Poland - Bosnia & Herzegovina
Weather at kick-off
⛅
Partly cloudy
26.8°C
💨 18 km/h
🌧️ 58%
· Niigata
⚡ Pre-match analysis
63.21%
Win
Poland
17.22%
Draw
19.57%
Win
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2.71
1.44
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Poland
63.21%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.4%)
1X2 Result
1
63%
X
17%
2
20%
Double Chance
1X
80%
X2
37%
12
83%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
92%
Over 2.5
84%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Poland a 63% win probability, against 17% for a draw and 19% for Bosnia & Herzegovina. Expected goals are 2.7 for Poland and 1.4 for Bosnia & Herzegovina (total 4.1), with a 92% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.4% probability.
Season Stats
1W
1D
4L
0W
2D
4L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
0.7
2.7
Conceded
2.8
4.3
Shots OT
2.5
3.7
Corners
2.0
40%
Poss.
36%
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
83%
83%
O 2.5
50%
83%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
17%
ℹ
Based on the last 6 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
67%
O 3.5
67%
BTTS
0W
1D
2L
· at home
0W
1D
2L
· away
1.7
gls/g
0.7
2.7
Conceded
4.0
0%
Win %
0%
33%
Win or Draw
33%
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
67%
67%
O 3.5
67%
100%
BTTS
33%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
67%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Poland
Bosnia & Herzegovina →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Poland
Attack
41
Defence
57
Form
49
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Attack
29
Defence
71
Form
37
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Unavailable
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Injured
UEFA Nations League , League B, Group 4
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Poland
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Bosnia & Herzegovina
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Romania
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Sweden
|
0 | 0 |
What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League B, Group 4
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #2 |
| → Poland | #1 | #2 |
| → Draw | #1 | #2 |
| → Bosnia & Herzegovina | #2 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
The model gives Poland a 63% win probability, 17% for a draw, and 19% for an Bosnia & Herzegovina win.
How many goals are expected in Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
Expected goals: Poland 2.7, Bosnia & Herzegovina 1.4 (total 4.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 92%.
What is the most likely score in Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.4%.