Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 1
July 24, 2026 20:30
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin
90'+6
(ast. P. Wszolek)
Z. Arsenic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Legia Warszawa a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Pogon Szczecin 33%). The final result was Pogon Szczecin 0–1 Legia Warszawa. In 2 previous meetings, Pogon Szczecin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Legia Warszawa.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
16
4
Shots on target
6
1.08
Actual xG
3.11
4
Saves
4
41%
Possession
59%
3
Corners
5
7
Tackles
6
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Leo Borges
24'
N. Lawa
/ M. Agger
62'
M. Juwara
/ F. Ulvestad
62'
J. Nsame
/ K. Grosicki
62'
67'
W. Urbanski
81'
V. Bichakhchyan
/
B. Kapustka
81'
J. Zewlakow
/
L. Zjawinski
83'
H. Arreiol
/
D. Szymanski
88'
A. Reca
/
R. Vinagre
88'
Z. Arsenic
/
R. Deziel
90'+6
ast. P. Wszolek ·
Z. Arsenic⚽
P. Mukairu
/ F. Cuic
90'
K. Acosta
/ J. Bieganski
90'
Pre-match prediction
33.32%
Pogon
32.61%
X
34.07%
Legia ←
we assigned to the actual result (Legia Warszawa)
34.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.81
1.08
-0.73
1.54
3.11
+1.57
Legia Warszawa dominated by xG (3.11 vs 1.08).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
77
Valentin Cojocaru
G
Valentin Cojocaru
G
4
Léo Borges
D
Léo Borges
D
41
Attila Szalai
D
Attila Szalai
D
13
Dimitrios Keramitsis
D
Dimitrios Keramitsis
D
28
Linus Wahlqvist
D
Linus Wahlqvist
D
3
Kellyn Acosta
M
Kellyn Acosta
M
16
Patryk Dziczek
M
Patryk Dziczek
M
18
Paul Mukairu
M
Paul Mukairu
M
47
Natan Ława
62'
M
Natan Ława
62'
M
7
Musa Juwara
62'
M
Musa Juwara
62'
M
17
Jean-Pierre Nsame
62'
F
Jean-Pierre Nsame
62'
F
Bench
33
Alex Peskovic
G
Alex Peskovic
G
75
Andrzej Ossowski
D
Andrzej Ossowski
D
23
Benjamin Mendy
D
Benjamin Mendy
D
10
Filip Čuić
8'
F
Filip Čuić
8'
F
8
Fredrik Ulvestad
36'
M
Fredrik Ulvestad
36'
M
15
Hussein Ali
D
Hussein Ali
D
30
Jacek Czaplinski
M
Jacek Czaplinski
M
6
J. Biegański
8'
M
J. Biegański
8'
M
11
Kamil Grosicki
36'
M
Kamil Grosicki
36'
M
35
Maciej Wojciechowski
M
Maciej Wojciechowski
M
25
Mads Agger
36'
F
Mads Agger
36'
F
19
Mor Ndiaye
M
Mor Ndiaye
M
89
Ottó Hindrich
G
Ottó Hindrich
G
5
Robert Deziel Jr.
88'
D
Robert Deziel Jr.
88'
D
4
Damian Szymański
83'
D
Damian Szymański
83'
D
8
Rafał Augustyniak
D
Rafał Augustyniak
D
91
Kamil Piątkowski
D
Kamil Piątkowski
D
67
Bartosz Kapustka
81'
M
Bartosz Kapustka
81'
M
53
W. Urbański
M
W. Urbański
M
19
Rúben Vinagre
88'
M
Rúben Vinagre
88'
M
22
P. Wszołek
1 👟
M
P. Wszołek
1 👟
M
79
Łukasz Zjawiński
81'
F
Łukasz Zjawiński
81'
F
29
Mileta Rajović
F
Mileta Rajović
F
Bench
13
Arkadiusz Reca
10'
D
Arkadiusz Reca
10'
D
77
Filip Przybyłko
M
Filip Przybyłko
M
6
Henrique Arreiol
15'
M
Henrique Arreiol
15'
M
1
Ivan Brkić
G
Ivan Brkić
G
20
Jakub Żewłakow
17'
F
Jakub Żewłakow
17'
F
11
Kacper Chodyna
M
Kacper Chodyna
M
23
Michal Ševčík
M
Michal Ševčík
M
99
Samuel Kovacik
F
Samuel Kovacik
F
21
Vahan Bichakhchyan
17'
M
Vahan Bichakhchyan
17'
M
24
Z. Arsenić
1 ⚽
10'
D
Z. Arsenić
1 ⚽
10'
D
Best on the pitch
Valentin Cojocaru
G · Pogon
8.60
· 33 pass
Z. Arsenić
D · Legia
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Ottó Hindrich
G · Legia
8.20
· 32 pass
Patryk Dziczek
M · Pogon
7.50
1 shots
· 43 pass
Rafał Augustyniak
D · Legia
7.50
3 shots
· 66 pass
Fredrik Ulvestad
M · Pogon
7.30
1 shots
· 8 pass
Pogon Szczecin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentin Cojocaru | G | 98 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Léo Borges | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Attila Szalai | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Dimitrios Keramitsis | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Linus Wahlqvist | D | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Kellyn Acosta | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Patryk Dziczek | M | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Paul Mukairu | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Natan Ława | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Musa Juwara | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Jean-Pierre Nsame | F | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Filip Čuić | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Fredrik Ulvestad | M | 36 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Biegański | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kamil Grosicki | M | 36 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Mads Agger | F | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Legia Warszawa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ottó Hindrich | G | 98 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Robert Deziel Jr. | D | 88 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 68 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| Damian Szymański | D | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 81 | 67% | — | — | — |
| Rafał Augustyniak | D | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 66 | 59% | — | — | — |
| Kamil Piątkowski | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| Bartosz Kapustka | M | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Urbański | M | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rúben Vinagre | M | 88 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| P. Wszołek | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 28 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Łukasz Zjawiński | F | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Mileta Rajović | F | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Arkadiusz Reca | D | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Henrique Arreiol | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Jakub Żewłakow | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Vahan Bichakhchyan | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Z. Arsenić | D | 10 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
The final score was Pogon Szczecin 0–1 Legia Warszawa.
What did the model predict before Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Pogon Szczecin win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Legia Warszawa win.