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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 3 August 08, 2026 17:30 Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
#9 · 9 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Motor Lublin
#15 · 5 pts
D. Churlinov 17'
A. Szalai (ast. L. Wahlqvist) 43'
K. Acosta (ast. K. Grosicki) 90'
90' (ast. D. Gregorski) M. Aiko
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Pogon Szczecin a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Motor Lublin 32%). The final result was Pogon Szczecin 3–1 Motor Lublin. In 2 previous meetings, Pogon Szczecin have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Motor Lublin.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
4
2.25
Actual xG
0.52
3
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
2
Corners
4
15
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽D. Churlinov
17'
⚽A. Szalai · ast. L. Wahlqvist
43'
↕ M. Wojciechowski / K. Acosta
57'
↕ D. Churlinov / F. Cuic
57'
59'
T. Plavotic
65'
M. Aiko / T. Santos ↕
↕ Leo Borges / B. Mendy
66'
68'
Fabio Ronaldo
77'
K. Lukoszek / Fabio Ronaldo ↕
↕ M. Juwara / K. Grosicki
80'
↕ P. Mukairu / H. Ali
80'
82'
P. Meyer / Kikis ↕
82'
D. Gregorski / Y. Bourhane ↕
D. Keramitsis
84'
90'
ast. D. Gregorski · M. Aiko⚽
⚽K. Acosta · ast. K. Grosicki
90'
Pre-match prediction
36.32%
Pogon ←
31.04%
X
32.64%
Motor
we assigned to the actual result (Pogon Szczecin) 36.32% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Pogon
2.20
2.25
+0.05
Motor
1.80
0.52
-1.28
Pogon Szczecin dominated by xG (2.25 vs 0.52). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 7 18
2 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 7 16
3 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 7 15
4 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 8 14
5 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 7 12
6 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 7 12
7 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 7 10
8 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 6 9
9 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 6 9
10 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 6 9
11 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 7 8
12 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 7 8
13 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 7 7
14 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 8 6
15 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 8 5
16 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 6 5
17 Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków 6 4
18 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 7 3
Lineups
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 4-2-3-1
77 V. Cojocaru V. Cojocaru G 7.00
4 Léo Borges Léo Borges 66' D 7.20
41 A. Szalai A. Szalai 1 ⚽ D 7.30
13 D. Keramitsis D. Keramitsis D 6.70
28 Linus Wahlqvist Linus Wahlqvist 1 👟 D 6.60
16 P. Dziczek P. Dziczek M 7.30
8 F. Ulvestad F. Ulvestad M 7.30
21 D. Churlinov D. Churlinov 1 ⚽ 57' M 6.70
7 M. Juwara M. Juwara 80' M 7.20
35 M. Wojciechowski M. Wojciechowski 57' M 6.20
18 P. Mukairu P. Mukairu 80' F 6.90
Bench
83 Axel Holewiński Axel Holewiński G
23 B. Mendy B. Mendy 27' D 6.60
10 Filip Čuić Filip Čuić 36' F 6.30
15 Hussein Ali Hussein Ali 13' D 6.30
6 J. Biegański J. Biegański M
30 J. Czaplinski J. Czaplinski M
17 J. Nsame J. Nsame F
3 K. Acosta K. Acosta 1 ⚽ 36' M 7.50
11 K. Grosicki K. Grosicki 1 👟 13' M 7.20
29 L. Willen L. Willen D
19 Mor Ndiaye Mor Ndiaye M
47 N. Lawa N. Lawa M
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 4-1-4-1
71 M. Popa M. Popa G 7.00
24 F. Luberecki F. Luberecki D 6.70
4 T. Plavotić T. Plavotić D 5.90
18 B. Bereszyński B. Bereszyński D 6.30
29 T. Santos T. Santos 65' D 6.20
27 Y. Bourhane Y. Bourhane 82' M 7.20
11 Fábio Ronaldo Fábio Ronaldo 77' M 6.00
6 M. Łęgowski M. Łęgowski M 6.20
8 C. Simon C. Simon 82' M 7.20
30 M. Ndiaye M. Ndiaye M 7.30
10 K. Czubak K. Czubak F 6.90
Bench
5 A. Akatov A. Akatov D
90 Dominik Gregorski Dominik Gregorski 1 👟 11' F 6.70
23 F. Haxha F. Haxha M
16 Franciszek Lewandowski Franciszek Lewandowski M
33 G. Tratnik G. Tratnik G
17 K. Lukoszek K. Lukoszek 16' M 6.30
70 M. Aïko M. Aïko 1 ⚽ 28' M 7.30
39 M. Bartoš M. Bartoš D
2 Paskal Konrad Meyer Paskal Konrad Meyer 11' D 6.30
99 Patryk Kukulski Patryk Kukulski G
Best on the pitch
K. Acosta
K. Acosta
M · Pogon
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
A. Szalai
A. Szalai
D · Pogon
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 42 pass
M. Ndiaye
M. Ndiaye
M · Motor
7.30
1 shots · 22 pass
P. Dziczek
P. Dziczek
M · Pogon
7.30
· 43 pass
F. Ulvestad
F. Ulvestad
M · Pogon
7.30
· 27 pass
M. Aïko
M. Aïko
M · Motor
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Cojocaru G 93 7.00 — — — 29 23% — — —
Léo Borges D 66 7.20 — — — 38 30% 1 — —
A. Szalai D 93 7.30 1 — 2 42 40% — — —
D. Keramitsis D 93 6.70 — — 3 48 45% — 1 —
Linus Wahlqvist D 93 6.60 — 1 — 26 23% — — —
P. Dziczek M 93 7.30 — — — 43 34% 2 — —
F. Ulvestad M 93 7.30 — — — 27 24% 4 — —
D. Churlinov M 57 6.70 1 — 2 17 15% — — —
M. Juwara M 80 7.20 — — — 28 17% 3 — —
M. Wojciechowski M 57 6.20 — — 1 12 9% — — —
P. Mukairu F 80 6.90 — — 1 15 14% 4 — —
B. Mendy D 27 6.60 — — — 12 12% — — —
Filip Čuić F 36 6.30 — — 2 15 10% — — —
Hussein Ali D 13 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
K. Acosta M 36 7.50 1 — 1 23 17% — — —
K. Grosicki M 13 7.20 — 1 — 9 5% 1 — —
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Popa G 93 7.00 — — — 28 19% — — —
F. Luberecki D 93 6.70 — — — 53 47% 1 — —
T. Plavotić D 93 5.90 — — — 94 82% — 1 —
B. Bereszyński D 93 6.30 — — 2 84 77% 1 — —
T. Santos D 65 6.20 — — 1 20 15% 4 — —
Y. Bourhane M 82 7.20 — — — 49 45% 3 — —
Fábio Ronaldo M 77 6.00 — — 2 25 20% 1 1 —
M. Łęgowski M 93 6.20 — — — 35 30% 1 — —
C. Simon M 82 7.20 — — 2 40 35% 2 — —
M. Ndiaye M 93 7.30 — — 1 22 19% 2 — —
K. Czubak F 93 6.90 — — 2 13 7% 1 — —
Dominik Gregorski F 11 6.70 — 1 — 4 3% — — —
K. Lukoszek M 16 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
M. Aïko M 28 7.30 1 — 1 7 7% — — —
Paskal Konrad Meyer D 11 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin?
The final score was Pogon Szczecin 3–1 Motor Lublin.
What did the model predict before Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Pogon Szczecin win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an Motor Lublin win.