Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 31
May 03, 2026 17:30
F. Cuic
45'+3
F. Cuic
75'
H. Ali
90'+4
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Pogon Szczecin a 38% win probability (draw 28%, Wisla Plock 33%). The final result was Pogon Szczecin 3–0 Wisla Plock. In 1 previous meetings, Pogon Szczecin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Wisla Plock.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
3
1.87
Actual xG
0.65
4
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
5
Corners
9
19
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
12'
N. Mijuskovic
⚽F. Cuic
45'+3
45'+4
R. Leszczynski
L. Wahlqvist
/ D. Keramitsis
55'
58'
D. Pacheco
/
D. Kun
58'
L. Sekulski
/
D. Juric
59'
Q. Lecoeuche
/
F. Hiszpanski
N. Lawa
/ J. Czaplinski
64'
73'
M. Djalo
/
T. Tavares
⚽F. Cuic
75'
D. Loncar
/ H. Ali
82'
P. Mukairu
/ B. Mendy
82'
M. Agger
/ L. Koutris
82'
H. Ali
85'
86'
K. Custovic
/
N. Mijuskovic
⚽H. Ali
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
38.1%
Pogon ←
28.08%
X
33.82%
Wisla
we assigned to the actual result (Pogon Szczecin)
38.1%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.06
1.87
+0.81
1.08
0.65
-0.43
Pogon Szczecin dominated by xG (1.87 vs 0.65).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
77
G
4
Leo Borges
D
41
D
22
Danijel Lončar
82'
D
28
L. Wahlqvist
55'
D
18
Paul Mukairu
82'
M
3
K. Acosta
M
8
F. Ulvestad
M
25
Mads Agger
82'
M
47
Natan Ława
64'
F
10
F. Cuic
2 ⚽
F
Bench
23
B. Mendy
8'
D
13
Dimitrios Keramitsis
35'
D
15
H. Ali
1 ⚽
8'
D
6
Jan Biegański
M
30
J. Czaplinski
26'
M
24
K. Angielski
F
32
Leonardo Koutris
8'
D
90
S. Greenwood
F
12
R. Leszczynski
G
25
Nemanja Mijušković
86'
D
Nemanja Mijušković
86'
D
35
D
4
D
19
Dion Gallapeni
M
Dion Gallapeni
M
30
Wiktor Nowak
M
Wiktor Nowak
M
84
Tomás Tavares
73'
M
Tomás Tavares
73'
M
14
Dominik Kun
58'
M
Dominik Kun
58'
M
16
Fabian Hiszpański
58'
M
Fabian Hiszpański
58'
M
99
Deni Jurić
58'
F
Deni Jurić
58'
F
9
Giannis Niarchos
F
Giannis Niarchos
F
Bench
8
Dani Pacheco
32'
M
Dani Pacheco
32'
M
20
Łukasz Sekulski
32'
F
Łukasz Sekulski
32'
F
13
Quentin Lecoeuche
32'
D
Quentin Lecoeuche
32'
D
Best on the pitch
F. Cuic
F · Pogon
8.50
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 10 pass
G · Pogon
7.90
· 26 pass
Paul Mukairu
M · Pogon
7.70
1 shots
· 23 pass
H. Ali
D · Pogon
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
Leo Borges
D · Pogon
7.50
2 shots
· 43 pass
D · Pogon
7.30
· 42 pass
Pogon Szczecin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Leo Borges | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 33% | 1 | — | — | |
| Danijel Lončar | D | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| L. Wahlqvist | D | 55 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Paul Mukairu | M | 82 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Acosta | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Ulvestad | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | 5 | — | — |
| Mads Agger | M | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Natan Ława | F | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Cuic | F | 90 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 4 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| B. Mendy | D | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Dimitrios Keramitsis | D | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| H. Ali | D | 8 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Czaplinski | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonardo Koutris | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Wisla Plock — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Leszczynski | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nemanja Mijušković | D | 86 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 45% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | — | — | — | |
| Dion Gallapeni | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 5 | — | — |
| Wiktor Nowak | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomás Tavares | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Dominik Kun | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabian Hiszpański | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Deni Jurić | F | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Giannis Niarchos | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Dani Pacheco | M | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Łukasz Sekulski | F | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Quentin Lecoeuche | D | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock?
The final score was Pogon Szczecin 3–0 Wisla Plock.
What did the model predict before Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Pogon Szczecin win, 28% to a draw, and 33% to an Wisla Plock win.