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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 12 October 24, 2026 17:30 Florian-Krygier-Stadion, Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
#3 · 24 pts
4 – 3
Final score
Radomiak Radom
#17 · 8 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Pogon Szczecin
Dimitrios Keramitsis 17'
Alessandro Riccio 45'+3
Kamil Grosicki (ast. Paul Omo Mukairu) 49'
Kamil Grosicki 55'
(pen.) 10' Roberto Oliveira Alves
25' Christos Donis
74' (ast. Bi Irié Fernand Gouré) Jan Grzesik
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Pogon Szczecin a 55% win probability (draw 25%, Radomiak Radom 19%). The final result was Pogon Szczecin 4–3 Radomiak Radom. In 2 previous meetings, Pogon Szczecin have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Radomiak Radom.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
16
5
Shots on target
5
1.06
Actual xG
1.95
2
Saves
1
53%
Possession
47%
2
Corners
7
14
Tackles
23
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Maciej Wojciechowski
2'
10'
(pen.) Roberto Oliveira Alves⚽
⚽Dimitrios Keramitsis
17'
25'
Christos Donis⚽
↕ Benjamin Mendy / Lukas Willen
37'
Dimitrios Keramitsis
41'
⚽Alessandro Riccio
45'+3
↕ Jan Bieganski / Kamil Grosicki
45'
⚽Kamil Grosicki · ast. Paul Omo Mukairu
49'
⚽Kamil Grosicki
55'
60'
Bi Irié Fernand Gouré / Guilherme Luiz ↕
60'
Lucas Lima Linhares / Rafał Wolski ↕
↕ Maciej Wojciechowski / Kellyn Acosta
64'
73'
Ibrahima Camará / Christos Donis ↕
73'
Che Nunnely / Ronaldo Lumungo ↕
74'
ast. Bi Irié Fernand Gouré · Jan Grzesik⚽
↕ Paul Omo Mukairu / Isaiah·Eichie
78'
↕ Darko Churlinov / Natan Lawa
78'
85'
89'
89'
Ibrahima Camará
90'+7
Abdoul Tapsoba / Conrado ↕
Pre-match prediction
55.25%
Pogon ←
25.5%
X
19.25%
Radomiak
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Pogon Szczecin) 55.25% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Pogon
1.72
1.06
-0.66
Radomiak
0.54
1.95
+1.42
Radomiak Radom dominated by xG (1.95 vs 1.06). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 11 28
2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 12 27
3 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 11 24
4 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 12 23
5 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 12 21
6 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 12 20
7 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 12 19
8 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 12 18
9 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 12 18
10 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 11 15
11 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 11 14
12 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 12 13
13 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 12 12
14 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 12 11
15 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 12 9
16 Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków 12 8
17 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 12 8
18 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 12 6
Lineups
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 4-2-3-1
77 V. Cojocaru V. Cojocaru G 5.87
23 B. Mendy B. Mendy 37' D 6.30
41 A. Szalai A. Szalai D 6.32
13 D. Keramitsis D. Keramitsis 1 ⚽ D 6.60
4 A. Riccio A. Riccio 1 ⚽ D 7.52
6 J. Biegański J. Biegański 45' M 5.85
16 P. Dziczek P. Dziczek M 6.68
18 P. Mukairu P. Mukairu 1 👟 78' M 6.84
35 M. Wojciechowski M. Wojciechowski 64' M 6.39
21 D. Churlinov D. Churlinov 78' M 5.97
22 Jordi Sánchez Jordi Sánchez F 6.37
Bench
10 F. Čuić F. Čuić F 0.00
30 J. Czaplinski J. Czaplinski M 0.00
17 J. Nsame J. Nsame F 0.00
3 K. Acosta K. Acosta 26' M 5.71
11 K. Grosicki K. Grosicki 2 ⚽ 45' M 7.99
29 L. Willen L. Willen 53' D 6.14
98 M. Dabrowski M. Dabrowski G 0.00
47 N. Lawa N. Lawa 12' M 5.79
9 R. Molnár R. Molnár F 0.00
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 4-2-3-1
1 F. Majchrowicz F. Majchrowicz G 5.72
97 Conrado Conrado D 5.93
72 F. Koperski F. Koperski D 6.10
14 S. Kingue S. Kingue D 6.37
24 Z. Ouattara Z. Ouattara D 5.72
77 C. Donis C. Donis 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.86
10 R. Alves R. Alves 1 ⚽ M 6.68
90 Ronaldo Afonso Ronaldo Afonso 73' M 5.93
27 R. Wolski R. Wolski 60' M 6.07
13 J. Grzesik J. Grzesik 1 ⚽ M 7.10
80 Guilherme Luiz Guilherme Luiz 60' F 6.60
Bench
26 Adrián Diéguez Adrián Diéguez D 0.00
15 A. Tapsoba A. Tapsoba 1' F 0.00
99 B. Gradecki B. Gradecki G 0.00
7 C. Nunnely C. Nunnely 17' F 6.64
11 F. Gouré F. Gouré 1 👟 30' F 6.48
8 I. Camará I. Camará 16' M 4.95
23 K. Karasek K. Karasek M 0.00
3 K. Szcześniak K. Szcześniak D 0.00
82 Luquinhas Luquinhas 30' M 6.67
18 Manu Manu F 0.00
Best on the pitch
K. Grosicki
K. Grosicki
M · Pogon
7.99
2 ⚽
4 shots · 8 pass
C. Donis
C. Donis
M · Radomiak
7.86
1 ⚽
2 shots · 34 pass
A. Riccio
A. Riccio
D · Pogon
7.52
1 ⚽
2 shots · 44 pass
J. Grzesik
J. Grzesik
M · Radomiak
7.10
1 ⚽
3 shots · 22 pass
P. Mukairu
P. Mukairu
M · Pogon
6.84
1 👟
1 shots · 26 pass
R. Alves
R. Alves
M · Radomiak
6.68
1 ⚽
2 shots · 52 pass
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Cojocaru G 90 5.87 — — 0 39 25% 0 — —
B. Mendy D 37 6.30 — — 0 27 25% 1 — —
A. Szalai D 90 6.32 — — 0 71 62% 0 — —
D. Keramitsis D 90 6.60 1 — 2 64 61% 2 1 —
A. Riccio D 90 7.52 1 — 2 44 39% 2 — —
J. Biegański M 45 5.85 — — 0 17 16% 2 — —
P. Dziczek M 90 6.68 — — 0 42 37% 2 — —
P. Mukairu M 78 6.84 — 1 1 26 24% 1 — —
M. Wojciechowski M 64 6.39 — — 0 31 27% 1 1 —
D. Churlinov M 78 5.97 — — 0 22 20% 0 — —
Jordi Sánchez F 90 6.37 — — 0 15 11% 0 — —
K. Acosta M 26 5.71 — — 0 7 4% 0 — —
K. Grosicki M 45 7.99 2 — 4 8 7% 2 — —
L. Willen D 53 6.14 — — 0 37 32% 1 — —
N. Lawa M 12 5.79 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Majchrowicz G 90 5.72 — — 0 22 12% 1 — —
Conrado D 97 5.93 — — 0 25 19% 5 — —
F. Koperski D 90 6.10 — — 1 51 48% 0 — —
S. Kingue D 90 6.37 — — 1 51 44% 2 — —
Z. Ouattara D 90 5.72 — — 1 55 41% 4 — —
C. Donis M 73 7.86 1 — 2 34 32% 1 — —
R. Alves M 90 6.68 1 — 2 52 44% 2 — —
Ronaldo Afonso M 73 5.93 — — 1 17 12% 2 — —
R. Wolski M 60 6.07 — — 1 12 11% 1 — —
J. Grzesik M 90 7.10 1 — 3 22 17% 1 — —
Guilherme Luiz F 60 6.60 — — 1 2 2% 2 — —
A. Tapsoba F 1 0.00 — — 1 2 2% 0 — —
C. Nunnely F 17 6.64 — — 1 12 10% 1 — —
F. Gouré F 30 6.48 — 1 1 4 4% 0 — —
I. Camará M 16 4.95 — — 0 12 11% 0 — 1
Luquinhas M 30 6.67 — — 0 24 23% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom?
The final score was Pogon Szczecin 4–3 Radomiak Radom.
What did the model predict before Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Pogon Szczecin win, 25% to a draw, and 19% to an Radomiak Radom win.