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Police - AFC Leopards

Premier League September 04, 2026 14:00
Police
#10 · 0 pts
vs
AFC Leopards
#5 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Police
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
AFC Leopards
1.08
Expected xG
1.08

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.66%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Police a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for AFC Leopards. Expected goals are 1.1 for Police and 1.1 for AFC Leopards (total 2.2), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.66% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Police have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for AFC Leopards.

Season Stats

Police
6W 8D 1L
AFC Leopards
9W 0D 6L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.4
0.5
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
20%
O 2.5
53%
40%
BTTS
47%
53%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Police
4W 6D 0L · at home
AFC Leopards
6W 1D 3L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.5
0.7
Conceded
0.8
40%
Win %
60%
100%
Win or Draw
70%
80%
O 1.5
70%
20%
O 2.5
40%
0%
O 3.5
20%
70%
BTTS
30%
30%
Clean Sht
60%
10%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Police AFC Leopards →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5% 12.4% 6.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.5% 13.5% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.8% 7.3% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% —
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Police Police
D Homeboyz 1–1
D Kariobangi Sharks 1–1
D Nairobi United 0–0
D GOR Mahia 1–1
W Murang'a SEAL 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
L Bidco United 1–2
L APS Bomet 2–1
W Homeboyz 1–2
W Ulinzi Stars 0–2
W Mara Sugar 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Police Police
Attack
12
Defence
45
Form
30
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
Attack
16
Defence
37
Form
29
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Police
1
Draw
0
AFC Leopards
18 Apr 2026 Premier League 3–0
13 Dec 2025 Premier League 0–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Mathare United Mathare United 0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 0 0
3 Tusker Tusker 0 0
4 GOR Mahia GOR Mahia 0 0
5 AFC Leopards AFC Leopards 0 0
6 KCB KCB 0 0
7 Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC 0 0
8 Bandari Bandari 0 0
9 Homeboyz Homeboyz 0 0
10 Police Police 0 0
11 Migori Youth Migori Youth 0 0
12 Shabana Shabana 0 0
13 APS Bomet APS Bomet 0 0
14 Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL 0 0
15 Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite 0 0
16 Mara Sugar Mara Sugar 0 0
17 Nairobi United Nairobi United 0 0
18 3K 3K 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Police vs AFC Leopards?
The model gives Police a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an AFC Leopards win.
How many goals are expected in Police vs AFC Leopards?
Expected goals: Police 1.1, AFC Leopards 1.1 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Police vs AFC Leopards?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.66%.