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Kenya Police - APS Bomet

Premier League November 21, 2026 13:00
Kenya Police
#4 · 9 pts
vs
APS Bomet
#13 · 6 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.16%
Win
Kenya Police
31.62%
Draw
32.22%
Win
APS Bomet
2.04
Expected xG
1.32

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (13.2%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 64%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 73%
Over 2.5 50%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kenya Police a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for APS Bomet. Expected goals are 2.0 for Kenya Police and 1.3 for APS Bomet (total 3.4), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.2% probability.

Season Stats

Kenya Police
2W 3D 1L
APS Bomet
8W 5D 2L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.1
0.8
Conceded
0.3
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
47%
33%
O 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
20%
50%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
Kenya Police
1W 0D 1L · at home
APS Bomet
4W 4D 2L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.1
1.0
Conceded
0.5
50%
Win %
40%
50%
Win or Draw
80%
50%
O 1.5
60%
50%
O 2.5
20%
0%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
30%
50%
Clean Sht
60%
0%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Kenya Police APS Bomet →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5% 4.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.1% 9.4% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.3% 9.6% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.9% 6.5% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.5% 3.3% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% —

Recent form

Kenya Police Kenya Police
D Homeboyz 2–2
W Shabana 0–1
W Ulinzi Stars 1–0
D Mombasa Elite 0–0
L AFC Leopards 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
APS Bomet APS Bomet
L KCB 1–0
D Murang'a SEAL 0–0
W 3K 3–0
D Nairobi United 1–1
L GOR Mahia 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Kenya Police Kenya Police
Attack
20
Defence
86
Form
52
APS Bomet APS Bomet
Attack
19
Defence
77
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 GOR Mahia GOR Mahia 6 13
2 KCB KCB 6 13
3 AFC Leopards AFC Leopards 6 10
4 Kenya Police Kenya Police 6 9
5 Shabana Shabana 6 9
6 Mara Sugar Mara Sugar 6 9
7 3K 3K 6 9
8 Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL 6 8
9 Bandari Bandari 6 7
9 Police Police 1 1
10 Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC 6 7
11 Tusker Tusker 4 6
12 Migori Youth Migori Youth 5 6
13 APS Bomet APS Bomet 6 6
14 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 6 6
15 Nairobi United Nairobi United 6 5
16 Mathare United Mathare United 6 5
17 Homeboyz Homeboyz 5 5
18 Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite 6 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kenya Police vs APS Bomet?
The model gives Kenya Police a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 32% for an APS Bomet win.
How many goals are expected in Kenya Police vs APS Bomet?
Expected goals: Kenya Police 2.0, APS Bomet 1.3 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Kenya Police vs APS Bomet?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.2%.