów 2–1
W Stal Rzeszów 3–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 20%
Playing profile
Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Siedlce
Attack
22
Defence
67
Form
42
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec
Attack
39
Defence
63
Form
43
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Pogoń Siedlce
1
Draw
0
Stal Mielec
D 8 Nov 2025 I Liga 0–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 32 65
2 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 32 58
3 Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków 32 53
4 Chrobry Głogów Chrobry Głogów 32 51
5 ŁKS Łódź ŁKS Łódź 32 51
6 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 32 50
7 Ruch Chorzów Ruch Chorzów 32 50
8 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 32 49
9 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 32 47
10 Puszcza Niepołomice Puszcza Niepołomice 32 46
11 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 32 43
12 Stal Rzeszów Stal Rzeszów 32 42
13 Odra Opole Odra Opole 32 41
14 Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Siedlce 32 36
15 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 32 30
16 Górnik Łęczna Górnik Łęczna 32 27
17 Znicz Pruszków Znicz Pruszków 32 25
18 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 32 21
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec?
The model gives Pogoń Siedlce a 30% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 43% for an Stal Mielec win.
How many goals are expected in Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec?
Expected goals: Pogoń Siedlce 1.0, Stal Mielec 1.4 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.7%.