Pohang Steelers - Gamba Osaka
AFC Champions League
November 04, 2026 11:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
15.05%
Win
Pohang Steelers
21.64%
Draw
63.31%
Win
Gamba Osaka
0.53
1.72
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Gamba Osaka
63.31%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 3 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–1
(18.66%)
1X2 Result
1
15%
X
22%
2
63%
Double Chance
1X
37%
X2
85%
12
78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
46%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Gamba Osaka a 63% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Pohang Steelers. Expected goals are 0.5 for Pohang Steelers and 1.7 for Gamba Osaka (total 2.2), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 18.66% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Pohang Steelers have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Gamba Osaka.
Season Stats
0W
0D
3L
3W
1D
0L
Averages per game
0.3
Goals
2.2
2.7
Conceded
0.8
2.0
Shots OT
6.7
4.7
Corners
6.0
39%
Poss.
61%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
75%
67%
O 2.5
50%
33%
BTTS
75%
0%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
0W
0D
1L
· at home
2W
0D
0L
· away
0.0
gls/g
2.0
2.0
Conceded
0.5
0%
Win %
100%
0%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
50%
0%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
50%
0%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
100%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Pohang Steelers
Gamba Osaka →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.6% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | — | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Pohang Steelers
Attack
22
Defence
45
Form
31
Gamba Osaka
Attack
48
Defence
67
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
East Region
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kashima
|
3 | 9 |
| 2 |
Vissel Kobe
|
3 | 9 |
| 3 |
Gamba Osaka
|
3 | 7 |
| 4 |
Johor Darul Takzim FC
|
3 | 7 |
| 5 |
Beijing Guoan
|
3 | 7 |
| 6 |
Kyoto Sanga
|
3 | 6 |
| 7 |
Kashiwa Reysol
|
3 | 4 |
| 8 |
SHANGHAI SIPG
|
3 | 4 |
| 9 |
Daejeon Citizen
|
3 | 4 |
| 10 |
Jeonbuk Motors
|
3 | 4 |
| 11 |
Công An Nhân Dân
|
3 | 3 |
| 12 |
Buriram United
|
3 | 2 |
| 13 |
Ratchaburi
|
3 | 1 |
| 14 |
Pohang Steelers
|
3 | 0 |
| 15 |
Port FC
|
3 | 0 |
| 16 |
Newcastle Jets
|
3 | 0 |
What's at stake · East Region
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #14 | #3 |
| → Pohang Steelers | #12 | #3 |
| → Draw | #14 | #3 |
| → Gamba Osaka | #14 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Pohang Steelers vs Gamba Osaka?
The model gives Pohang Steelers a 15% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 63% for an Gamba Osaka win.
How many goals are expected in Pohang Steelers vs Gamba Osaka?
Expected goals: Pohang Steelers 0.5, Gamba Osaka 1.7 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Pohang Steelers vs Gamba Osaka?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 18.66%.