Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 31
May 03, 2026 17:30
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin
F. Cuic
45'+3
F. Cuic
75'
H. Ali
90'+4
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Pogon Szczecin a 38% win probability (draw 28%, Wisla Plock 33%). The final result was Pogon Szczecin 3–0 Wisla Plock. In 1 previous meetings, Pogon Szczecin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Wisla Plock.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
3
1.87
Actual xG
0.65
4
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
5
Corners
9
19
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
12'
N. Mijuskovic
⚽F. Cuic
45'+3
45'+4
R. Leszczynski
L. Wahlqvist
/ D. Keramitsis
55'
58'
D. Pacheco
/
D. Kun
58'
L. Sekulski
/
D. Juric
59'
Q. Lecoeuche
/
F. Hiszpanski
N. Lawa
/ J. Czaplinski
64'
73'
M. Djalo
/
T. Tavares
⚽F. Cuic
75'
D. Loncar
/ H. Ali
82'
P. Mukairu
/ B. Mendy
82'
M. Agger
/ L. Koutris
82'
H. Ali
85'
86'
K. Custovic
/
N. Mijuskovic
⚽H. Ali
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
38.1%
Pogon ←
28.08%
X
33.82%
Wisla
we assigned to the actual result (Pogon Szczecin)
38.1%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.06
1.87
+0.81
1.08
0.65
-0.43
Pogon Szczecin dominated by xG (1.87 vs 0.65).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
77
G
4
Léo Borges
D
Léo Borges
D
41
D
22
Danijel Lončar
82'
D
Danijel Lončar
82'
D
28
Linus Wahlqvist
55'
D
Linus Wahlqvist
55'
D
18
Paul Mukairu
82'
M
Paul Mukairu
82'
M
3
Kellyn Acosta
M
Kellyn Acosta
M
8
Fredrik Ulvestad
M
Fredrik Ulvestad
M
25
Mads Agger
82'
M
Mads Agger
82'
M
47
Natan Ława
64'
F
Natan Ława
64'
F
10
Filip Čuić
2 ⚽
F
Filip Čuić
2 ⚽
F
Bench
23
Benjamin Mendy
8'
D
Benjamin Mendy
8'
D
13
Dimitrios Keramitsis
35'
D
Dimitrios Keramitsis
35'
D
15
Hussein Ali
1 ⚽
8'
D
Hussein Ali
1 ⚽
8'
D
30
Jacek Czaplinski
26'
M
Jacek Czaplinski
26'
M
6
J. Biegański
M
J. Biegański
M
24
Karol Angielski
F
Karol Angielski
F
32
Leonardo Koutris
8'
D
90
Sam Greenwood
F
Sam Greenwood
F
12
Rafał Leszczyński
G
Rafał Leszczyński
G
25
Nemanja Mijušković
86'
D
Nemanja Mijušković
86'
D
35
D
4
D
19
Dion Gallapeni
M
Dion Gallapeni
M
30
Wiktor Nowak
M
Wiktor Nowak
M
84
Tomás Tavares
73'
M
Tomás Tavares
73'
M
14
Dominik Kun
58'
M
Dominik Kun
58'
M
16
Fabian Hiszpański
58'
M
Fabian Hiszpański
58'
M
99
Deni Jurić
58'
F
Deni Jurić
58'
F
9
Giannis Niarchos
F
Giannis Niarchos
F
Bench
8
Dani Pacheco
32'
M
Dani Pacheco
32'
M
20
Łukasz Sekulski
32'
F
Łukasz Sekulski
32'
F
13
Quentin Lecoeuche
32'
D
Quentin Lecoeuche
32'
D
Best on the pitch
Filip Čuić
F · Pogon
8.50
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 10 pass
G · Pogon
7.90
· 26 pass
Paul Mukairu
M · Pogon
7.70
1 shots
· 23 pass
Hussein Ali
D · Pogon
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
Léo Borges
D · Pogon
7.50
2 shots
· 43 pass
D · Pogon
7.30
· 42 pass
Pogon Szczecin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Léo Borges | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 33% | 1 | — | — | |
| Danijel Lončar | D | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Linus Wahlqvist | D | 55 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Paul Mukairu | M | 82 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Kellyn Acosta | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Fredrik Ulvestad | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | 5 | — | — |
| Mads Agger | M | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Natan Ława | F | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Filip Čuić | F | 90 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 4 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Mendy | D | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Dimitrios Keramitsis | D | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Hussein Ali | D | 8 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Jacek Czaplinski | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonardo Koutris | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Wisla Plock — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafał Leszczyński | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nemanja Mijušković | D | 86 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 45% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | — | — | — | |
| Dion Gallapeni | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 5 | — | — |
| Wiktor Nowak | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomás Tavares | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Dominik Kun | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabian Hiszpański | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Deni Jurić | F | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Giannis Niarchos | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Dani Pacheco | M | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Łukasz Sekulski | F | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Quentin Lecoeuche | D | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock?
The final score was Pogon Szczecin 3–0 Wisla Plock.
What did the model predict before Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Pogon Szczecin win, 28% to a draw, and 33% to an Wisla Plock win.