Kenya Police - Posta Rangers FC
Premier League
November 15, 2026 11:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.58%
Win
Kenya Police
32.48%
Draw
31.93%
Win
Posta Rangers FC
1.43
1.06
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(14.26%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
32%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
64%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
50%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kenya Police a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Posta Rangers FC. Expected goals are 1.4 for Kenya Police and 1.1 for Posta Rangers FC (total 2.5), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.26% probability.
Season Stats
2W
3D
1L
4W
4D
7L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.9
0.8
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
60%
33%
O 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
50%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
1W
0D
1L
· at home
3W
3D
4L
· away
1.0
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
1.4
50%
Win %
30%
50%
Win or Draw
60%
50%
O 1.5
60%
50%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
20%
50%
BTTS
60%
50%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Kenya Police
Posta Rangers FC →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 12.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 8.5% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Kenya Police
Attack
20
Defence
86
Form
52
Posta Rangers FC
Attack
16
Defence
55
Form
29
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
GOR Mahia
|
6 | 13 |
| 2 |
KCB
|
6 | 13 |
| 3 |
AFC Leopards
|
6 | 10 |
| 4 |
Kenya Police
|
6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Shabana
|
6 | 9 |
| 6 |
Mara Sugar
|
6 | 9 |
| 7 |
3K
|
6 | 9 |
| 8 |
Murang'a SEAL
|
6 | 8 |
| 9 |
Bandari
|
6 | 7 |
| 9 |
Police
|
1 | 1 |
| 10 |
Posta Rangers FC
|
6 | 7 |
| 11 |
Tusker
|
4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Migori Youth
|
5 | 6 |
| 13 |
APS Bomet
|
6 | 6 |
| 14 |
Ulinzi Stars
|
6 | 6 |
| 15 |
Nairobi United
|
6 | 5 |
| 16 |
Mathare United
|
6 | 5 |
| 17 |
Homeboyz
|
5 | 5 |
| 18 |
Mombasa Elite
|
6 | 1 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kenya Police vs Posta Rangers FC?
The model gives Kenya Police a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 31% for an Posta Rangers FC win.
How many goals are expected in Kenya Police vs Posta Rangers FC?
Expected goals: Kenya Police 1.4, Posta Rangers FC 1.1 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Kenya Police vs Posta Rangers FC?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.26%.