Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 1
July 24, 2026 20:30
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin
90'+6
(ast. P. Wszolek)
Z. Arsenic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Legia Warszawa a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Pogon Szczecin 33%). The final result was Pogon Szczecin 0–1 Legia Warszawa. In 2 previous meetings, Pogon Szczecin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Legia Warszawa.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
16
4
Shots on target
6
1.08
Actual xG
3.11
4
Saves
4
41%
Possession
59%
3
Corners
5
7
Tackles
6
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Leo Borges
24'
N. Lawa
/ M. Agger
62'
M. Juwara
/ F. Ulvestad
62'
J. Nsame
/ K. Grosicki
62'
67'
W. Urbanski
81'
V. Bichakhchyan
/
B. Kapustka
81'
J. Zewlakow
/
L. Zjawinski
83'
H. Arreiol
/
D. Szymanski
88'
A. Reca
/
R. Vinagre
88'
Z. Arsenic
/
R. Deziel
90'+6
ast. P. Wszolek ·
Z. Arsenic⚽
P. Mukairu
/ F. Cuic
90'
K. Acosta
/ J. Bieganski
90'
Pre-match prediction
33.32%
Pogon
32.61%
X
34.07%
Legia ←
we assigned to the actual result (Legia Warszawa)
34.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.81
1.08
-0.73
1.54
3.11
+1.57
Legia Warszawa dominated by xG (3.11 vs 1.08).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
77
V. Cojocaru
G
V. Cojocaru
G
4
Léo Borges
D
Léo Borges
D
41
A. Szalai
D
A. Szalai
D
13
D. Keramitsis
D
D. Keramitsis
D
28
Linus Wahlqvist
D
Linus Wahlqvist
D
3
K. Acosta
M
K. Acosta
M
16
P. Dziczek
M
P. Dziczek
M
18
P. Mukairu
M
P. Mukairu
M
47
N. Lawa
62'
M
N. Lawa
62'
M
7
M. Juwara
62'
M
M. Juwara
62'
M
17
J. Nsame
62'
F
J. Nsame
62'
F
Bench
75
A. Ossowski
D
A. Ossowski
D
23
B. Mendy
D
B. Mendy
D
10
Filip Čuić
8'
F
Filip Čuić
8'
F
8
F. Ulvestad
36'
M
F. Ulvestad
36'
M
15
Hussein Ali
D
Hussein Ali
D
6
J. Biegański
8'
M
J. Biegański
8'
M
30
J. Czaplinski
M
J. Czaplinski
M
11
K. Grosicki
36'
M
K. Grosicki
36'
M
25
M. Agger
36'
F
M. Agger
36'
F
19
Mor Ndiaye
M
Mor Ndiaye
M
35
M. Wojciechowski
M
M. Wojciechowski
M
33
Pascal Enguehard
G
Pascal Enguehard
G
89
O. Hindrich
G
O. Hindrich
G
5
Robert Deziel
88'
D
Robert Deziel
88'
D
4
D. Szymański
83'
D
D. Szymański
83'
D
8
R. Augustyniak
D
R. Augustyniak
D
91
K. Piątkowski
D
K. Piątkowski
D
67
B. Kapustka
81'
M
B. Kapustka
81'
M
53
W. Urbański
M
W. Urbański
M
19
Rúben Vinagre
88'
M
Rúben Vinagre
88'
M
22
P. Wszołek
1 👟
M
P. Wszołek
1 👟
M
79
Ł. Zjawiński
81'
F
Ł. Zjawiński
81'
F
29
M. Rajović
F
M. Rajović
F
Bench
13
A. Reca
10'
D
A. Reca
10'
D
77
Filip Przybyłko
M
Filip Przybyłko
M
6
Henrique Arreiol
15'
M
Henrique Arreiol
15'
M
1
I. Brkić
G
I. Brkić
G
20
J. Żewłakow
17'
F
J. Żewłakow
17'
F
11
K. Chodyna
M
K. Chodyna
M
23
M. Ševčík
M
M. Ševčík
M
99
Samuel Kovacik
F
Samuel Kovacik
F
21
V. Bichakhchyan
17'
M
V. Bichakhchyan
17'
M
24
Z. Arsenić
1 ⚽
10'
D
Z. Arsenić
1 ⚽
10'
D
Best on the pitch
V. Cojocaru
G · Pogon
8.60
· 33 pass
Z. Arsenić
D · Legia
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
O. Hindrich
G · Legia
8.20
· 32 pass
P. Dziczek
M · Pogon
7.50
1 shots
· 43 pass
R. Augustyniak
D · Legia
7.50
3 shots
· 66 pass
F. Ulvestad
M · Pogon
7.30
1 shots
· 8 pass
Pogon Szczecin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Cojocaru | G | 98 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Léo Borges | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Szalai | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 32% | — | — | — |
| D. Keramitsis | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Linus Wahlqvist | D | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Acosta | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Dziczek | M | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | — | — | — |
| P. Mukairu | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| N. Lawa | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Juwara | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Nsame | F | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Filip Čuić | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| F. Ulvestad | M | 36 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Biegański | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Grosicki | M | 36 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Agger | F | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Legia Warszawa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Hindrich | G | 98 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Robert Deziel | D | 88 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 68 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Szymański | D | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 81 | 67% | — | — | — |
| R. Augustyniak | D | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 66 | 59% | — | — | — |
| K. Piątkowski | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Kapustka | M | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Urbański | M | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rúben Vinagre | M | 88 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| P. Wszołek | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 28 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Ł. Zjawiński | F | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Rajović | F | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| A. Reca | D | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Henrique Arreiol | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Żewłakow | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| V. Bichakhchyan | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Z. Arsenić | D | 10 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
The final score was Pogon Szczecin 0–1 Legia Warszawa.
What did the model predict before Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Pogon Szczecin win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Legia Warszawa win.